万维望远镜平台下基于ASSURE模式的天文教学研究

随着教学手段和教学方法的现代化,信息技术与课程整合正成为教育改革的研究热点。文章以万维望远镜(WWT)平台为教学媒体,以ASSURE模式为教学设计的理论依据,设计并构建用以指导天文教学准备、实施与评价的教学模式,并将该模式应用于“四季星空”的教学案例中,使用基于信息技术的互动分析编码系统和学生课程反馈调查对教学效果进行分析和评价。研究表明,万维望远镜的使用可以降低教师言语比率,改变传统天文教学中以讲授式为主的教学方式。它适合起点能力较高、对新知识和新技能掌握能力较强的学生,能提高其学习兴趣和积极性,激发其探索宇宙的兴趣,有助于培养学生的科学素养。     

Development of efficiently coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical model to predict hydraulic fracture morphology in heavy oil reservoirs

The aim of the study involves examining the effect of heavy oil viscosity on fracture geometry in detail by establishing a heavy oil fracturing model and conventional fracturing model based on thermal–hydraulic–mechanical (THM) coupled theory, Walther viscosity model, and K–D–R temperature model. We consider viscosity and density within the heavy oil fracturing model as functions of pressure and temperature while that as constants within the conventional fracturing model. A heavy oil production well is set as an example to analyze the differences between the two models to account for the thermo-poro-elastic effect. The results show that temperature exhibits the most significant influence on the heavy oil viscosity while the influence of pressure is the least. In addition, a cooling area with a width of 0–1 m and varied length is generated near the fracture. The heavy oil viscosity increases sharply in this area, thereby indicating an area of viscosity increment. The heavy oil viscosity increases faster and is closer to wellbore, and a high viscosity increment reduces the mobility of the heavy oil and prevents the fracturing fluid from entering into the reservoir. The special viscosity distribution results in significant differences in pore pressure, oil saturation, and changing trends between these two models. In the heavy oil reservoir fracturing model, the thermal effect completely exceeds the influence of pore elasticity, and the values of the fracture length, width, and static pressure exceed those calculated in the conventional fracturing model. Thus, a comparison of the measured values indicates that the results obtained by considering viscosity as a function of temperature and pressure are more accurate. Therefore, the results of this study are expected to provide good guidelines for the design of heavy oil fracturing.     

基于机器学习的锆石成因分类研究

锆石是在自然界中多种温压条件下能够稳定保存,并记录原岩年龄信息的副矿物。锆石微量元素能完整记录地质演化过程信息。通过微量元素分析锆石成因的研究已久,通常利用Th-U图解和La_N-(Sm/La)_N图解等二元图解对锆石进行分类研究。然而,随着锆石研究的深入,以及二元图解无法呈现数据高维度信息的局限性,传统图解已经不能满足对锆石类型进行准确判别,且对已知类型的锆石出现判定偏差。因此,本文将地质大数据与机器学习相结合,训练出高维度锆石成因分类器。文中收集了3 498条不同成因类型的锆石微量元素数据,并通过测试和运用随机森林、支持向量机、人工神经网络和k近邻等4种机器学习算法,最终得出准确率为86.8%的线性支持向量机锆石成因分类器,用于锆石类型的判定与预测。这项工作为锆石分类研究提供了更高维度的判别手段,极大提高了微量元素分析成因结果的精度。将锆石微量元素数据与机器学习方法相结合,是大数据分析与机器学习技术在地球化学研究中的积极探索。     

Quantitative evaluation of weathering degree through Fuzzy-AHP method and petrophysics analysis for sandstone carvings

Natural Hazards - The assessment of weathering degree of sandstone carvings plays an important role in scientific conservation. However, the current state of weathering assessment research cannot...     

NLOS GPS signal detection using a dual-polarisation antenna

The reception of indirect signals, either in the form of non-line-of-sight (NLOS) reception or multipath interference, is a major cause of GNSS position errors in urban environments. We explore the potential of using dual-polarisation antenna technology for detecting and mitigating the reception of NLOS signals and severe multipath interference. The new technique computes the value of the carrier-power-to-noise-density (C/N ₀) measurements from left-hand circular polarised outputs subtracted from the right-hand circular polarised C/N ₀ counterpart. If this quality is negative, NLOS signal reception is assumed. If the C/N ₀ difference is positive, but falls below a threshold based on its lower bound in an open-sky environment, severe multipath interference is assumed. Results from two experiments are presented. Open-field testing was first performed to characterise the antenna behaviour and determine a suitable multipath detection threshold. The techniques were then tested in a dense urban area. Using the new method, two signals in the urban data were identified as NLOS-only reception during the occupation period at one station, while the majority of the remaining signals present were subject to a mixture of NLOS reception and severe multipath interference. The point positioning results were dramatically improved by excluding the detected NLOS measurements. The new technique is suited to a wide range of static ground applications based on our results.     

西宁市老年人口分布与养老资源错位研究

健康中国战略下,积极应对老龄化、建立健全养老和医疗等相关设施,成为许多城市关注的问题。目前相关研究很少关注西北城市的老龄人口的空间分布及养老资源错位的现象。本研究以西宁市主城区为研究区域,基于2010—2018年西宁市公安局各街镇人口数据和兴趣点（POI）数据,选用老年人口系数、赡养率、增长率和地理集中率四个指标,利用综合老龄化指数（CAI）模型、核密度函数模型和空间错位指数模型对西宁市主城区人口老龄化空间分布及养老资源（医疗资源、老年设施）空间错位现象进行探索分析,结果表明：（1）9年间西宁市主城区人口老龄化程度不断加深,已步入老年型社会。（2）通过老龄化综合指数可知：主城区外围街镇人口老龄化增长速度大于城区中心的街道,其中小桥街道、朝阳街道、马坊街道与乐家湾镇人口老龄化最为严重,2018年综合老龄化指数增长速度超过中心城区街道,西宁市主城区人口老龄化严重程度已从中心街道向外围街镇扩散。（3）通过空间错位指数计算可得知：城中区的养老资源数量充足但过于集中,城北区的养老资源分布合理但是数量较少,行政区之间的养老资源与老年人口分布存在较大空间错位问题。     

Comparison of short-term toxicity of 14 common phycotoxins (alone and in combination) to the survival of brine shrimp Artemia salina

Toxic harmful algal blooms(HABs) can cause deleterious effects in marine organisms, threatening the stability of marine ecosystems. It is well known that different strains, natural populations and growth conditions of the same toxic algal species may lead to different amount of phycotoxin production and the ensuing toxicity. To fully assess the ecological risk of toxic HABs, it is of great importance to investigate the toxic effects of phycotoxins in marine organisms. In this study, the short-te...     

Study of double combination evaluation of urban comprehensive disaster risk

Natural Hazards - Aiming at solving the difficult problem of inconsistent single-method evaluation results in comprehensive disaster risk assessment, this paper presents an evaluation method based...     

东南丘陵山区深水水库两种浮床植物脱氮效率对比研究

为探究东南丘陵山区深水水库中生态浮床技术深度脱氮的效率及管理措施,以大型山谷型深水水库千岛湖为例,选取湿生植物空心菜(Ipomoea aquatica)和水生植物粉绿狐尾藻(Myriophyllum aquaticum),采用生态浮床技术,开展了原位模拟实验对比研究,探究不同营养盐浓度和光强下两种植物的生长状况与氮素去除效率。结果发现:(1)空心菜长势受营养盐和光照条件影响明显,添加氮磷后(TN=2.37 mg/L,TP=0.046 mg/L)的空心菜生物量是原位水体(TN=0.66 mg/L,TP=0.028 mg/L)的1.6倍,适当遮光有助于浮床植物生长,40%遮光条件下空心菜的生物量是不遮光条件下的1.5倍;而粉绿狐尾藻生长受营养盐和光照条件影响均较小。(2)空心菜对于水体氮素净化能力显著高于粉绿狐尾藻,在最佳条件下空心菜和粉绿狐尾藻对氮素的去除效率分别达到213.30和44.23 mg/(m²·d)。(3)空心菜去除氮主要以植物同化作用为主,占70%以上TN去除量,40%遮光环境通过明显提升空心菜同化吸收氮量和根系反硝化速率增强了氮的去除能力;粉绿狐尾藻同化吸收和反硝化脱氮作用各占50%左右,以遮光75%下脱氮效果最好。本研究表明,采用生态浮床技术能够强化深水水库的脱氮能力,空心菜更适合在氮浓度较高的水体生长,夏季为空心菜和粉绿狐尾藻浮床分别进行40%和75%的遮光处理将有更好的水质净化效果。因此,在滨岸湿地匮乏的深水水库实施多种植物搭配的生态浮床技术强化水体脱氮作用是一种行之有效的水质改善方法。     

上海市学生人群防震减灾科普工作现状调查研究——以初中生群体为例

为了全面系统评价上海市学生人群的防震减灾科普效果,准确了解其科普需求,课题组在2014年下半年选取上海市某初级中学的部分学生作为示例,从科普知识的认知程度、需求与认知偏好、对宣传工作满意度评价、科普教育在学校开展的情况这四个方面进行问卷调查,以便及时总结经验,为今后在该人群中更加科学、高效地开展防震减灾科普宣传工作打下坚实的基础。