基于Mann-Kendall方法的胶东半岛海岸带归一化植被指数趋势分析

利用1998—2008年SPOT/VEGETATION逐旬共372期归一化植被指数时间序列影像数据,引入Mann-Kendall非参数趋势检验方法,分析了胶东半岛最近10 a来的归一化植被指数变化趋势。结果表明,最近10 a来,胶东半岛归一化植被指数变化趋势以衰减区域居主导地位,其中有明显衰减变化趋势的区域占半岛总面积的19.3%,有明显增强变化趋势的区域仅占半岛总面积的2.8%。归一化植被指数衰减区域在空间上沿海岸线呈环状分布,从沿海岸到远离海岸,归一化植被指数增强趋势逐渐明显,衰减最明显的区域大部分位于半岛沿海30 km以内,植被增强趋势最明显区域位于半岛中部山地及沿海防护林地区。人类活动及其空间分布是归一化植被指数变化的主要因素,其中沿海城市化、工业化和海岸湿地开发利用程度的提高导致归一化植被指数衰减,而山地植被保护和海岸防护林建设导致归一化植被指数增强。     

广昌付坊花岗岩地质特征及侵位机制

付坊花岗岩出露在武夷山西坡中段。在１：５万广昌县幅区调工作中,通过对其岩性、化学万分、结构、构造等演化特征的研究,将其划分为洋背、高洲、胡竹、太和、石咀圩５个单元,归并为一个超单元;根据其Ｕ－Ｐb法同位素年龄确定其侵位时代为晚奥陶世,属加里东造山期岩浆活动的产物;侵位机制属早期底辟、晚期轻气球膨胀强力型主动就位。     

不同氧化锰矿物对光催化降解苯酚的影响

合成层状结构的酸性和碱性水钠锰矿以及隧道结构的锰钾矿和钙锰矿,将其用于苯酚的光催化降解研究。分别采用X射线衍射(XRD)、原子吸收光谱(AAS)、扫描电镜(SEM)、BET氮气吸附法和紫外可见漫反射光谱(UV-Vis DRS)对供试锰氧化物的晶体结构、化学组成、微观形貌、比表面积以及光吸收性能等进行了表征。研究表明,暗反应条件锰氧化物对苯酚的降解作用较弱,而UV-Vis光照能显著促进锰氧化物对苯酚的降解。光照反应12 h后,锰钾矿、酸性水钠锰矿、钙锰矿以及碱性水钠锰矿的苯酚降解率分别为92.1%、77.3%、57.4%和45.8%;对应的TOC去除率分别由暗反应时的6.3%、11.2%、2.0%和4.6%提高至62.1%、43.1%、25.4%和22.5%。4种供试锰氧化物均具有光催化活性,其大小顺序为:锰钾矿>酸性水钠锰矿>钙锰矿>碱性水钠锰矿。UV-Vis光照下氧化锰矿物光化学降解苯酚主要存在3种降解机制———苯酚的直接光解,锰氧化物的化学氧化和锰氧化物的光化学催化,其中光催化降解起主导作用。     

MODFLOW和FEFLOW在国内地下水数值模拟中的应用

数值模拟是研究地下水资源问题的主要手段。介绍MODFLOW和FEFLOW这两款地下水数值模型在国内地下水模拟中的应用,比较分析二者在基本原理、模型特点、以及应用领域等方面的差异,提出地下水数值模型的发展趋势。     

松辽盆地北部中浅层含油饱和度和孔隙度的关系与油气侵位对成岩作用的抑制

为了研究油气侵位对松辽盆地中浅层成岩作用和孔隙度衰减的抑制作用,本文系统的统计和分析了该盆地大量的孔隙度和含油饱和度岩芯分析数据。结果表明,所有探井储层的孔隙度与含油饱和度之间均呈正相关关系,储层含油饱和度越高,孔隙度越大,而且中部含油组合中萨尔图油层、葡萄花油层和高台子油层二者的相关性好于下部含油组合中扶余油层和杨大城子油层的相关性。由此可见,油气注入储层之后,可以有效地抑制储层的成岩作用,保护孔隙,而且油气注入越早,越有利于孔隙的保护。     

RELIABILITY BASED ANALYSIS ON RESERVOIR INDUCED EARTHQUAKES

Reservoir induced earthquakes (RIE) are caused by impoundment of reservoir,with the characteristics of small magnitude and shallow focal depth,but they can also lead to not only economic loss,but also many serious secondary disasters,such as dam destruction,landslide,producing greater damages far more than the damages directly produced by earthquakes.So study on RIE is quite significant in the field of dam construction,thus more attentions should be paid to RIE.There are many factors to induce reservoir earthquakes,such as geological condition,rock mass mechanical index,state of crustal stress,pore pressure distribution,all of which are extremely difficult to measure due to the presence of many randomness;even if applying most advanced methods to measure them,the values fluctuate in great range,without a certain value in time and space.The great variety of these parameters gives rise to troubles to analyze RIE by deterministic approaches.How to handle the randomness of these factors has become vital problem in the field of RIE research.In this study,based on probability theory,and taking the main influence factors as stochastic variables,a new method to analyze probability of RIE was proposed by applying reliability theory.Firstly,the factors inducing reservoir earthquakes were analyzed,of which pore pressure in fault caused by water impounding of reservoir plays a vital role in triggering earthquakes.Then,taking these factors,including attitude,friction coefficient,cohesion of fault plane,stress state of fault plane and pore pressure in fault,as stochastic variables,performance function of triggering earthquakes was established by applying Coulomb stress on the fault plane,and reliability theory was used to analyze probability of earthquake induced by main factors.A special case analysis showed that:(1) The probability of induced earthquakes dramatically increases as pore pressure in fault increases;under the condition of equal pore pressure at triggering earthquakes area,probability of induced earthquakes obviously rises with enlarging of variation of pore pressure;(2) those faults with strike approximately parallel to horizontal maximum principal stress direction or with steep dip angle about more than 60° are prone to inducing earthquake;(3) as horizontal minimum principal stress increases,which has greater effect on induced earthquakes than horizontal maximum principal stress,probability of induced earthquakes becomes lower and fault keeps in more stable condition;(4) probability of induced earthquakes gradually decreases with the increase of friction coefficient and cohesion of fault plane;However,the effect of friction coefficient on induced earthquakes is much greater than the cohesion of fault plane.     

SIMULATION STUDY OF ROAD-CUT EFFECTS ON SLOPE STABILITY

Landslides and rock falls along the highway are common geological hazards in Southwest China. As an influencing factor on potential landslides behavior, roads or distance to roads have been successfully used in landslide susceptibility assessments in mountainous area. However, the relationship between the road-cut and the slope stability is not clear. Therefore, we performed two-dimensional slope stability calculation using the general limit equilibrium (GLE)method incorporated in the software SLOPE/W of GeoStudio for stability analysis of slopes. Our studies show that the man-made roads influence on the slope stability mainly exists in two ways:One is to create a new steep slope, which will result in rock falls and shallow landslides along the roads; the other is to influence the stability of the original slope, which will result in comparatively huge landslides. For the latter, our simulation study reveals that the road location, namely at which part of a natural slope to construct a road is important for the slope stability. For a natural slope with a potential slip surface, if a road is constructed at or near the slope toe where the potential slip surface surpasses, it will greatly degrade the slope's factor of safety (Fs) and make the slope unstable; however, if a rode-cut is near the top of the slope, it will increase the slope's Fs and make the slope more stable. The safety location is different for different slope angle, steeper slope needs a higher location for a safety road-cut in comparison with gentle slopes. Moreover, the slope stability decreases when loading a seismic force and it varies with the slope angle. Firstly, the Fs decreases when the slope angle increasing, and when the slope angle reaches 45°, the Fs then becomes greater with the slope angle increasing.     

油气管道穿越黄土冲沟的管线设计参数研究

长输油气管道经过黄土冲沟边坡时常常采用斜井穿越的方式,采用数值强度折减法与实际地形建模结合的方法,以陕西千阳黄土冲沟边坡为例,通过对黄土力学参数的不断折减,以收敛性准则作为边坡是否产生滑动的破坏判据,根据边坡滑动时的位移等值线图确定了边坡潜在滑动面的形状及位置,确定了管线穿越斜井的初始安全设计参数;基于初步设计参数研究了管线斜井开挖过程中井周土体的位移变化规律,并对斜井开挖后黄土冲沟边坡的稳定性安全系数进行了进一步分析计算。分析结果表明,所给出的管线穿越斜井设计参数的确定方法,能在设计阶段有效避开冲沟边坡潜在滑动区,基于这种设计参数使得管道斜井施工对边坡稳定性影响很小,边坡安全系数由1.162变为1.156,变化不大。根据计算结果,对斜井支护区域也提出了合理的建议。     

交通基础设施投资与区域经济增长的互动关系——基于西部大开发的实证分析

自2000年以来交通基础设施投资对推动西部地区经济增长效果显著,投资规模和分布的变化对经济效率具有重要影响。货运量对西部地区的GDP有着正向的作用,但是客运量和货运周转量对西部地区经济增长的作用为负。经济发展是影响货物运输需求的最敏感因素,交通基础设施滞后造成的西部经济增长同其发展潜力的错位依然存在。同初期开发规模和模式相比,对西部地区交通基础设施的进一步投资必须要保证西部各省市区的经济发展能够真正受惠于交通基础设施的完善,提高投资的经济效率。     

1998~2008年中国东部沿海植被覆盖变化特征

基于1998~2008年的SPOT-VGT数据,利用CVA、一元线性回归、Hurst指数等方法分析中国东部沿海植被覆盖变化特征及趋势,并编制植被覆盖退化特征图谱。研究表明:植被覆盖总体呈上升趋势,高变化和中变化区比例合计达26.23%;与此同时,退化区也大量分布;植被覆盖变化的自相似性和长程依赖性突出,区域尺度Hurst指数高达0.84,增长趋势可持续,像元尺度Hurst指数普遍较高,但空间格局比较复杂;未来植被覆盖趋于恶化的面积约占10.58%,三大都市圈及部分海岸带区域严重退化并将持续退化,众多中小城市周边中度退化并将持续退化。