SEA LEVEL RISE OF THE ZHUJIANG RIVER DELTA AND NEOTECTONICS

A linear regression analysis of 28 selected tide-gauge stations of the Zhujiang Estuary shows that there has been a tendency of local sea level rise at a rate of 2.028 mm per year. The origin of the variation is significantly attributed to the local tectonic movement of discrepant fault-block. Based on this, four types of relative local sea level changes are classified. According to calculation, half of the fertile land, or 800 km2 of the delta plain will have been submerged by sea water by about 2040. This will yield a significant influence on the economic construction and human activities.     

珠江口水位变化的趋势——验潮站记录分析

本文取珠江口28个验潮站1950—1985年观测记录,用最小二乘方回归直线方程进行计算,求出各站的水位升降速率,绘出三角洲各站的升降速率分布图。结果大部分测站均有不同程度的上升趋势,平均速率为2.028mm/a,到2000年水位将比1985年上升3cm多。