Statistical Modeling of Monthly Anomalies of Atmospheric Precipitations for the Region of the Ukraine and Black Sea

The data array accumulated for the period 1946–1995 is used to select the most significant predictor of monthly anomalies of precipitation in the region of the Ukraine and Black Sea, namely, a large-scale circulation in a sector covering the North Atlantic and Europe. Three large-scale predictors (geopotential at a level of 500GPa, sea-level pressure, and the difference between the geopotentials at levels of 500 and 1000GPa) give almost identical results: their correlation with anomalies of precipitation is equal to 0.7–0.8 in winter and 0.4–0.5 in summer. The predominant mechanism of the influence of circulation on precipitations at low frequencies is the response of the trajectories of European cyclones to changes in the upper-tropospheric jet currents in the Atlantic-European sector described as the superposition of the North-Atlantic oscillation and the Eurasian mode. The decomposition of the fields of precipitations and circulation in the eigenmodes of the canonical correlation analysis opens a possibility of direct computation of the monthly average fields of precipitations for the entire territory of the Ukraine and Black Sea region according to the large-scale geopotential fields.     

Principles of adaptive-landscape generation and development of soil protection agricultural systems

An analysis is made of the chief causes for degradation of agricultural lands: exhaustive agricultural land use, poor planning quality of land use management, deforestation, low volumes of forest planting and reforestation, and a high degree of plowing of lands. The principles of adaptive-landscape generation and land use practices are substantiated on the basis of a system approach to the exploitation of the natural-resource potential and a package of anti-degradation measures. The structure flowchart is given for the model of adaptive-landscape generation as developed on the basis of assessing the natural-climatic conditions, land resources, the degree of land degradation, and analyzing the set of indicators and criteria for a classification of landscapes. It is found that the key elements of the adaptive-landscape organization of land use on slopes are a typization of lands, the determination of the land use pattern, and the employment of technologies, methods and measures to ensure a normal functioning of agroecosystems. The following groups of lands are identified: gentle near-watershed slopes with a steepness of up to 2–3°; near-network lands, the lower boundary of which runs along the edge of the hydrographic network, and lands on the hydrographic network. The schematic of the organization of a large balka catchment is provided.     

Breeze circulation in the black-sea region

We study the characteristic features of the breeze circulation in the Black-Sea region according to the data of the regional reanalysis of atmospheric circulation carried out on the basis of the MM5 mesoscale model for August 2007 by the method of difference composites. The application of high space resolution of the model (the step of the grid is equal to 9 km) allows us to reproduce the principal features of the sea and land breezes on c the composite maps. It is shown that the space structure of breeze circulation is determined by the configuration of the coastline and coastal orography.     

Effect of Present-Day Climate Changes and Agricultural Activities on Spring Overland Runoff in Forest-Steppe and Steppe Regions of the Russian Plain

Space and time analysis of the formation of spring overland runoff in forest-steppe and steppe regions of the Russian Plain has been carried out. It has been shown that, in addition to zonal climate conditions, its distribution over the area is largely determined by the agricultural load on river catchment areas, primarily, the structure of agricultural lands—the proportions of areas under winter tillage and consolidated tillage. The character of overland runoff response to present-day climate changes and agricultural activity has been identified, and quantitative estimates have been given to the manifold hydrological role of these factors.     

Development of the summer breeze circulation in the west part of the Black Sea

On the basis of the results of regional reanalysis of the atmospheric circulation presented with a resolution of 9 km, the process of formation of breezes is studied for the case of weak synoptic background activity in the rectilinear part of the west coast of the Black Sea for the period 01–04.07.2007. It is shown that the gravitational currents, breeze fronts, and intense internal waves are formed under these conditions in the troposphere during the daytime. The Hovm?ller diagrams of the wind velocity and the maps of the vertical sections of potential temperature, vertical velocity of the air masses, and other parameters are presented. On the basis of these diagrams and maps, we obtain quantitative estimates of the wind velocity in the breeze and of the velocity of propagation of the breeze front and compare these estimates with the available literature data.     

An Analysis of the Content of Large Bodies in Meteor and Fireball Streams

The issue of the presence of meter- and decameter-sized bodies in meteor and fireball streams is of fundamental importance in the context of the theory of disintegration of parent bodies. Our observations, which have been carried out since 1995, indicate that such bodies are present in the Perseid, α-Capricornid, Leonid, and Coma-Berenicid meteoric streams. A catalogue is presented here for the parameters of the detected bodies. The spatial density of the meter-sized bodies is estimated based on the observational material. Within the errors, our estimates agree with the estimates based on the extrapolation of meteor and fireball data. An analysis of the observations suggests some inferences on the structure of the streams under study.__________Translated from Astronomicheskii Vestnik, Vol. 39, No. 3, 2005, pp. 263–271.Original Russian Text Copyright © 2005 by Barabanov, Smirnov.     

The oil and gas potential of the Kuma rocks of the Bakhchisarai region of Crimea

The oil and gas potential of the Kuma Formation of the Bakhchisarai region (southwestern Crimea) was substantiated on the basis of a lithological and micropaleontological study of the rocks of the section of the formation and geochemical (luminescent-bituminous, gas-liquid chromatographic, pyrolytic, and isotope) studies of the organic matter of the rocks. New regions for study that are favorable for the origination of the oil system in this formation were identified.     

Family of Minor Bodies Connected with the Prřibram Meteorite

Minor bodies that, at the present stage, have orbital characteristics similar to those of the Pribram meteorite and that differ from it in the date of activity of the radiants by no more than a 1.2-month period in either direction were detected on the basis of catalog data on the orbits of asteroids, individual fireballs, and fireball and meteor streams obtained from photographic observations. The following objects comprising the Prbram family are among such minor bodies: three asteroids (1863, 4486, and J98S70J) of the Apollo group, three fireball streams, five meteor streams, and ten fireballs. This extensive system of bodies consists of three branches: a Northern (N), an Ecliptical (Q), and a Southern (S) Branch. The family of meteor streams associated with the periodic comet Pons–Winnecke appears to be related to this family. Thus, there emerges an intricate complex of small bodies that is similar to the well-known Taurid complex. In the distribution of various populations of minor bodies according to the quantity c of the Tisserand criterion, both of these complexes of minor bodies, like the group of cometoids (or cometlike asteroids), are situated in the region of unstable motion or, to be more exact, near the gap that arises in the L ₂ and L ₃ collinear points of libration.     

Methodology of the experimental study of the state of spent nuclear fuel on the bottom of arctic seas

A methodology of experimental simulation of the state of spent nuclear fuel that is situated on the sea bottom as a result of some catastrophes or dumping is developed. Data on long-term (more than 2000 days) experiments on the estimation of the ⁸⁵Kr and ¹³⁷Cs release rate from spent nuclear fuel (fragments of irradiated UO₂ pellets) were first obtained; these estimates prove the correctness of the hypothesis put forward by us in the early 1990s concerning an earlier ⁸⁵Kr release (by one order of magnitude higher than that of ¹³⁷Cs) as compared to other fission fragments in the case of the loss of integrity of a fuel containment as a result of corrosion on the sea bottom. The method and technique of the onboard ⁸⁵Kr and ¹³⁷Cs sampling and extraction (as well as the sampling of tritium, a product of triple ²³⁵U fission) and their radiometric analysis at coastal laboratories are developed. Priority data on the ⁸⁵Kr background in the bottom layers of the Barents and Kara Seas and the ¹³⁷Cs and ³H in these seas (state of 2003) are presented. Models necessary for the estimation of the dilution of the fission products of spent nuclear fuel and their transport on the bottom in accident and dumping regions are developed. An experimental method for the examination of the state of spent nuclear fuel on the sea bottom (1 expedition each 2–3 years) by the ⁸⁵Kr release into the environment (a leak tracer) is proposed; this release is an indicator of the destruction of a fuel containment and the release of products of spent nuclear fuel in the case of ²³⁵UO₂ corrosion in sea water.     

Material composition assessment and discovering sublimation activity on asteroids 145 Adeona, 704 Interamnia, 779 Nina,and 1474 Beira

Spectrophotometric observations of 145 Adeona, 704 Interamnia, 779 Nina, and 1474 Beira—asteroids of close primitive types—allowed us to detect similar mineralogical absorption bands in their reflectance spectra centered in the range 0.35 to 0.92 μm; the bands are at 0.38, 0.44, and 0.67–0.71 μm. On the same asteroids, the spectral signs of simultaneous sublimation activity were found for the first time. Namely, there are maxima at ～0.35–0.60 μm in the reflectance spectra of Adeona, Interamnia, and Nina and at ～0.55–075 μm in the spectra of Beira. We connect this activity with small heliocentric distances of the asteroids and, consequently, with a high insolation at their surfaces. Examination of the samples of probable analogues allowed us to identify Fe³⁺ and Fe²⁺ in the material of these asteroids through the mentioned absorption bands. For analogues, we took powdered samples of carbonaceous chondrites Orgueil (CI), Mighei (CM2), Murchison (CM2), and Boriskino (CM2), as well as hydrosilicates of the serpentine group. Laboratory spectral reflectance study of the samples of low-iron Mg serpentines (<2 wt % FeO) showed that the equivalent width of the absorption band centered at 0.44–0.46 μm strongly correlates with the content of Fe³⁺ in octahedral and tetrahedral coordinations. Our conclusion is that this absorption band can be used as a qualitative indicator of Fe³⁺ in the surface matter of asteroids and other solid celestial bodies. The comparison of the listed analog samples and the asteroids by parameters of the spectral features suggests that the silicate component of the asteroids' surface material is a mixture of hydrated and oxidized compounds, including oxides and hydroxides of bivalent and trivalent iron and carbonaceous-chondritic material. At the same time, the sublimation activity of Adeona, Interamnia, Nina, and Beira at high surface temperatures points to a substantial content of water ice in their material. This contradicts the previously existing notions on the C-type and similar asteroids as bodies containing water only in the bound state. Moreover, since the sublimation process simultaneously occurs in four primitive-type bodies at small heliocentric distances, we may suppose that this phenomenon is common for the main-belt asteroids.