排序方式: 共有23条查询结果,搜索用时 0 毫秒
1.
Konstantia?TolikaEmail author Panagiotis?Maheras Christina?Anagnostopoulou 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2018,132(3-4):809-821
The highest rainfall totals (912.2 mm) and the largest number of raindays (133 days), since 1958, were recorded in Thessaloniki during the year of 2014. Extreme precipitation heights were also observed on a seasonal, monthly and daily basis. The examined year presented the highest daily rainfall intensity, the maximum daily precipitation and the largest number of heavy precipitation days (greater than 10 mm), and it also exceeded the previous amounts of precipitation of very wet (95th percentile) and extremely wet (99th percentile) days. According to the automatic circulation type classification scheme that was used, it was found that during this exceptionally wet year, the frequency of occurrence of cyclonic types at the near surface geopotential level increases, while the same types decreased at a higher atmospheric level (500 hPa). The prevailing type was type C which is located at the centre of the study area (Greece), but several other cyclonic types changed during this year not only their frequency but also their percentage of rainfall as well as their daily precipitation intensity. It should be highlighted that these findings differentiated on the seasonal-scale analysis. Moreover, out of the three teleconnection patterns that were examined (Scandinavian Pattern, Eastern Mediterranean Teleconnection Pattern and North Sea-Caspian Pattern), the Scandinavian one (SCAND) was detected during the most of the months of 2014 meaning that it was highly associated with intense precipitation over Greece. 相似文献
2.
L. Makra J. Mika A. Bartzokas R. Béczi E. Borsos Z. Sümeghy 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2006,92(1-2):115-137
Summary This paper determines the characteristic air mass types over the Carpathian Basin for the winter (December, January, and February)
and summer (June, July and August) months dependant on levels of the main air pollutants. Based on the ECMWF data set, daily
sea-level pressure fields analysed at 00 UTC were prepared for each air mass type (cluster) in order to relate sea-level pressure
patterns with the level of air pollutants in Szeged. The data comprise daily values of twelve meteorological and eight pollutant
parameters for the period 1997–2001. Objective definition of the characteristic air mass types is achieved by using the methods
of Factor Analysis and Cluster Analysis. According to the results, during the winter months five air mass types (clusters)
were detected based on higher concentrations of primary pollutants that occur with high irradiance and low wind speed. This
is the case when an anticyclone is found over the Carpathian Basin and over the region south of Hungary, influencing the weather
of the country. Low levels of pollutants occur when zonal currents exert influence over Hungary. During the summer months
anticyclones and anticyclone ridge situations are found over the Carpathian Basin. (During the prevalence of anticyclone ridge
situations, the Carpathian Basin is found at the edge of a high pressure centre.) As a result of high irradiance and very
low NO levels, secondary pollutants are highly enriched. 相似文献
3.
Recent past and future patterns of the Etesian winds based on regional scale climate model simulations 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Christina Anagnostopoulou Prodromos Zanis Eleni Katragkou Ioannis Tegoulias Konstantia Tolika 《Climate Dynamics》2014,42(7-8):1819-1836
The aim of this work is to investigate the recent past and future patterns of the Etesian winds, one of the most persistent localized wind systems in the world, which dominates the wind regime during warm period over the Aegean Sea and eastern Mediterranean. An objective classification method, the Two Step Cluster Analysis (TSCA), is applied on daily data from regional climate model simulations carried out with RegCM3 for the recent past (1961–1990) and future periods (2021–2050 and 2071–2100) constrained at lateral boundaries either by ERA-40 reanalysis fields or the global circulation model (GCM) ECHAM5. Three distinct Etesian patterns are identified by TSCA with the location and strength of the anticyclonic action center dominating the differences among the patterns. In case of the first Etesian pattern there is a ridge located over western and central Europe while for the other two Etesian patterns the location of the ridge moves eastward indicating a strong anticyclonic center over the Balkans. The horizontal and vertical spatial structure of geopotential height and the vertical velocity indicates that in all three Etesian patterns the anticyclonic action center over central Europe or Balkan Peninsula cannot be considered as an extension of the Azores high. The future projections for the late 21st century under SRES A1B scenario indicate a strengthening of the Etesian winds associated with the strengthening of the anticyclonic action center, and the deepening of Asian thermal Low over eastern Mediterranean. Furthermore the future projections indicate a weakening of the subsidence over eastern Mediterranean which is rather controlled by the deepening of the south Asian thermal Low in line with the projected in future weakening of South Asian monsoon and Hadley cell circulations. 相似文献
4.
Complex Site Effects in Thessaloniki (Greece): I. Soil Structure and Comparison of Observations with 1D Analysis 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Dimitrios?RaptakisEmail author Konstantia?Makra Anastasios?Anastasiadis Kyriazis?Pitilakis 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2004,2(3):271-290
This paper presents a 2D model of the geological structure of Thessaloniki city and results of empirical and theoretical approaches for the evaluation of site response due to complex site effects. The construction of the 2D model is based on the available geophysical and geotechnical data in terms of the most important parameters needed to model site response. The well-known subsoil structure, despite the existence of some local uncertainties, gave the possibility to correlate the geometry and the dynamic properties of the 2D model with the results of site response determined from the analysis of one event in frequency and time domains and 1D numerical modelling. The study of site response shows the effect of the lateral variations on ground motion and suggests that the contribution of locally generated surface waves to the resonant peak may be important. In this case history, the limitations of the 1D approximation to simulate ground motion under complex soil conditions in both frequency and time domains are also shown. This paper lays the ground for a companion article dealing with 2D site effects. 相似文献
5.
D Raptakis F.J Chvez-Garca K Makra K Pitilakis 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2000,19(1):411
This paper describes the process of construction of the 2D model of Volvi's geological structure and results of empirical and theoretical approaches to the evaluation of site response at Euroseistest. The construction of the 2D model is based on a re-interpretation of the available geophysical and geotechnical data in an effort to improve the definition of the subsoil structure at Euroseistest in terms of the most important parameters needed to model site response. The results of this re-interpretation are compared with a previous published 2D model of the same alluvial valley. Different analysis of the measurements and different criteria in the synthesis of data have led to a different model, even if both studies had access to the same field measurements. This underscores the fact that a model results of an interpretation and is not uniquely determined by the data, no matter how detailed they are. The well known subsoil structure opened the possibility to correlate the geometry and the dynamic properties of the 2D model with the results of site response determined from a detailed analysis of two events in frequency and time domains and 1D numerical modeling. The study of site response shows the important effect of the lateral variations on the ground motion and suggests that the contribution of locally generated surface waves to the resonant peak may be important. In the case of Volvi's graben, the limitations of the 1D approximation to simulate ground motion under complex soil conditions in both frequency and time domains are also shown. This paper lays the ground for a companion article dealing with 2D site effects in this basin. 相似文献
6.
Matyasovszky István Makra László Tusnády Gábor Csépe Zoltán Nyúl László G. Chapman Daniel S. Sümeghy Zoltán Szűcs Gábor Páldy Anna Magyar Donát Mányoki Gergely Erostyák János Bodnár Károly Bergmann Karl-Christian Deák Áron József Thibaudon Michel Albertini Roberto Bonini Maira Šikoparija Branko Radišić Predrag Gehrig Regula Rybníček Ondřej Severova Elena Rodinkova Victoria Prikhodko Alexander Maleeva Anna Stjepanović Barbara Ianovici Nicoleta Berger Uwe Seliger Andreja Kofol Weryszko-Chmielewska Elżbieta Šaulienė Ingrida Shalaboda Valentina Yankova Raina Peternel Renata Ščevková Jana Bullock James M. 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2018,133(1-2):277-295
Theoretical and Applied Climatology - The drivers of spatial variation in ragweed pollen concentrations, contributing to severe allergic rhinitis and asthma, are poorly quantified. We analysed the... 相似文献
7.
Dimitrios?RaptakisEmail author Konstantia?Makra Anastasios?Anastasiadis Kyriazis?Pitilakis 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2004,2(3):301-327
This paper presents results of numerical modelling of site response for Thessaloniki, obtained with two different 2D methods; a finite difference and a finite element method. Ground motion across a 2D model of the subsoil of the city has been simulated for vertically incident SH waves. The predominance of locally generated surface waves is very clear in the synthetic seismograms of a weak event and of stronger ones. These results are then compared with the observations in time domain and frequency domain. The role of the soil formations with high attenuation in the lateral propagation and the effect of the differential motion close to the lateral variations are also pinpointed. The stronger events were finally used to compute strong ground motion in order to reveal and to discuss practical engineering aspects such as peak ground acceleration value, the most familiar indicator in seismic norms, the soil to rock spectral coefficients for the period bandwidth of interest, and the aggravation factor in terms of 2D to 1D response spectra as a useful ruler to account for complex site effects. 相似文献
8.
Site effects at Euroseistest—II. Results from 2D numerical modeling and comparison with observations
F.J. Chvez-Garca D. Raptakis K. Makra K. Pitilakis 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2000,19(1):420
This paper presents results of numerical modeling of site response for Euroseistest. Ground motion across a very detailed model of the subsoil of this valley has been simulated for vertically incident SH waves. The predominance of locally generated surface waves is very clear in the synthetic seismograms. These results are then compared with published studies of observed site effects at this basin and with a detailed analysis of two events in the time domain. It is discussed in which sense it is possible to obtain a good fit between observations and 1D models, even though the real behavior involves locally generated Love waves. For this reason, it can be misleading to rely on an incomplete observation such as empirical transfer functions. Finally, it is stressed that in order to predict ground motion in alluvial valleys the information contained in the phase cannot be neglected. 相似文献
9.
Christina Anagnostopoulou Konstantia Tolika 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2012,107(3-4):479-489
In the present study, both parametric (peak over threshold: mean residual life, dispersion index, threshold choice) and non-parametric (percentiles indices 95% and 99%) statistical techniques are employed, aiming at the identification of rainfall thresholds above which a precipitation event can be characterized as extreme. The analysis is based on 45?years (1960–2004) rain gauge daily records from 65 meteorological stations over the European region. According to two climatologically based criteria that were introduced in the study, it was found that a combined peak over threshold methodology has been shown to yield higher threshold values above which extreme precipitation events occur, in comparison to the 95th percentile indices. Overall, concerning northern Europe, it was found that in the majority of the stations, the threshold values vary from 20 to 30?mm, while the results concerning the Mediterranean region are less coherent and the selection of extreme precipitation thresholds differs from region to region. Stations over eastern Mediterranean appear to have thresholds higher than 30?mm, while stations located over the main cyclone trajectories and the cyclogenesis zone of Mediterranean are those with the higher extreme precipitation thresholds (higher than 45?mm). 相似文献