Potential impacts of afforestation on climate change and extreme events in Nigeria

Afforestation is usually thought as a good approach to mitigate impacts of warming over a region. This study presents an argument that afforestation may have bigger impacts than originally thought by previous studies. The study investigates the impacts of afforestation on future climate and extreme events in Nigeria, using a regional climate model (RegCM3), forced with global climate model simulations. The impacts of seven afforestation options on the near future (2031–2050, under A1B scenario) climate and the extreme events are investigated. RegCM3 replicates essential features in the present-day (1981–2000) climate and the associated extreme events, and adequately simulates the seasonal variations over the ecological zones in the country. However, the model simulates the seasonal climate better over the northern ecological zones than over the southern ecological zones. The simulated spatial distribution of the extreme events agrees well with the observation, though the magnitude of the simulated events is smaller than the observed. The study shows that afforestation in Nigeria could have both positive and negative future impacts on the climate change and extreme events in the country. While afforestation reduces the projected global warming and enhances rainfall over the afforested area (and over coastal zones), it enhances the warming and reduces the rainfall over the north-eastern part of the country. In addition, the afforestation induces more frequent occurrence of extreme rainfall events (flooding) over the coastal region and more frequent occurrence of heat waves and droughts over the semi-arid region. The positive and negative impacts of the afforestation are not limited to Nigeria; they extend to the neighboring countries. While afforestation lowers the warming and enhances rainfall over Benin Republic, it increases the warming and lowers the rainfall over Niger, Chad and Cameroon. The result of the study has important implication for the ongoing climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts in Nigeria.     

Stratigraphic and geotechnical characterization of regionally extensive and highly competent shallow sand units in the southern North Sea

A detailed stratigraphic and geotechnical investigation of the uppermost 50 m below the sea floor was carried out for parts of the German North Sea sector using combined information from shallow seismic reflection surveys, 50-m-long sediment cores and cone penetration tests covering an area of ~150 km². While most recent studies concentrate on unusual features such as buried tunnel- or river-valleys, this study focused on the less well understood, regionally dominant sand units deposited after the retreat of the last glaciers in this region. We identified two sandy units which dominate the late- to post-Saalian geology: (i) the Upper Fluvial Member, believed to be derived from deposition of the Weser, Ems and Elbe palaeorivers as well as other tributaries of the Elbe Palaeovalley in the NE during the Saalian; and (ii) the Aeolian Member, which correlates with periglacial deposits of Weichselian age. Additionally, a Saalian Buried Valley Member believed to comprise fluvial deposit was also identified. Key stratigraphic units within the uppermost 50 m below the sea floor were also identified and mapped. Detailed geotechnical properties were obtained for each of the individual stratigraphic units. The regional extent of the Aeolian and Upper Fluvial Members was documented in the region west of the Elbe Palaeovalley and south of the Dogger Bank, where their geotechnical properties are important for foundation design. In conclusion, the study complements the established regional geotechno-stratigraphy and offers new and detailed publically accessible information beneficial for offshore wind farm development within the region.     

Borehole failures in crystalline rocks of South-Western Nigeria

Boreholes drilled in the crystalline rocks of Nigeria have a reputation of failures and low yields. The performance of 256 boreholes drilled in different parts of the crystalline rocks of SW Nigeria were reviewed to determine their failure characteristics. 100% success was claimed for 105 boreholes constructed by one driller. Out of 111 other borehole records supplied by three other drillers 35 were abortive, representing a failure rate of 32%. In contrast, 24 owners of 40 boreholes reported 24 failures representing a failure rate of 60%.The common causes of borehole failure in the crystalline rocks of SW Nigeria are seasonal variations in water level, improper casing of the overburden, damage to pumps and other system failures such as blocked pipelines and malfunctioning tanks. Non-penetration into the water bearing horizon also features as a cause of borehole failure in this study.It is suggested that proper construction, operation and maintenance of boreholes will reduce the incidence of borehole failures in crystalline rocks of SW Nigeria.     

Modeling the impacts of reforestation on future climate in West Africa

This study investigates the potential impacts of reforestation in West Africa on the projected regional climate in the near two decades (2031–2050) under the SRES A1B scenario. A regional climate model (RegCM3) forced with a global circulation model (ECHAM5) simulations was used for the study. The study evaluates the capability of the regional model in simulating the present-day climate over West Africa, projects the future climate over the region and investigates impacts of seven hypothetical reforestation options on the projected future climate. Three of these reforestation options assume zonal reforestation over West Africa (i.e., over the Sahel, Savanna and Guinea), while the other four assume random reforestation over Nigeria. With the elevated GHGs (A1B scenario), a warmer and drier climate is projected over West Africa in 2031–2050. The maximum warming (+2.5°C) and drying (?2?mm?day^?1) occur in the western part of the Sahel because the West Africa Monsoon (WAM) flow is stronger and deflects the cool moist air more eastward, thereby lowering the warming and drying in the eastern part. In the simulations, reforestation reduces the projected warming and drying over the reforested zones but increases them outside the zones because it influences the northward progression of WAM in summer. It reduces the speed of the flow by weakening the temperature gradient that drives the flow and by increasing the surface drag on the flow over the reforested zone. Hence, in summer, the reforestation delays the onset of monsoon flow in transporting cool moist air over the area located downwind of the reforested zone, consequently enhancing the projected warming and drying over the area. The impact of reforesting Nigeria is not limited to the country; while it lowers the warming over part of the country (and over Togo), it increases the warming over Chad and Cameroon. This study, therefore, suggests that using reforestation to mitigate the projected future climate change in West Africa could have both positive and negative impacts on the regional climate, reducing temperature in some places and increasing it in others. Hence, reforestation in West Africa requires a mutual agreement among the West African nations because the impacts of reforestation do not recognize political boundaries.