排序方式: 共有11条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
Enhanced identification of a hydrologic model using streamflow and satellite water storage data: A multicriteria sensitivity analysis and optimization approach 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
下载免费PDF全文
![点击此处可从《水文研究》网站下载免费的PDF全文](/ch/ext_images/free.gif)
Fuad Yassin Saman Razavi Howard Wheater Gonzalo Sapriza‐Azuri Bruce Davison Alain Pietroniro 《水文研究》2017,31(19):3320-3333
Hydrologic model development and calibration have continued in most cases to focus only on accurately reproducing streamflows. However, complex models, for example, the so‐called physically based models, possess large degrees of freedom that, if not constrained properly, may lead to poor model performance when used for prediction. We argue that constraining a model to represent streamflow, which is an integrated resultant of many factors across the watershed, is necessary but by no means sufficient to develop a high‐fidelity model. To address this problem, we develop a framework to utilize the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment's (GRACE) total water storage anomaly data as a supplement to streamflows for model calibration, in a multiobjective setting. The VARS method (Variogram Analysis of Response Surfaces) for global sensitivity analysis is used to understand the model behaviour with respect to streamflow and GRACE data, and the BORG multiobjective optimization method is applied for model calibration. Two subbasins of the Saskatchewan River Basin in Western Canada are used as a case study. Results show that the developed framework is superior to the conventional approach of calibration only to streamflows, even when multiple streamflow‐based error functions are simultaneously minimized. It is shown that a range of (possibly false) system trajectories in state variable space can lead to similar (acceptable) model responses. This observation has significant implications for land‐surface and hydrologic model development and, if not addressed properly, may undermine the credibility of the model in prediction. The framework effectively constrains the model behaviour (by constraining posterior parameter space) and results in more credible representation of hydrology across the watershed. 相似文献
2.
Multicriteria sensitivity analysis as a diagnostic tool for understanding model behaviour and characterizing model uncertainty 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
下载免费PDF全文
![点击此处可从《水文研究》网站下载免费的PDF全文](/ch/ext_images/free.gif)
Complex hydrological models are being increasingly used nowadays for many purposes such as studying the impact of climate and land‐use change on water resources. However, building a high‐fidelity model, particularly at large scales, remains a challenging task, due to complexities in model functioning and behaviour and uncertainties in model structure, parameterization, and data. Global sensitivity analysis (GSA), which characterizes how the variation in the model response is attributed to variations in its input factors (e.g., parameters and forcing data), provides an opportunity to enhance the development and application of these complex models. In this paper, we advocate using GSA as an integral part of the modelling process by discussing its capabilities as a tool for diagnosing model structure and detecting potential defects, identifying influential factors, characterizing uncertainty, and selecting calibration parameters. Accordingly, we conduct a comprehensive GSA of a complex land surface–hydrology model, Modélisation Environmentale–Surface et Hydrologie (MESH), which combines the Canadian land surface scheme with a hydrological routing component, WATROUTE. Various GSA experiments are carried out using a new technique, called Variogram Analysis of Response Surfaces, for alternative hydroclimatic conditions in Canada using multiple criteria, various model configurations, and a full set of model parameters. Results from this study reveal that, in addition to different hydroclimatic conditions and SA criteria, model configurations can also have a major impact on the assessment of sensitivity. GSA can identify aspects of the model internal functioning that are counter‐intuitive and thus help the modeller to diagnose possible model deficiencies and make recommendations for improving development and application of the model. As a specific outcome of this work, a list of the most influential parameters for the MESH model is developed. This list, along with some specific recommendations, is expected to assist the wide community of MESH and Canadian land surface scheme users, to enhance their modelling applications. 相似文献
3.
Ekaterina Vasyukova Wolfgang Uhl Fuad Braga Claudia Simões Tânia Baylão Klaus Neder 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2012,65(5):1587-1599
Drinking water production at three waterworks was evaluated with respect to variable weather conditions in the Brasília Distrito
Federal. Results of the investigation revealed that seasonal variations in rainfall play an important role in influencing
the quality of the surface water sources used for drinking water production in the district. In most surface sources, particles
and apparent colour are likely to originate from erosion during rain events. This represents the primary challenge facing
waterworks, notably when the raw water qualities of the sources to be treated at one facility differ by one order of magnitude,
as well significantly varying from one season to the next. Treatment efficiencies in terms of turbidity, apparent colour and
dissolved organic carbon (DOC) removal were evaluated. Drinking water quality was found to be significantly influenced by
raw water quality at all considered treatment plants. With regard to DOC removal, treatment was most efficient in waterworks
which treated raw water with high percentages of biopolymers and humics. Most dissolved organics were removed by coagulation.
Finally, conclusions are drawn on how to better cope with challenges facing drinking water production in a tropical climate.
The first of these recommendations is the introduction of online turbidity and dissolved organic matter monitoring in order
to optimise the coagulation process for the removal of these two parameters. A combination of different coagulants could also
be considered for this process. Additional more sophisticated improvements to process stability, such as determination of
floc characteristics, introduction of artificial neural networks or the eventual upgrade of the treatment train using membrane
filtration, are also suggested. 相似文献
4.
Saber Al-Rousan Mohammed Rasheed Fuad Al-Horani Riyad Manasrah 《Journal of Oceanography》2006,62(6):839-849
The physicochemical properties of 21 marine sediment samples were investigated, collected from five different localities along
the Jordanian coast of the Gulf of Aqaba. According to the chemical parameters, sediments were categorized into three groups:
carbonate (80% CaCO3), composed mainly of materials of calcareous skeletal structures; terrigenous (<10% CaCO3) depositional areas for land-derived materials from surrounding rocks and alluviums; and a admixture of the first two (19–37%
CaCO3). High significant linear correlations were found between organic carbon (OC) and total nitrogen (TN), indicating the occurrence
of these components in a common phase (organic matter). Despite the co-occurrence of TP in organic matter, these two elements
were negatively correlated, indicating anthropogenic sources of pollution such as phosphate exportation (hotel areas and clinker
port sites) and industrial activities (industrial complex site). The study found that variations in texture properties and
mud contents were due to differences in sediment sources, topography and their response during currents and waves. The finer,
well-sorted sediments contain lower elemental concentrations of OC, calcium carbonate and TN (excluding TP) than coarser,
poorly-sorted sediments. 相似文献
5.
Saber Al-Rousan Rasheed Al-Shloul Fuad Al-Horani Ahmad Abu-Hilal 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2012,67(7):2003-2013
The concentrations of six heavy metals were studied in five living coral species and their fossil counterparts collected along the Jordanian Coast of the Gulf of Aqaba. The study aimed at investigating the validity of using coral skeletons as bioindicators for environmental pollution by heavy metals in the Gulf of Aqaba, Red Sea. The skeletal samples of the collected corals were acid digested and analyzed for Cd, Cu, Fe, Mn, Pb, and Zn content using flame atomic absorption spectrophotometer. The results obtained have shown that higher concentrations of heavy metals were found in coral skeletons from areas hosting intense developments and human activities. The massive Porites sp. coral tended to accumulate the highest metal concentrations among the other species (except for Mn). This was due to interspecific differences or selectivity of heavy metals between different coral species. It was noteworthy that fossil coral species recorded higher average metal concentrations than their living counterparts; this was attributed to surface contamination due to prolonged burial of the fossil corals in sediment over the years. The study concluded that corals (specially the massive Porites species) are vulnerable to the accumulation of high concentrations of heavy metals in their skeletons and therefore can serve as proxies to monitor environmental pollution. 相似文献
6.
Riyad S. Manasrah Fuad A. Al-Horani Mohammad Y. Rasheed Saber A. Al-Rousan Marouf A. Khalaf 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2006,69(3-4):567
This study was focused on analysis of the horizontal and vertical current components with correspondence to tide variation, heat flux, seiches and relative backscatter intensity in coastal waters of the northern Gulf of Aqaba during the summers of 2001–2004. Spectrum analysis has shown eight distinguishable peaks of the tide measurements. In addition to semidiurnal and diurnal barotropic tides, signal periods of 8.13, 5.89–6.32 and 4.06 h were related to shallow water compound and overtides of the principal solar and lunar constituent and to seiches (second and third mode) generated in the Red Sea, whereas seiches of the first mode might enhance the semidiurnal tide signal. The shortest periods of 1.02–1.05, 0.50 and 0.36 h were related to seiches (first, second and third mode, respectively) generated in the Gulf of Aqaba. The spectrum analysis and cross-correlation tests of the horizontal and vertical current components and relative backscatter intensity suggested that the vertical motion at the diurnal period was either due to migration of zooplankton or to water convection. Both of which were of the same order as vertical motion induced by horizontal motions of water particles projected parallel on the bottom gradient line. On the other hand, semidiurnal and diurnal periods detected in the vertical currents were caused by the strong signal in the cross-shore current component, first mode seiches generated from the Red Sea and tide. This could be considered as an indicator of the dominant force influencing the currents, such as winds, thermocline depth, seiches and tidal forcing. A permanent convection during summer is likely to occur in the shallow coastal waters due to relatively high inclined bottom, high evaporation and blowing of dry air, as well as the observed dominance of the downward vertical currents in coastal waters. 相似文献
7.
Al-Rousan SA Al-Shloul RN Al-Horani FA Abu-Hilal AH 《Marine pollution bulletin》2007,54(12):1912-1922
In order to assess pollutants and impact of environmental changes in the coastal region of the Jordanian Gulf of Aqaba, concentrations of six metals were traced through variations in 5 years growth bands sections of recent Porties coral skeleton. X-radiography showed annual growth band patterns extending back to the year 1925. Baseline metal concentrations in Porites corals were established using 35 years-long metal record from late Holocene coral (deposited in pristine environment) and coral from reef that is least exposed to pollution in the marine reserve in the Gulf of Aqaba. The skeleton samples of the collected corals were acid digested and analyzed for their Cd, Cu, Fe, Mn, Pb and Zn content using Flame Atomic Absorption Spectrophotometer (FAAS). All metal profiles (except Fe and Zn) recorded the same metal signature from recent coral (1925–2005) in which low steady baseline levels were displayed in growth bands older than 1965, similar to those obtained from fossil and unpolluted corals. Most metals showed dramatic increase (ranging from 17% to 300%) in growth band sections younger than 1965 suggesting an extensive contamination of the coastal area since the mid sixties. This date represents the beginning of a period that witnessed increasing coastal activities, constructions and urbanization. This has produced a significant reduction in coral skeletal extension rates. Results from this study strongly suggest that Porites corals have a high tendency to accumulate heavy metals in their skeletons and therefore can serve as proxy tools to monitor and record environmental pollution (bioindicators) in the Gulf of Aqaba. 相似文献
8.
Samayamutthirian Palaniandy Khairun Azizi Mohd AzizliHashim Hussin Syed Fuad Saiyid Hashim 《International Journal of Mineral Processing》2007
Silica was ground in an oscillating mill at various grinding period to study the mechanochemical effect in fine grinding process. The ground particles exhibited massive size reduction where the volume moment diameter of 5.56 μm was reached within 600 s. Aggregation of fine particles was very pronounced when it was ground for 600 s due to high surface energy. Aggregation of fine particles caused the ground particles to exhibit poly-modal particle size distribution. Line broadening and reduction of diffractogram peak intensity were observed. Amorphization rate up to 16.9% was exhibited by the particle ground for 600 s. Preferential breakage of plane was observed where (101) and (111) was easily distorted compared to (110) and (200). Rapid reduction of crystallite size was observed at early stage of grinding until it reached a plateau at 5 nm at 600 s whilst the change in lattice strain was 0.5%. 相似文献
9.
Pb‐isotope compositions of the Tasik Chini volcanic‐hosted massive sulfide deposit,Central Belt of Peninsular Malaysia: Implication for source region and tectonic setting
下载免费PDF全文
![点击此处可从《Island Arc》网站下载免费的PDF全文](/ch/ext_images/free.gif)
Mohd Basril Iswadi Basori Khin Zaw Sebastien Meffre Ross Raymond Large Wan Fuad Wan Hassan 《Island Arc》2017,26(2)
Lead isotope data of sulfides and host volcanic rocks from the Bukit Botol and Bukit Ketaya deposits, the two representative deposits of the Tasik Chini volcanic‐hosted massive sulfide (VHMS) deposit, Central Belt of Peninsular Malaysia, are reported. Lead isotope compositions of the associated sulfide minerals and volcanic rocks from the Bukit Botol deposit exhibit homogeneous and less radiogenic values (206Pb/204Pb showing a range of composition from 18.14 to 18.20, 207Pb/204Pb between 15.52 and 15.59 and 208Pb/204Pb from 37.96 to 38.35). Similarly, the Pb isotopic compositions of the host volcanic rocks from the Bukit Ketaya deposit yielded a narrow range to those of the sulfide samples (206Pb/204Pb from 18.04 to 18.20, 207Pb/204Pb between 15.43 and 15.57 and 208Pb/204Pb of 37.96 to 38.30). The uniform Pb‐isotope compositions of the sulfides in the ore horizon and the host volcanic rocks from both deposits suggest a derivation from a similar source reservoir and mineralization processes. In the framework of the tectonic model for the Central Belt of Peninsular Malaysia, both deposits display a range of lead isotopic compositions originated from mixing of bulk crust/juvenile arc and minor mantle sources, which are typical for VHMS deposits in an island arc–back arc setting. 相似文献
10.
Ocean Science Journal - The upper-layer circulation in the Tropical Northwest Pacific Ocean (TNWP) is characterized by the alternating zonal currents, such as North Equatorial Current (NEC) and... 相似文献