全文获取类型
收费全文 | 137篇 |
免费 | 7篇 |
国内免费 | 11篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 5篇 |
大气科学 | 11篇 |
地球物理 | 41篇 |
地质学 | 40篇 |
海洋学 | 24篇 |
天文学 | 22篇 |
自然地理 | 12篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 1篇 |
2022年 | 2篇 |
2021年 | 2篇 |
2020年 | 1篇 |
2018年 | 6篇 |
2017年 | 3篇 |
2016年 | 5篇 |
2015年 | 3篇 |
2014年 | 2篇 |
2013年 | 9篇 |
2012年 | 3篇 |
2011年 | 2篇 |
2010年 | 4篇 |
2009年 | 5篇 |
2008年 | 4篇 |
2007年 | 7篇 |
2006年 | 9篇 |
2005年 | 6篇 |
2004年 | 1篇 |
2003年 | 2篇 |
2002年 | 4篇 |
2001年 | 3篇 |
2000年 | 1篇 |
1999年 | 4篇 |
1997年 | 4篇 |
1996年 | 2篇 |
1995年 | 3篇 |
1993年 | 2篇 |
1992年 | 1篇 |
1991年 | 3篇 |
1990年 | 3篇 |
1989年 | 1篇 |
1988年 | 1篇 |
1987年 | 2篇 |
1985年 | 5篇 |
1984年 | 5篇 |
1983年 | 6篇 |
1982年 | 3篇 |
1981年 | 3篇 |
1980年 | 4篇 |
1979年 | 4篇 |
1978年 | 4篇 |
1976年 | 2篇 |
1974年 | 1篇 |
1973年 | 2篇 |
1972年 | 1篇 |
1971年 | 1篇 |
1961年 | 1篇 |
1940年 | 1篇 |
1934年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有155条查询结果,搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
2.
3.
4.
On the analysis of catch and effort data 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
5.
Kick 'em Jenny is the only known currently active submarine volcano in the Lesser Antilles. The volcano has erupted at least 10 times since first being discovered in 1939 and the summit has shoaled from a depth of 232 m in 1962 to its present-day depth of 150 m. Kick 'em Jenny is located in a province of explosive volcanism, has a known history of explosive eruptions and erupts magma of an explosive type. Future eruptions are likely to become increasingly more violent as the effect of the overlying water pressure becomes less. A preliminary study (Smith and Shepherd, 1993) suggests that Kick 'em Jenny is a prime candidate for tsunamigenic eruptions on a potentially hazardous scale, possibly affecting the whole of the eastern Caribbean region.The classic approach to problems of water waves generated by sudden disturbances of the free surface makes use of the Cauchy-Poisson-Lamb theory. A large number of theoretical developments to this theory have been made for specific forms of surface disturbance. A development by Unoki and Nakano (1953a, b) considers both two- and three-dimensional Cauchy-Poisson waves generated by finite initial elevations and impulses applied to a free surface of infinitely deep water. Unoki and Nakano's results compared well to the wave systems recorded following submarine eruptions of the Myojinsho Reef volcano in 1952–53.Given the similarity of the two situations, Unoki and Nakano's theory is applied to Kick 'em Jenny to provide estimates of potential Cauchy-Poisson wave heights throughout the eastern Caribbean for a range of eruption magnitudes. The results show that, although the waves generated are unlikely to pose much of a threat to the eastern Caribbean as a whole, they should be considered a hazard to the islands immediately adjacent to the volcano including Grenada, the Grenadines, and St Vincent. 相似文献
6.
7.
8.
To predict future river flows, empirical trend projection (ETP) analyses and extends historic trends, while hydroclimatic modelling (HCM) incorporates regional downscaling from global circulation model (GCM) outputs. We applied both approaches to the extensively allocated Oldman River Basin that drains the North American Rocky Mountains and provides an international focus for water sharing. For ETP, we analysed monthly discharges from 1912 to 2008 with non‐parametric regression, and extrapolated changes to 2055. For modelling, we refined the physical models MTCLIM and SNOPAC to provide water inputs into RIVRQ (river discharge), a model that assesses the streamflow regime as involving dynamic peaks superimposed on stable baseflow. After parameterization with 1960–1989 data, we assessed climate forecasts from six GCMs: CGCM1‐A, HadCM3, NCAR‐CCM3, ECHAM4 and 5 and GCM2. Modelling reasonably reconstructed monthly hydrographs (R2 about 0·7), and averaging over three decades closely reconstructed the monthly pattern (R2 = 0·94). When applied to the GCM forecasts, the model predicted that summer flows would decline considerably, while winter and early spring flows would increase, producing a slight decline in the annual discharge (?3%, 2005–2055). The ETP predicted similarly decreased summer flows but slight change in winter flows and greater annual flow reduction (?9%). The partial convergence of the seasonal flow projections increases confidence in a composite analysis and we thus predict further declines in summer (about ? 15%) and annual flows (about ? 5%). This composite projection indicates a more modest change than had been anticipated based on earlier GCM analyses or trend projections that considered only three or four decades. For other river basins, we recommend the utilization of ETP based on the longest available streamflow records, and HCM with multiple GCMs. The degree of correspondence from these two independent approaches would provide a basis for assessing the confidence in projections for future river flows and surface water supplies. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
9.
10.
SA Mwachireya M Carreiro-Silva BE Hartwick TR McClanahan 《African Journal of Marine Science》2018,40(1):25-42
Microbioerosion rates and microbioeroder community structure were studied in four Kenyan protected coral-reef lagoons using shell fragments of Tridacna giant clams to determine their response to the influence of terrestrial run-off. Fourteen different microbioeroder traces from seven cyanobacteria, three green algae and four fungi species were identified. The river discharge-impacted reef and ‘pristine’ reef showed similar composition but higher microbioeroder abundance and total cyanobacteria- and chlorophyte-bioeroded areas when compared with the other study reefs. Cyanobacteria dominated during the north-east monsoon (NEM) relative to the south-east monsoon (SEM) season, with algae and cyanobacteria being major microbioeroders in the river-impacted and pristine reefs. The rate of microbioerosion varied between 4.3 g CaCO3 m?2 y?1 (SEM) and 134.7 g CaCO3 m?2 y?1 (NEM), and was highest in the river-impacted reef (127.6 g CaCO3 m?2 y?1), which was almost double that in the pristine reef (69.5 g CaCO3 m?2 y?1) and the mangrove-fringed reef (56.2 g CaCO3 m?2 y?1). The microbioerosion rates measured in this study may not be high enough to cause concern with regard to the health and net carbonate production of Kenya’s coral reefs. Nevertheless, predicted increases in the frequency and severity of stresses related to global climate change (e.g. increased sea surface temperature, acidification), as well as interactions with local disturbances and their influence on bioerosion, may be increasingly important in the future. 相似文献