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Development of a skill assessment tool for the Korea operational oceanographic system 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
CHO Kyoung-Ho CHOI Jin-Yong JEONG Sang-Hun CHOI Jung-Woon KWON Jae-Il PARK Kwang-Soon 《海洋学报(英文版)》2013,32(9):74-81
A standard skill assessment(SA) tool was developed and implemented to evaluate the performance of operational forecast models in the Korea operational oceanographic system.The SA tool provided a robust way to assess model skill in the system by comparing predictions and observations,and involved the computation of multiple skill metrics including correlation and error skills.User-and system-based acceptance criteria of skill metrics were applied to determine whether predictions were acceptable for the system.To achieve this,the tool produced a time series comparison plot,a skill score table,and an advanced summarized diagram to effectively demonstrate the multiple skill scores.Moreover,the SA was conducted to evaluate both atmospheric and hydrodynamic forecast variables.For the atmospheric variables,acceptable error criteria were preferable to acceptable correlation criteria over short timescales,since the mean square error overwhelmed the observation variance.Conversely,for the hydrodynamic variables,acceptable root mean square percentage error(e.g.,p erms) criteria were preferable to acceptable error(e.g.,erms) criteria owing to the spatially variable tidal intensity around the Korean Peninsula.Furthermore,the SA indicated that predetermined acceptance error criteria were appropriate to satisfy a target central frequency(fc) for which errors fell within the specified limits(i.e.,the fc equals 70%). 相似文献
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Park Kwang-Soon Heo Ki-Young Jun Kicheon Kwon Jae-Il Kim Jinah Choi Jin-Yong Cho Kyoung-Ho Choi Byoung-Ju Seo Seung-Nam Kim Young Ho Kim Sung-Dae Yang Chan-Su Lee Jong-Chan Kim Sang-Ik Kim Seonjeong Choi Jung-Woon Jeong Sang-Hun 《Ocean Science Journal》2015,50(2):353-369
Ocean Science Journal - The Korea Operational Oceanographic System (KOOS) was developed at the Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology (KIOST) to produce real-time forecasting and... 相似文献
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