Climate change impact to Mackenzie river Basin projected by a regional climate model

Climate Dynamics - A regional climate model, WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting model), was set-up and fine-tuned to simulate the possible impacts of climate change to the Mackenzie River Basin...     

2004-2009年黄河口近岸海域低盐区面积的变化趋势研究

近年来黄河人海淡水量显著降低,而且年内分布极其不均匀,河口区的盐度场发生了重大变化.准确了解河口近岸海域的低盐区面积及其变化趋势,对于河口生态系统的研究极为重要.本文通过对2004-2009年丰、枯水期黄河口近岸海域低盐区面积大小的分析,建立了低盐区面积与黄河径流量的关系.结果表明,2004-2009年丰、枯水期低盐区面积与月径流量均呈现较好的线性关系,增加单位平方千米盐度小于27的低盐区面积需要增加的月径流量约为0.046亿m3;若要维持紧邻河口的3号方区海域的平均盐度小于27,月径流量应保持在50亿m3以上.此外,年内黄河口近岸海域低盐区面积的较大值主要集中在6～11月份,均高于370km2,而4、5月份的低盐区面积却不足200 km2,春季生态补水刻不容缓.     

Highway flood disaster risk evaluation and management in China

Flood disaster has become one of the most damaging natural disasters for the highway transportation all around the world, especially its destructive effects on highway infrastructures. In order to better understand the ruinous influence of flood disaster on highway transportation in China, this paper proposes an alternative evaluation index of highway flood disaster risk from three aspects, namely the disaster-causing factors, disaster-inducing environment, and disaster-bearing subjects. This paper also puts forward some targeted suggestions for the risk management, including two aspects: physical protection measurement and organization and management measurement. Moreover, this paper develops a highway flood disaster risk management system by using the ArcGIS technology.     

2001—2011年黄河口营养盐变化及入海通量估算

为更好地认识黄河向渤海的营养盐输送情况及其对渤海生态环境的影响,根据文献资料和实验室监测数据,讨论了黄河口淡水端4a间的营养盐浓度月际变化,并用月均浓度占年均浓度比例的方法对2001—2011年营养盐入海通量进行了估算。结果表明:黄河口DIN的月平均浓度变化范围为222.6～403.8μmol/L,NO3--N占DIN的比例约为94.3%,5月份浓度约为8月份的1.8倍。NH4+-N枯水期浓度约为丰水期的10倍。NO2--N浓度变化范围较大,约有1/4的月份超过7.14μmol/L。PO34--P普遍处于0.80μmol/L以下,秋、冬季高于春、夏季。SiO23--Si的月浓度基本在年均浓度上下浮动。2001—2011年黄河口DIN的年平均通量约为6.51×104 t/a,其中NO3--N约为5.76×104 t/a,NH4+-N约为0.80×104t/a,NO2--N约为0.108×104 t/a。PO34--P的年入海通量约为211.4t/a,SiO23--Si约为5.79×104 t/a。2005年以来DIN通量的下降幅度大于同期径流量的下降幅度,说明黄河向渤海输送的营养盐浓度呈现降低趋势。     

Highway flood disaster risk evaluation and management in China

Flood disaster has become one of the most damaging natural disasters for the highway transportation all around the world, especially its destructive effects on highway infrastructures. In order to better understand the ruinous influence of flood disaster on highway transportation in China, this paper proposes an alternative evaluation index of highway flood disaster risk from three aspects, namely the disaster-causing factors, disaster-inducing environment, and disaster-bearing subjects. This paper also puts forward some targeted suggestions for the risk management, including two aspects: physical protection measurement and organization and management measurement. Moreover, this paper develops a highway flood disaster risk management system by using the ArcGIS technology.

     

Historical and potential changes of precipitation and temperature of Alberta subjected to climate change impact: 1900–2100

We investigated changes to precipitation and temperature of Alberta for historical and future periods. First, the Mann-Kendall test and Sen’s slope were used to test for historical trends and trend magnitudes from the climate data of Alberta, respectively. Second, the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) (A1B, A2, and B1) of CMIP3 (Phase 3 of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project), projected by seven general circulation models (GCM) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for three 30 years periods (2020s, 2050s, and 2080s), were used to evaluate the potential impact of climate change on precipitation and temperature of Alberta. Third, trends of projected precipitation and temperature were investigated, and differences between historical versus projected trends were estimated. Using the 50-km resolution dataset from CANGRD (Canadian Grid Climate Data), we found that Alberta had become warmer and somewhat drier for the past 112 years (1900–2011), especially in central and southern Alberta. For observed precipitation, upward trends mainly occurred in northern Alberta and at the leeward side of Canadian Rocky Mountains. However, only about 13 to 22 % of observed precipitation showed statistically significant increasing trends at 5 % significant level. Most observed temperature showed significant increasing trends, up to 0.05 °C/year in DJF (December, January, and February) in northern Alberta. GCMs’ SRES projections indicated that seasonal precipitation of Alberta could change from ?25 to 36 %, while the temperature would increase from 2020s to 2080s, with the largest increase (6.8 °C) in DJF. In all 21 GCM-SRES cases considered, precipitation in both DJF and MAM (March, April, and May) is projected to increase, while temperature is consistently projected to increase in all seasons, which generally agree with the trends of historical precipitation and temperature. The SRES A1B scenario of CCSM3 might project more realistic future climate for Alberta, where its water resources can become more critical in the future as its streamflow is projected to decrease continually in the future.     

Transmittance investigation on capacitive mesh on thick dielectric substrates as output windows for optically pumped terahertz lasers

This paper reports that an output window for optically pumped terahertz (THz) laser has been fabricated by depositing a capacitive nickel-mesh on a thick high-resistivity silicon substrate (approximating to 5 mm thick). Unlike the conventional process of depositing a gold film approximating to 100 nm on negative photoresist using electron-beam evaporation, a nickel film approximating to 1.5 μm thick is directly deposited on the clean surface of dielectric substrate using magnetron sputtering and then a positive photoresist is spun onto the nickel metal surface at 6000 r for 60 s. A transmittance spectrum of the output window in a certain frequency range (say, from zero to 1 THz) has been obtained by using THz time domain spectroscopy. Moreover a transmittance spectrum simulated numerically has also been estimated with respect to the output window using the transmission-line model (TLM) containing attenuation component from dielectric substrate. The simulation results show that the TLM can explain well the experimental curve in a certain frequency range from zero to 1 THz. Thus it is demonstrated that the improved optical component can be efficiently used as both output coupler and output window for optically pumped THz lasers.