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Natural Hazards - Ecosystem-based disaster risk reduction (Eco-DRR) is a concept of reducing the risk to natural hazards by avoiding the developments and settlements in disaster-prone areas by... 相似文献
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Assessing the risk of soil vulnerability to wind erosion through conditional simulation of soil water content in Sistan plain, Iran 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Surface soil water content (SWC) is one of the key factors controlling wind erosion in Sistan plain, southeast of Iran. Knowledge of the spatial variability of surface SWC is then important to identify high-risk areas over the region. Sequential Gaussian simulation (SGSIM) is used to produce a series of equiprobable models of SWC spatial distribution across the study area. The simulated realizations are used to model the uncertainty attached to the surface SWC estimates through producing a probability map of not exceeding a specified critical threshold when soil becomes vulnerable to wind erosion. The results show that SGSIM is a suitable approach for modelling SWC uncertainty, generating realistic representations of the spatial distribution of SWC that honour the sample data and reproduce the sample semivariogram model. The uncertainty model obtained using SGSIM is compared with the model achieved through sequential indicator simulation (SISIM). According to accuracy plots, goodness statistics and probability interval width plots, SGSIM performs better for modelling local uncertainty than SISIM. Sequential simulation provided a probabilistic approach to assess the risk that SWC does not exceed a critical threshold that might cause soil vulnerability to wind erosion. The resulted risk map can be used in decision-making to delineate “vulnerable” areas where a treatment is needed. 相似文献
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Earthquake magnitude prediction by adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) based on fuzzy C-means algorithm 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Masoomeh Mirrashid 《Natural Hazards》2014,74(3):1577-1593
This paper investigates the prediction of future earthquakes that would occur with magnitude 5.5 or greater using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). For this purpose, the earthquake data between 1950 and 2013 that had been recorded in the region with 2°E longitude and 4°N latitude in Iran has been used. Thereupon, three algorithms including grid partition (GP), subtractive clustering (SC) and fuzzy C-means (FCM) were used to develop models with the structure of ANFIS. Since the earthquake data for the specified region had been reported on different magnitude scales, suitable relationships were determined to convert the magnitude scales into moment magnitude and all records uniformed based on the relationships. The uniform data were used to calculate seismicity indicators, and ANFIS was developed based on considered algorithms. The results showed that ANFIS-FCM with a high accuracy was able to predict earthquake magnitude. 相似文献
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Masoomeh Delbari 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2014,7(10):4221-4233
This paper presents the incorporation of a digital elevation model into the spatial prediction of water table elevation in Mazandaran province (Iran) using a range of interpolation techniques. The multivariate methods used are: linear regression (LR), cokriging (COK), kriging with an external drift (KED) and regression kriging (RK). The analysis is performed on 3 years (1987, 1997 and 2007) of water table elevation data from about 260 monitoring wells. Prediction performances of the different algorithms are compared with two univariate techniques, i.e. inverse distance weighting and ordinary kriging (OK), through cross validation and examination of the consistency of the generated maps with the natural phenomena. Significantly smaller prediction errors are obtained for four multivariate algorithms but, in particular, KED and RK outperform LR and COK for 3 years. The results show the potential for using elevation for a more precise mapping of water table elevation. 相似文献
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Masoomeh Alaibakhsh Irina Emelyanova Olga Barron Mehdi Khiadani Garth Warren 《水文研究》2017,31(24):4269-4281
Multiscene Landsat 5 TM imagery, Principal Component Analysis, and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index were used to produce the first region‐scale map of riparian vegetation for the Pilbara (230,000 km2), Western Australia. Riparian vegetation is an environmentally important habitat in the arid and desert climate of the Pilbara. These habitats are supported by infrequent flow events and in some locations by groundwater discharge. Our analysis suggests that riparian vegetation covers less than 4% of the Pilbara region, whereas almost 10.5% of this area is composed of groundwater dependent vegetation (GDV). GDV is often associated with open water (river pools), providing refugia for a variety of species. GDV has an extremely high ecological value and are often important Indigenous sites. This paper demonstrates how Landsat data calibrated to Top of Atmosphere reflectance can be used to delineate riparian vegetation across 16 Landsat scenes and two Universal Transverse Mercator spatial zones. The proposed method is able to delineate riparian vegetation and GDV, without the need for Bidirectional Reflectance Distribution Function correction. Results were validated using ground truth data from local and regional scale vegetation surveys. 相似文献
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Masoomeh Alaibakhsh Irina Emelyanova Olga Barron Neil Sims Mehdi Khiadani Alireza Mohyeddin 《水文研究》2017,31(4):800-810
A deficiency in crucial digital data, such as vegetation cover, in remote regions is a challenging issue for water management and planning, especially for areas undergoing rapid development, such as mining in the Pilbara, Western Australia. This is particularly relevant to riparian vegetation, which provides important ecological services and, as such, requires regional protection. The objective of this research was to develop an approach to riparian vegetation mapping at a regional scale using remotely sensed data. The proposed method was based on principal component analysis applied to multi‐temporal Normalized Difference Vegetation Index datasets derived from Landsat TM 5 imagery. To delimit the spatial extent of riparian vegetation, a thresholding method was required and various thresholding algorithms were tested. The accuracy of results was estimated for various Normalized Difference Vegetation Index multi‐temporal datasets using available ground‐truth data. The combination of a 14‐dry‐date dataset and Kittler's thresholding method provided the most accurate delineation of riparian vegetation. 相似文献
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Back analysis of an excavated slope failure in highly fractured rock mass: the case study of Kargar slope failure (Iran) 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
Mostafa Sharifzadeh Mohsen Sharifi S. Mohammad Delbari 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2010,60(1):183-192
This paper examines the failure of Kargar cut slope located at the south part of Esfahan subway using analytical and numerical
back analysis methods. The excavated trench has 27 m depth with near vertical walls due to the space limitation around it.
The geology of the area comprises weathered and heavily jointed shale and sandstone overlaid by alluvium deposits. Despite
the slope being supported by shotcrete and fully grouted rock bolts, a catastrophic failure occurred at the east wall. Due
to the uncertainty about the causes of failure initiation, back analyses have been performed via both the limit equilibrium
and numerical method for considering various probable mechanisms. In the back analysis with limit equilibrium method, the
rock mass is assumed as an equivalent continuum and Hoek–Brown failure criterion and geological strength index (GSI) are applied
to calculate the shear strength parameters. The results show that GSI value was 33 in the failed mass. In the numerical back
analysis, the distinct element method is applied to study the contribution of rock joints to the failure and progressive rock
mass strength degradation until failure. The results show that threshold values of joint cohesion and friction were 0.2 MPa
and 30°, respectively. Also the modeled slip surface being step-shaped agrees with the observed one. 相似文献
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Masoomeh Delbari Peyman Afrasiab Samane Jahani 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2013,122(1-2):103-113
Precipitation maps are the key input to many hydrological models. In this paper different univariate (inverse distance weighing and ordinary kriging) and multivariate (linear regression, ordinary cokriging, simple kriging with varying local mean and kriging with an external drift) interpolation methods are used to map monthly and annual rainfall from sparse data measurements. The study area is Golestan Province, located in northeast of Iran. A digital elevation model is used as complementary information for multivariate approaches. The prediction performance of each method is evaluated through cross-validation and visual examination of the precipitation maps produced. Results indicate that geostatistical algorithms clearly outperform inverse distance weighting and linear regression. Among multivariate techniques, ordinary cokriging or kriging with an external drift yields the smallest error of prediction for months April to October (autumn and winter) for which the correlation between rainfall and elevation is greater than 0.54. For all other months and annual rainfall, ordinary kriging provides the most accurate estimates. 相似文献
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The Pol Dokhtar section of southern Lorestan, faulted Zagros range of southwestern Iran, contains one of the most complete Early Campanian to Danian sequences. The lack of a good fundamental paleontological study is a strong motivation for investigating calcareous nannofossils in southwestern Iran. The majority of the section is made of shale, marl, and partly of marly limestone and clay limestone, respectively. As a result of this study, 24 genera and 45 species of nannofossils have been identified and presented for the first time. This confirms the existence of biozone CC18 of zonation scheme of Sissingh (Geologie en Minjbouw 56:37–65, 1977) to NP1 of zonation of Martini, which suggests the age of Early Campanian to Danian. All Early Campanian to Danian calcareous nannofossil biozones from CC18 (equivalent to the Aspidolithus parcus zone) to NP1 (equivalent to the Markalius inversus zone) are discussed. Also, the zonal subdivision of this section based on calcareous nannofossils has shown continuity in Cretaceous/Paleocene boundary in south part of Lorestan Province. We can also learn about the predominant conditions of the studied sedimentary basin that was in fact part of the Neotethys basin with the existence of indexed species calcareous nannofossils that indicate warm climate and high water depths of the basin in low latitudes. 相似文献
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