Evaluation of nonlinear models for precipitation forecasting

Prediction of factors affecting water resources systems is important for their design and operation. In hydrology, wavelet analysis (WA) is known as a new method for time series analysis. In this study, WA was combined with an artificial neural network (ANN) for prediction of precipitation at Varayeneh station, western Iran. The results obtained were compared with the adaptive neural fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and ANN. Moreover, data on relative humidity and temperature were employed in addition to rainfall data to examine their influence on precipitation forecasting. Overall, this study concluded that the hybrid WANN model outperformed the other models in the estimation of maxima and minima, and is the best at forecasting precipitation. Furthermore, training and transfer functions are recommended for similar studies of precipitation forecasting.     

Sedimentological,Geochemical and Hydrogeochemical Studies of Alluvial Fans for Mineral and Environmental Purposes (Case Study of Southwestern Iran)

Lithology and Mineral Resources - The alluvial-fan sediments play a very important role in mineral reserves and underground water resources, though a comprehensive study on such sediments,...     

Groundwater level simulation using gene expression programming and M5 model tree combined with wavelet transform

ABSTRACT

In order to understand and adequately manage hydrological stress, it is necessary to simulate groundwater levels accurately. In this research, gene expression programming (GEP) and M5 model tree (M5) are used to simulate monthly groundwater levels. The models are combined with wavelet transform to produce two hybrid models: wavelet gene expression programming (WGEP) and wavelet M5 model tree (WM5). For the simulation, groundwater level, temperature and precipitation values from three observation wells and one meteorological station, located in Iran, are used. The results indicate that the hybrid models, WGEP and WM5, lead to a better performance than the simple models, GEP and M5. The performance of the two hybrid models is similar. It is also observed that selecting a suitable time lag for inputs plays an important role in the accuracy of the simple models. The selection of a suitable decomposition level strongly affects the accuracy of hybrid models.     

Pre-processing data using wavelet transform and PCA based on support vector regression and gene expression programming for river flow simulation

An accurate estimation of flow using different models is an issue for water resource researchers. In this study, support vector regression (SVR) and gene expression programming (GEP) models in daily and monthly scale were used in order to simulate Gamasiyab River flow in Nahavand, Iran. The results showed that although the performance of models in daily scale was acceptable and the result of SVR model was a little better, their performance in the daily scale was really better than the monthly scale. Therefore, wavelet transform was used and the main signal of every input was decomposed. Then, by using principal component analysis method, important sub-signals were recognized and used as inputs for the SVR and GEP models to produce wavelet-support vector regression (WSVR) and wavelet-gene expression programming. The results showed that the performance of WSVR was better than the SVR in such a way that the combination of SVR with wavelet could improve the determination coefficient of the model up to 3% and 18% for daily and monthly scales, respectively. Totally, it can be said that the combination of wavelet with SVR is a suitable tool for the prediction of Gamasiyab River flow in both daily and monthly scales.     

Investigation of the Concentration of Metals in Two Economically Important Fish Species from the Caspian Sea and Assessment of Potential Risk to Human Health

Ocean Science Journal - Our specific objectives were to determine the concentrations of heavy metals (Cadmium, Lead, Arsenic, Mercury, Zinc, copper, Manganese and Cobalt) in the liver, gill, kidney...