加密自动气象站实时监控与查询显示系统

张家口于2005年建立首批60套雨量、温度两要素加密自动气象站,并于汛期投入应用.为有效利用加密 自动气象站资料,充分发挥加密自动气象站资料高时空分辨率的特点,结合日常业务运行流程和公众服务的需求, 研制了"加密自动气象站实时监控与查询显示系统".该系统集数据查询、统计计算、自动绘制雨量等值线图、文件 输出、报警监控等于一体,具有界面美观、易于操作、自动化程度高等特点.业务运行表明该系统功能实用、运行稳 定、查询速度快、输出图表清晰美观,适合在基层业务部门推广应用.     

Flow Characteristics of Large-Scale Liquefaction-Slip of the Loess Strata in Shibei Tableland, Guyuan City, Induced by the 1920 Haiyuan M8 1/2 Earthquake

Based on the dynamic triaxial liquefaction test of the loess samples which are taken from Shibei tableland, Guyuan City, Ningxia, China, the characteristics of dynamic strain, dynamic stress and pore water pressure are studied under cyclic loading. Triaxial shear test is conducted immediately after the sample reaches liquefaction point. During the test, the property of the liquefied soil is analyzed through fluid mechanics method, whereby the fluidity of the liquefied soil is represented by apparent viscosity.The results show that the fluidity of liquefied loess changes from "shear thickening" to "shear thinning" as the shear force continues, and the fluidity of liquefied loess is closely related to its structure. In addition, in the process of forming a new stable state, the apparent viscosity and deviant stress change with axial strain in a similar approach. When the sample reaches its stable state, it meanwhile shows a relatively stable apparent viscosity. According to the fluid mechanics and the law of conservation of energy, the slip distance of the liquefied soil is estimated, and the results are in good agreement with the field investigation results.     

地震诱发石碑塬黄土地层液化滑移距离研究

为研究1920年海原地震中石碑塬地区液化滑移灾害的形成机制、滑移特征及滑移距离，对石碑塬液化滑移区进行钻孔勘探、取样以及探槽开挖。分别对钻孔及所取试样进行剪切波速测试及颗粒分析、室内动三轴试验，得出石碑塬液化滑移区地层分布情况、震时液化土体层位以及不同地震烈度条件下砂质黄土层的液化情况。综合分析钻孔勘探、颗粒分析、动三轴试验结果，揭示出海原地震中石碑塬黄土地层液化滑移灾害的形成机制：砂质黄土层液化后在自重应力以及地震力的共同作用下"托浮"第一古土壤层以及上部"粉尘化"的非饱和黄土层沿缓斜坡运动，并利用液化滑移地层滑距公式对滑移距离进行估算，得到结果为223.35 m，与实际情况较为相符。研究结果可为黄土地层液化滑移灾害的预防提供一定的借鉴意义。     

危险化工企业的雷电灾害风险评估探讨

近几年来,随着焦作市城市的快速发展和经济增长,危险化工企业数量不断增加.同时,雷电对危险化工企业造成的损失也逐渐凸显出来.由于危险化工企业自身的特殊性,雷电灾害可能给其带来巨大的经济损失和人员伤亡,甚至会引起社会问题.对危险化工企业开展雷电灾害风险评估工作,可以更加全面地掌握雷电灾害相关数据,为安全、合理、经济地选择雷...     

水滑石类化合物的研究进展及其在PP中的应用进展

水滑石类化合物是一种重要的无机材料,因其特殊的晶体化学性质,有良好的热稳定性、阻燃性和离子交换性,广泛应用于化工、材料、环保和医药等领域。本文综述了水滑石类化合物的结构、性质、制备方法及其优缺点,水滑石在PP中的应用进展,以及水滑石作为PP阻燃剂的优异性能,并指出了今后的发展方向。     

基于CTA的大脑前循环动脉形态学与前交通动脉瘤相关性分析

目的:探讨大脑前循环动脉形态参数与前交通动脉瘤(AcomAA)的相关性.方法:收集我院AcomAA的患者CTA 73例作为AcomAA患者组和颅脑CTA正常的患者85例作为对照组.采用独立样本t检验,比较AcomAA患者同侧与对侧以及对照组大脑前循环动脉的形态学参数(血管直径,血管直径比值和血管分岔角度).结果:Aco...     

Foliar Particulate Matter Distribution in Urban Road System of Beijing,China

Particulate matter(PM), one of the most important pollutants of traffic emission, threatens the health of urban ecosystems and citizens. Roadside trees play an important role in trapping PM, and the foliar PM load is a useful indicator for air PM pollution in road systems. To detect the relationships of foliar PM load with road structures, urbanization, and meteorology in road systems, we studied a widely-planted tree Sophora japonica L. in 100 roads and 10 yards of Beijing, China, and found that the foliar PM loads increased with the distances from the urban centre(DUC) linearly, while decreased with the road density. All-subsets regression analysis indicated that DUC, average monthly relative humidity, average monthly wind speed, and mean annual wind speed were the most important factors in predicting foliar PM load, rather than general situation of buildings and road cleanliness. The monthly relative humidity and monthly wind speed had a negative correlation to foliar PM, while the annual relative humidity and annual wind speed had a positive correlation to foliar PM. Suburban areas and these effective factors should be highlighted in PM control in Beijing.     

Study of shaking table test of seismic subsidence loess landslides induced by the coupling effect of earthquakes and rainfall

Light rain or moderate rain is the most common meteorological event in the rainy season in the loess area of China, so the probability of landslide hazards induced by the coupling effect of earthquakes and rainfall under the condition of light rain or moderate rain is relatively higher than that under heavy rain. To study the dynamic response characteristics and instability mechanism of loess slopes by the coupling effect of earthquakes and rainfall under the conditions of moderate rain and light rain, a low-angle slope model test of a large-scale shaking table after 10 mm of rainfall was carried out. By gradually increasing the dynamic loading, the evolution of the macroscopic deformation and the instability failure mode of the slope model are observed; the temporal and spatial trends of the amplification effect, acceleration spectrum, pore pressure and soil pressure are analyzed; and the failure mechanism of the slope is determined. The results showed that the amplification effect increased along the slope surface upward, and a strong amplification effect appeared at the front of the top of the slope. Because of the stronger dynamic stress action on the upper part of the slope, the immersed soil in the upper part of the slope experienced seismic subsidence deformation, the saturation in the seismic subsidence soil increased, and the water content temporarily increased locally. With the further increase in the loading intensity, a large number of tension cracks were generated in the seismic subsidence area, and water infiltrated down along the cracks and the wetting range expanded under dynamic action. The range of seismic subsidence and cracks further extended to the deep part of the slope. Under the reciprocating action of the subsequent ground motion, the swing amplitude of the soil mass in the seismic subsidence area, which is divided by a large number of cracks in the upper part of the slope, increased further, resulting in the further reduction in the residual strength of the seismic subsidence soil mass located at the crack tip due to the pull and shear action. Finally, under the combined action of gravity and dynamic force, the upper soil mass in the seismic subsidence area dragged the lower soil mass in the seismic subsidence area downward because the sliding force is greater than the residual strength of the soil mass, which induced a seismic subsidence-type loess landslide. Under the coupling effect of earthquakes and rainfall, the instability mode and mechanism of this landslide are significantly different from those of liquefaction-type landslides.

     

基于非稳态调和分析和长短时记忆神经网络的河口潮位短期预报混合模型

河口潮汐过程受上游径流、外海潮波等因素影响,动力机制复杂,潮位预报难度大。本文提出了一种基于非稳态调和分析（NS＿TIDE）和长短时记忆（LSTM）神经网络的混合模型,对河口潮位进行12～48 h短期预报。该模型首先对河口实测潮汐数据进行非稳态调和分析,通过与实测资料对比得到分析误差的时序序列,并以此作为LSTM神经网络的输入数据,通过网络学习并预测未来12～48 h潮位预报误差,据此对NS＿TIDE的预测结果进行实时校正。利用该模型对2020年长江口潮位过程进行了预报检验,结果表明混合模型12 h、24 h、36 h和48 h短期水位预报的均方根误差（RMSE）相比NS＿TIDE模型至多分别降低了0.16 m、0.15 m、0.14 m和0.12 m;针对2020年南京站最高水位预测,NS＿TIDE模型预报误差为0.64 m,而混合模型预报误差仅为0.10 m。     

甘东南4井水温资料在汶川M_S8.0地震前后的异常变化特征分析

较为系统地分析了甘东南成县、樊坝、清水温泉、两水4口水温井自2007年以来的水温观测数据,发现在2008年5月12日汶川MS8.0地震前后4口水温井资料都出现了不同程度的前兆异常变化,但前兆异常信息大部分淹没在趋势上升的背景中。为了更好地提取前兆异常信息,文中采用了流体资料处理时常用的差分法、变差率法、从属函数法、趋势速率法等前兆异常信息提取方法,对数据进行了处理,并分析了4井水温前兆异常变化特征。