Main results of recent investigations into the physical mechanisms of the interaction of tropical cyclones and the ionosphere

Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - International investigations into the correlation between tropical cyclones (TCs) and the ionosphere are associated with great difficulties in proving...     

Relation between daytime and nighttime values of the critical frequency foF2

The relation between the daytime in the nighttime values of the critical frequencies (foF2) of the ionospheric F ₂ layer is considered. The correlation coefficient of foF2 measured at 1400 and 0200 LT of the same day is considered in various seasons of years with different solar activity (during the complete cycle of solar activity in 1979–1989). Special accent is made on the dependencies of the above mentioned correlation on a choice of magnetically quiet days with various limitations on maximal values of geomagnetic index Ap. It has been obtained that a statistically significant negative correlation between the foF2(1400) and foF2(0200) is more pronounced in the periods of high solar activity. The effect increases with increasing limitation of the considered days on value of Ap: the largest values of the correlation coefficient are observed if only very quiet days are considered (Ap < 6). There are preliminary indications that the considered relation between daytime and nighttime foF2 values depends on latitude.     

Critical frequencies <Emphasis Type="Italic">foF</Emphasis>2 as an indicator of trends in thermospheric dynamics

The time variations in three parameters during the last decades are considered. R(foF2) is the correlation coefficient between the nighttime and daytime values of foF2 for the same day. Stable trends are found for the minimum (R(foF2)(max)) and maximum (R(foF2)(min)) values of R(foF2) during a year. The foF2(night)/foF2(day) ratio demonstrates both, negative and positive trends, and the trend sign depends on the inclination I and declination D of the magnetic field. The correlation coefficient r(h, fo) between foF2 and the 100 hP level in the stratosphere demonstrates a decrease (in the years of maximum and minimum solar activity) from the 1980s to the 1990s. The trends in all three groups of data are considered under the assumption of long-term changes in the circulation in the upper atmosphere.     

Long-term trends in the ratio of the daytime and nighttime values of <Emphasis Type="Italic">foF</Emphasis>2

The consideration of the relation between the daytime and nighttime values of the critical frequency F2, foF2 of the ionospheric F2 layer, started in the previous publication of the authors, is continued. The main regularities in variations in the correlation coefficient R(foF2) characterizing this relation are confirmed using larger statistical material (more ionospheric stations and longer observational series). Long-term trends in the R(foF2) value are found: at all stations the negative value of R(foF2) increases with time after 1980.     

Relation of the <Emphasis Type="Italic">F</Emphasis> region to stratospheric parameters: Possible relation to the atmospheric dynamics

Time variations in the correlation coefficient r(h, fo) between the h(100) stratospheric parameter and the foF2 ionospheric parameter for more than two solar activity cycles (1979–2004) are considered. It is obtained that, for daytime values of the correlation coefficient r(h, fo) when all available years are considered, the absolute value of r(h, fo) decreases in time; i.e., the correlation weakening from the 1980s to the 1990s. This weakening is interpreted as a weakening of the eastward winds in the MLT region of the atmosphere, where presumably a filtration of internal waves providing interrelation of various atmospheric layers occurs.     

Comparison of <Emphasis Type="Italic">foF2</Emphasis> values in the daytime and after sunset

The ratio of the values of the F ₂, layer critical frequencies 2 h after the sunset and at 1400 LT has been considered. It is assumed that this ratio is a good indicator of the intensity of wind processes in the thermosphere. For 18 ionospheric stations, the dependences of this ratio on the F _wl, solar activity index have been constructed for the period before 1980. It has been found that the standard deviation (S), from this dependence has been increased after 1980 at all stations. An increase in S, is interpreted as an indication of the existence of long-term trends in th e wind regime after approximately 1980.     

Spatial and time variations in the <Emphasis Type="Italic">foF</Emphasis>2 (night)/<Emphasis Type="Italic">foF</Emphasis>2 (day) ratio: Specification of some effects

A series of important aspects of the time and spatial variations in the critical frequency ratio fo(night)/fo(day) considered by one of the authors [Danilov, 2007, 2008] is specified. The list of the Eastern-Hemisphere stations, for which an analysis of the above indicated ratio was performed, is completed. The available stations of the Western Hemisphere are considered. It is shown that the character of the variations in the fo(night)/fo(day) ratio is independent of limitations imposed on the Ap index of magnetic activity for the analyzed days. The consideration of the long-term variations in geomagnetic activity using the annual mean value of the Ap index does not influence the principal conclusions of the study, although in some cases changes statistical characteristics of the obtained behavior of the fo(night)/fo(day) ratio after 1980. A comparison of the results, based on the interpretation of the trends of the fo(night)/fo(day) value with the changes in the stratosphere-ionosphere coupling from the 1980s to the 1990s obtained by the authors earlier, confirms the assumption that there occurs a systematic change in the zonal wind in the upper atmosphere.     

Parameters of the ionospheric <Emphasis Type="Italic">F</Emphasis><Subscript>2</Subscript> layer as a source of information on trends in thermospheric dynamics

The problem of determining trends in thermospheric dynamics parameters (horizontal winds) based on analysis of trends in various combinations of ionospheric F ₂-layer parameters is formulated. The previous attempts of the authors in this direction are briefly described. It is shown that all studied parameters lead to the same result: after the “boundary date” (approximately 1980) a systematic change in these parameters (a long-term trend) is observed, this fact manifesting changes in the dynamical regime of the thermosphere because of cooling and contraction of the entire middle and upper atmosphere. The results of a search for trends in the hmF2 height for the moment (T(ss) + 2 h) are described. These trends are found higher than the hmF2 trends obtained earlier by various authors analyzing the hmF2 behavior at fixed moments of local time.     

Relation of foF2 to parameters of the stratosphere: Specification of the dependence on magnetic activity

The dependence of the correlation coefficient r(h, fo) between the stratospheric parameter h(100) and the critical frequency foF2 on geomagnetic activity is studied. In one of the previous publications of the authors, a general conclusion was drawn that if one chooses for the analysis only the days with geomagnetic index Ap < 12, this coefficient grows. In this paper we present a more complicated and statistically substantiated analysis of the effect of the r(h, fo) dependence on the limitations on Ap imposed on the analyzed days. Wide range of limitations on Ap from Ap = 4 to Ap = 40, five stations, and years of high (1980) and low (1987) solar activity are considered.     

Relation of the <Emphasis Type="Italic">F</Emphasis>2 region to stratospheric parameters: Dependence on magnetic activity in two solar cycles

The dependence of the correlation coefficient r(h, fo) between the stratospheric parameter h(100) and critical frequency foF2 revealed in the data of two solar cycles (1979–1989 and 1990–2000) on geomagnetic activity is analyzed. It is shown that the character of the r(h, fo) dependence on limitation on the Ap geomagnetic index is the same in both cycles but depends on the time of day and solar activity level for the given year. It is also found that there is a considerable difference in the absolute values of r(h, fo) between two cycles.