首都减灾圈的思考与建议

首都减灾圈,系首都减轻自然灾害预测防治圈。1991年12月20—21日在北京召开了《首都圈自然灾害及其减灾对策研讨会》。本文根据这次会议所提供的材料,在从整体上实现减灾的思想指导下,就首都减灾圈的“成灾背景”、“首都减灾圈的组成”、“首都减灾圈的灾害预测与防治状况”、“首都减灾圈的灾害关联性分析”、“首都减灾圈的减灾实效预估”和“首都减灾圈的减灾对策与实施”等六个带有共同性的问题,进行了讨论。供制定首都圈减灾方案时参考。     

Water–rock interaction during the process of steam stimulation exploitation of viscous crude oil in Liaohe Shuguang Oil Field, Liaoning, China

In the process of steam stimulation exploitation of viscous crude oil, the injected water, at high temperature and under high pressure, reacts intensively with the host rock. This kind of water–rock interaction in Liaohe Shuguang Oil Field was studied on the basis of analysis of water composition changes, laboratory experiments, mineral saturation indices analysis, and mass balance calculation. Compared with the injected water, the changes of the composition of discharged water are mainly the distinct decrease of pH, Na⁺, SiO₂ and Cl⁻, as well as the increase of K⁺, Ca²⁺, Mg²⁺, SO ₄ ²⁻ and HCO ₃ ⁻ . Laboratory experiments under field conditions showed: the dissolution sequence of minerals quantitatively is quartz>potassium feldspar>albite, and the main change of clay minerals is the conversion of kaolinite to analcime. Mass balance calculation indicated during the process of steam stimulation, large quantities of analcime are precipitated with the dissolution of large amounts of quartz, kaolinite, potassium feldspar, and CO₂. These results correlated very well with the experimental results. The calculated results of Liaohe Shuguang Oil Field showed that during the steam stimulation for viscous crude oil, the amounts of minerals dissolved (precipitated) are huge. To control the clogging of pore spaces of oil reservoirs, increased study of water–rock interaction is needed.     

面向GIS增量数据的订阅与发布机制研究

在分析已有数据分发策略的基础上,提出了一种基于"订阅与发布"机制的GIS增量数据快速分发方法。该方法首先利用用户的注册信息记录用户感兴趣的数据范围或类型,当服务器接收到增量数据时,根据不同的用户对增量数据进行筛选,并提出了一种基于联想模式的数据关联查询策略,再将筛选出来的数据发送给相应的客户端用户。经试验论证,该方法能够针对不同的用户需求,将GIS增量数据快速准确地发送给客户端用户,有助于数据的有效利用和管理。     

高分辨率模式雷达回波预报能力分析

利用2018年7—8月GRAPES_3 km、东北短临(WRFRUC)高分辨率模式综合雷达回波预报数据和辽宁省SWAN雷达组合反射率(MCR)实况,基于邻域法FSS评分指数,分析模式在台风北上和副热带高压边缘暴雨过程中的雷达回波预报能力。结果表明:两家模式在不同降水过程中对小阈值雷达回波有较好的预报技巧,随着回波量级增大,模式预报FSS逐渐减小,雷达回波55 dBz时,FSS甚至为0。当邻域半径是3时,35 dBz以下的回波预报中GRAPES模式在台风北上暴雨中的预报技巧低于副热带高压边缘,35 dBz则相反。WRFRUC模式始终表现为台风北上暴雨中预报较好。当邻域半径9时,WRFRUC模式在台风暴雨中的FSS评分高于GRAPES模式,GRAPES模式在副热带高压暴雨中的FSS评分始终高于WRFRUC模式。GRAPES和WRFRUC模式的最大FSS评分技巧均出现在邻域半径是11时,分别为0.239和0.195。GRAPES模式中FSS评分在12 h逐小时预报中前3个时次较强,WRFRUC模式则表现为中间时次强,两头弱。     

A unified C-band and Ku-band geophysical model function determined by neural network approach

The geophysical model function （GMF） describes the relationship between backscattering and sea surface wind, so that wind vec- tors can be retrieved from backscattering measurement. The GMF plays an important role in ocean wind vector retrievals, its performance will directly influence the accuracy of the retrieved wind vector. Neural network （NN） approach is used to develop a unified GMF for C-band and Ku-band （NN-GMF）. Empirical GMF CMOIM and QSCAT-1 are used to generate the simulated training data-set, and Gaussian noise at a signal noise ratio of 30 dB is added to the data-set to simulate the noise in the backscat- tering measurement. The NN-GMF employs radio frequency as an additional parameter, so it can be applied for both C-band and Ku-band. Analyses show that the %predicted by the NN-GMF is comparable with the σpredicted by CMOIM and QSCAT-1. Also the wind vectors retrieved from the NN-GMF and empirical GMF CMOIM and QSCAT-1 are comparable, indicating that the NN-GMF is as effective as the empirical GMF, and has the advantages of the universal form.     

哈拉哈塘地区东河砂岩段-角砾岩段沉积模式探讨

塔北的哈拉哈塘地区是东河砂岩油气勘探的重点地区,该地区目前已发现并探明了东河塘和哈得4两个东河砂岩油气藏,油气储量丰富,显示出良好的勘探前景。基于哈拉哈塘地区东河砂岩段和角砾岩段的岩性段穿时沉积现象异常明显,根据层序地层学原理和方法对哈拉哈塘地区东河砂岩段一角砾岩段进行了重新分层和对比,在层序分层等时地层框架的基础上重新进行了东河砂岩段一角砾岩段沉积模式研究,弄清该地区地层分布规律、演化规律、砂体分布及储层分布规律对该地区的油气勘探具有重要指导意义。     

X-ray flurorescene (XRF) determination of trace rare-earth elements in geological samples using ion-exchange-resin membrane technique

Rare-earth elements in samples of geological interest were separated from other elements and concentrated onto ion-exchange membrane through ion-exchange procedures. The membrane was then used to determine the REE by X-ray fluorescence spectrography. In comparison with the traditional “thick-specimen” approach, the requirement of sample (REE oxides) in this method was reduced from 10 to 1 mg. Variable-internal-standard-quantification method was adopted to determine the relative concentrations of REE collected on the membrane. The area density of the sample was controlled at about 0.0003 g/cm², so that the matrix effect could be eliminated to a satisfactory extent. Interference calibration between the spectro-lines and the background determination was also improved, with the detection limit reaching 2.5×10^?6g.     

C—O—H体系高温高压流体相组成的热力学研究

本文在C－O－H体系流体相平衡基础上,利用现有的热力学数据和新的p－V－T资料,在pT=∑pi假定下,计算了高温、高压条件下流体相组成。结果表明,该体系主要存在五种流体相,在不同温压条件下各流体相所占比例不同。在相对较低的温、压条件下,CH4是体系中占主要的流体相（约占70％）,且随温、压和氧逸度的升高,它所占比例却明显降低,所获结果为探讨无机成因天然气形成的可能性、存在的量比和稳定存在的物理化学条件提供了充分的理论依据。     

北京暴雨与旱涝关系的分析

根据北京近百年的逐日降水资料,分析了汛期暴雨与汛期旱涝的关系。指出:汛期暴雨多少和强度对汛期降水丰歉具有决定性作用;在给出的3种暴雨指数中,相当暴雨日数与旱涝级别的相关性最好。文中还讨论了旱涝短期气候预测与暴雨过程的短期气候预测相结合的必要性。     

盾构机全站仪激光导向模式误差灵敏度分析

通过对盾构机全站仪激光导向系统的测量原理研究,并对盾构坐标与施工坐标系的旋转模型转换原理分析,建立盾构姿态参数与坐标旋转模型的关系。然后通过全站仪测量激光标靶棱镜和切口坐标与激光标靶相对位置的误差分析得到相关结论。