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Vulnerability Assessment of the Maize and Sorghum Crops to Climate Change in Botswana 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This study examines the sensitivity of maize and sorghum crops to global warming in Botswana, a country with arid climatic conditions and shortfalls in locally produced grain. The vulnerability of the maize and sorghum crops to climate change were studied using crop simulation models while climate change scenarios were generated from Global Circulation Models. Simulated yields indicated that rain-fed crop production under the observed climate was a small fraction of what could be produced under optimal conditions. The gap was attributed to both physical (especially lack of rain) and socio-economic constraints. Using the southern African core climate change scenario, simulated yields declined by 36% in the case of maize and 31% for sorghum in the sand veldt region. Yield reductions from thehard veldt region were in the order of 10% for both maize and sorghum. The growing season became shorter, the average reduction in days in the sand veldt region being 5 and 8 days for maize and sorghum respectively, and correspondingly, 3 and 4 days over the hard veldt region. The food security option currently followed in Botswana was found to be a good adaptive strategy under a changed climate. 相似文献
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Somala Surendra Nadh Chanda Sarit Raghucharan M. C. Rogozhin Evgenii 《Journal of Seismology》2021,25(5):1339-1346
Journal of Seismology - A multi-layer perceptron (MLP) technique is used to train on the response spectra for various strike angles, dip angles, and rake angles. Fixing the magnitude and depth of... 相似文献
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We study the self-consistent, linear response of a galactic disc to vertical perturbations, as induced, say, by a tidal interaction. We calculate the self-gravitational potential corresponding to a non-axisymmetric, self-consistent density response of the disc using the Green's function method. The response potential is shown to oppose the perturbation potential because the self-gravity of the disc resists the imposed potential, and this resistance is stronger in the inner parts of a galactic disc. For the m = 1 azimuthal wavenumber, the disc response opposes the imposed perturbation up to a radius that spans a range of 4–6 disc scalelengths, so that the disc shows a net warp only beyond this region. This physically explains the well known but so far unexplained observation that warps typically set in beyond this range of radii. We show that the inclusion of a dark matter halo in the calculation only marginally changes (by ∼10 per cent) the radius for the onset of warps. For perturbations with higher azimuthal wavenumbers, the net signature of the vertical perturbations can only be seen at larger radii – for example, beyond 7 exponential disc scalelengths for m = 10 . Also, for the high- m cases, the magnitude of the negative disc response due to the disc self-gravity is much smaller. This is shown to result in corrugations of the mid-plane density, which explains the puzzling scalloping with m = 10 detected in H i in the outermost regions ∼30 kpc in the Galaxy. 相似文献
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In this paper, we propose an iterative algorithm for removing the effect of thin cloud cover from LANDSAT imagery. It is seen that the noise in such images is multiplicative as well as additive. The recorded image is first processed to update different parameters of the image formation model to known values. Processing algorithm and knowledge of parameter values are developed by considering the physics of the situation. A low-pass filter is then applied to the processed image to remove the effect of the cloud. The filter is of a tapered shape, and its parameters are adjusted to minimize the estimation error. 相似文献
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Raban Chanda Dr. 《GeoJournal》1996,39(1):65-71
This paper is based on data on human perceptions of environmental degradation generated using the rapid rural appraisal approach in a part of Botswana's Kalahari environment. The data revealed a high level of respondent awareness of local resource use problems related to negative environmental change. However, respondent perceptions of the causes of, and solutions to, to environmental degradation were found to be mainly outward oriented; the possibility of local human contribution to the problem and its solution was widely down-played. The data point to the need for measures to bring about correct perceptions so that people can see where their own activities fit in the causal nexus of environmental degradation and acknowledge their power to contribute to solutions thereof. 相似文献