全文获取类型
收费全文 | 5780篇 |
免费 | 1958篇 |
国内免费 | 1227篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 494篇 |
大气科学 | 1579篇 |
地球物理 | 2792篇 |
地质学 | 2856篇 |
海洋学 | 524篇 |
天文学 | 39篇 |
综合类 | 408篇 |
自然地理 | 273篇 |
出版年
2025年 | 9篇 |
2024年 | 206篇 |
2023年 | 189篇 |
2022年 | 217篇 |
2021年 | 296篇 |
2020年 | 259篇 |
2019年 | 279篇 |
2018年 | 211篇 |
2017年 | 233篇 |
2016年 | 281篇 |
2015年 | 270篇 |
2014年 | 303篇 |
2013年 | 315篇 |
2012年 | 353篇 |
2011年 | 324篇 |
2010年 | 303篇 |
2009年 | 324篇 |
2008年 | 301篇 |
2007年 | 378篇 |
2006年 | 378篇 |
2005年 | 360篇 |
2004年 | 286篇 |
2003年 | 288篇 |
2002年 | 253篇 |
2001年 | 261篇 |
2000年 | 239篇 |
1999年 | 267篇 |
1998年 | 263篇 |
1997年 | 221篇 |
1996年 | 239篇 |
1995年 | 256篇 |
1994年 | 183篇 |
1993年 | 109篇 |
1992年 | 72篇 |
1991年 | 62篇 |
1990年 | 48篇 |
1989年 | 31篇 |
1988年 | 43篇 |
1987年 | 11篇 |
1986年 | 7篇 |
1985年 | 2篇 |
1984年 | 14篇 |
1983年 | 1篇 |
1982年 | 2篇 |
1979年 | 8篇 |
1978年 | 2篇 |
1977年 | 6篇 |
1954年 | 2篇 |
排序方式: 共有8965条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
2.
Delayed Geochemical Hazard (DGH briefly) presents the whole process of a kind of serious ecological and environmental hazard caused by sudden reactivation and sharp release of long-term accumulated pollutant from stable species to active ones in soil or sediment system due to the change of physical-chemical conditions (such as temperature, pH, Eh, moisture, the concentrations of organic matters, etc.) or the decrease of environment capacity. The characteristics of DGH are discussed. The process of a typical DGH can be expressed as a nonlinear polynomial. The points where the derivative functions of the first and second orders of the polynomial reach zero, minimum and maximum are keys for risk assessment and harzard pridication.The process and mechanism of the hazard is due to the transform of pollutant among different species principally. The concepts of "total releasable content of pollutant", TRCP, and "total concentration of active specie", TCAS, are necessarily defined to describe the mechanism of DGH. The possibility of the temporal and spatial propagation is discussed. Case study shows that there exists a transform mechanism of "gradual release" and "chain reaction" among the species of the exchangeable and the bounds to carbonate, iron and manganese oxides and organic matter, thus causing the delayed geochemical hazard. 相似文献
3.
介绍的成矿有利度计算法是一种基于矢量数据的成矿预测方法.与传统的成矿有利度计算法相比,该方法的预测单元采用自然单元(多边形),而不是网格化单元.成矿有利度计算过程是先对2个预测变量(空间图形)进行相交分析,有利因子相乘并进行归一化处理,再与下一个变量进行相交分析,最终得到能反映该预测单元综合成矿地质条件的有利成矿因子值,在详细介绍了成矿有利度计算法的基本原理与工作流程基础上,对伊犁盆地南缘西段水西沟群Ⅶ1亚旋回进行了预测评价,圈定了Ⅰ级、Ⅱ级铀成矿远景区各1片,Ⅲ级成矿远景区2片。 相似文献
4.
-The North Channel in the Yangtze Estuary is one of sea-leading waterways of Shanghai Harbour, in which yearly dredging volume reaches over ten million cubic meters, and it tends to increase year by year. Based on the channel regime similarity and through the relational grade, a GM (2, 1) is set up. It reveals the course of development of channel regime similarity under the action of various factors, and predicts the siltation volume in the nearest future which is the basis of dredging planning for relevant dredging departments. 相似文献
5.
The arrival time difference for the AB branch of PKP from deep Tonga earthquakes is constant over years with a standard deviation
of ±0.05 seconds at seismographs located 10 to 50 km from each other. If published travel time curves are used to calculate
the relative residuals of PKP the standard deviation from the constant mean is improved by approximately 0.01 seconds for
AB branch data. For the BC branch, standard deviations of relative travel times of ±0.06 seconds are reduced to less than
±0.05 seconds by calculating relative residuals. We conclude that changes of crustal transit time forP-waves could be resolved, based on careful PKP arrival time measurement at two or more neighboring stations if the changes
exceed 0.05 sec and last for more than one year. The conditions for achieving this result are that PKP from Tonga earthquakes
is clearly recorded, and that time-keeping is accurate. The data on which these conclusions are based were obtained from the
Graefenberg seismograph array, which is located in West Gemany and consists of 13 stations separated by distances of 10 km
to 100 km. We propose that relative arrival times of PKP from Tonga could be used in the Mediterranean - Middle East area
to search for precursory travel time changes before large earthquakes. 相似文献
6.
A methodology was presented for observation-based settlement prediction with consideration of the spatial correlation structure of soil. The spatial correlation is introduced among the settlement model parameters and the settlements at various points are spatially correlated through these geotechnical parameters, which naturally describe the phenomenon. The method is based on Bayesian estimation by considering both prior information, including spatial correlation and observed settlement, to search for the best estimates of the parameters at any arbitrary points on the ground. Within the Bayesian framework, the optimised selection of auto-correlation distance by Akaike's Bayesian Information Criterion (ABIC) is also proposed. The application of the proposed approach in consolidation settlement prediction using Asaoka's method is presented in this paper. Several case studies were carried out using simulated settlement data to investigate the performance the proposed approach. It is concluded that the accuracy of the settlement prediction can be improved by taking into account the spatial correlation structure and the proposed approach gives the rational prediction of the settlement at any location at any time with quantified uncertainty. 相似文献
7.
本文论述在新形势下地震台站体制、任务改革的必要性与可行性,认为地震台实行地震监测、科研、预报三结合和将单一观测型台站转化成观测--科研型台站系我国地震台站的发展方向。文中结合牡丹江等地震台的实践对三结合地震台站建设的实施办法和管理体制进行了讨论。 相似文献
8.
非线性参数H值用于华北地区的预报方案研究及检验 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
陈佩燕 《地震地磁观测与研究》1996,17(1):76-80
本文研究了非线性参数H值曲线与华北强震之间的关系。将RSH算法应用于华北地区,研究了定量预报指标的方案,并进行了回溯性预报检验。 相似文献
9.
黑河出山径流量年际变化特征和趋势研究 总被引:27,自引:15,他引:27
根据有关水文气象台站的观测数据,利用定级分类,滑动平均和波谱分析等方法,对黑河出山径流(莺落峡水文站)年际变化特征进行了分析研究,发现黑河出出径流的多年变化具有持续性,周期性和丰枯水变化较平稳,波幅不大等特性,并在此基础上对其未来变化的趋势进行了预测和分析。 相似文献
10.
地基沉降预测模型的正则化算法 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
通过分析地基沉降预测模型,指出最小二乘的病态性会导致模型参数求解失败。应用正则化理论,基于矩阵求逆理论,提出了一种沉降预测模型参数的正则化无偏估计算法,说明了新算法的无偏性和方差最小性。在一定条件下,证明了新算法中正则参数的存在性,并给出了正则参数的计算公式。结合文献和工程实例进行的分析表明,新算法降低了矩阵条件数,减轻矩阵病态程度,能有效求得地基沉降预测模型参数。 相似文献