江苏沿海互花米草盐沼动态变化及影响因素研究

收集了1988-2001年12个时相的江苏盐城幅卫星影像,提取了双洋河口至梁垛：河闸之间的互花米草盐沼;统计了不同时期的分布信息。分析表明：①互花米草盐沼在江苏扩张非常迅速,到2001年7月互花米草盐沼分布面积达129．28km^2,从射阳河口至梁垛河闸之间的潮问中上带泥滩大部分已被互花米草盐沼所覆盖;②由于生态位的影响,互花米草盐沼沿平行于海岸线方向的扩张速度快于垂直于海岸线方向的扩张速度;③依据野外调查和卫星影像分析,互花米草盐沼扩张可分为3个阶段：立地阶段、快速扩张期及成熟期。此外,还对互花米草盐的影响因素进行了探讨。     

Measurement and modeling of bed shear stress under solitary waves

Direct measurements of bed shear stresses (using a shear cell apparatus) generated by non-breaking solitary waves are presented. The measurements were carried out over a smooth bed in laminar and transitional flow regimes (~ 10⁴ < R_e < ~ 10⁵). Measurements were carried out where the wave height to water depth (h/d) ratio varied between 0.12 and 0.68; maximum near bed velocity varied between 0.16 m/s and 0.51 m/s and the maximum total shear stress (sum of skin shear stress and Froude–Krylov force) varied between 0.386 Pa and 2.06 Pa. The total stress is important in determining the stability of submarine sediment and in sheet flow regimes. Analytical modeling was carried out to predict total and skin shear stresses using convolution integration methods forced with the free stream velocity and incorporating a range of eddy viscosity models. Wave friction factors were estimated from skin shear stress at different instances over the wave (viz., time of maximum positive total shear stress, maximum skin shear stress and at the time of maximum velocity) using both the maximum velocity and the instantaneous velocity at that phase of the wave cycle. Similarly, force coefficients obtained from total stress were estimated at time of maximum positive and negative total stress and at maximum velocity. Maximum positive total shear stress was approximately 1.5 times larger than minimum negative total stress. Modeled and measured positive bed shear stresses are well correlated using the best convolution model, but the model underestimates the data by about 4%. Friction factors are dependent on the choice of normalizing using the maximum velocity, as is conventional, or the instantaneous velocity. These differ because the stress is not in phase with the velocity in general. Friction factors are consistent with previous data for monochromatic waves, and vary inversely with the square-root of the Reynolds number. The total shear stress leads the free stream fluid velocity by approximately 50°, whereas the skin friction shear stress leads by about 30°, which is similar to that reported by earlier researchers.     

埕岛油田海底管道悬空特征及其影响因素

海底管道是海上油气生产的重要设施,而管道悬空是影响其安全运作的主要因素之一。根据海底管道复勘资料,利用ArcGIS对埕岛油田海底管道的在位状态以及分布情况进行分析,重点统计分析了管道悬空特征和悬空规律,并分析了海底管道悬空的原因以及影响因素。结果表明,悬空管道占总调查管道总长度的4.03%,主要分布在水深为5～15 m范围内的三角洲前缘斜坡上。近90%悬空管段的长度<60 m,其中以10～20 m最为常见。超过90%悬空管段的悬空高度<1 m,其中以0.2～0.4 m最为常见。研究区海底管道悬空的主要原因为海床冲刷,其影响因素主要包括沉积物特征、地形地貌以及海洋动力条件。     

基于大数据分析下的气候模型

为研究全球变暖与极寒天气间的关系,对加拿大13个省代表性测站10年的观测数据进行时空变化趋势分析,采用经验正交函数(EOF)寻找海洋表面温度历史数据的变化规律。另外利用BP神经网络建立了年平均温度、日降水量与地球吸热、散热、海表面温度、当地纬度间的关系,预测未来25年气候的变化,并建立了"极寒天气"与气候变化的关系模型。研究表明:高纬度地区温度、降水量普遍较低,同经度地区的温度差异较小且降水量变化不大;加拿大地区温度呈周期性变化,符合北半球的季节变化特征;北大西洋的东部与其他海洋的温度是反相关的,西太平洋南北回归线附近的海洋表面温度升高;"极寒天气"出现频率与气候变化有一定关系,局地极寒现象与全球变暖的大趋势并不矛盾。本研究为人们认识和理解"全球变暖"提供了一个新的思路。     

中国海岛型旅游目的地生态安全综合评价与障碍因素研究

从可持续发展的视角,基于驱动力-压力-状态-影响-响应的DPSIR模型构建了海岛型旅游目的地生态安全评价体系,选取中国12个县级地域单元的海岛作为研究区,通过TOPSIS模型对其2018年的生态安全水平进行测度,并根据其贴近度指数划分为不安全、较不安全、比较安全、安全4个等级,引用障碍度模型对影响海岛型旅游目的地生态安全的障碍因素进行诊断分析。结果表明:(1)洞头区、崇明区、定海区的生态安全等级为不安全;平潭县、嵊泗县、普陀区、玉环市和南澳县为较不安全;长岛县和岱山县为较安全;长海县和东山县为安全状态,研究区内海岛型旅游目的地的生态安全面临着较大威胁。(2)压力系统中海岛脆弱性和响应系统中生态保护力度是生态安全水平提升的主要障碍因素,而自然灾害对海岛的损害、环保资金支持力度不足以及有限的海岛空间承载量又是其中最关键的因素。基于障碍因素的诊断,提出了生态安全水平提升的策略,为保障我国海岛的生态安全提供实证参考。     

舟山群岛外海域鱼类数量分布与环境因子的关系

根据2018年4月（春季）和10月（秋季）在舟山群岛外海域进行的渔业资源调查资料,分析了鱼类的种类组成、数量分布和优势种,并用典范对应分析方法分析了其与水文环境之间的关系。结果表明,舟山群岛外海域鱼类有106种,隶属于12目47科80属,春、秋季鱼类质量密度分别为210.50 kg/km²和829.06 kg/km²,尾数密度分别为8.08×10³ ind/km²和165.94×10³ ind/km²。春季鱼类资源密度在调查海域的西北部较高,东部较低,而秋季鱼类资源密度在东部海域较高,西北部海域较低。两个季节的鱼类优势种更替明显,春季优势种为黄鮟鱇（Lophius litulon）、日本红娘鱼（Lepidotrigla japonica）、细条天竺鲷（Apogon lineatus）,秋季为细条天竺鲷、日本发光鲷（Acropom japonicum）。鱼类种数呈现显著的季节和空间变化,但是都以西部以及西北部靠近近岸岛屿的海域种类数较高,大部分鱼类栖息在50～80 m水深海域。典范对应分析结果表明,表层温度、底层温度、表层盐度是影响调查海域鱼类种类组成和数量分布的主要环境因子。     

Wave Attenuation Performance and the Influencing Factors of A Lower Arc-Plate Breakwater

Comprehensive experimental and numerical studies have been undertaken to investigate wave energy dissipation performance and main influencing factors of a lower arc-plate breakwater. The numerical model, which considers nonlinear interactions between waves and the arc-plate breakwater, has been constructed by using the velocity wave- generating method, the volume of fluid (VOF) method and the finite volume method. The results show that the relative width, relative height and relative submergence of the breakwater are three main influencing factors and have significant influence on wave energy dissipation of the lower arc-plate open breakwater. The transmission coefficient is found to decrease with the increasing relative width, and the minimum transmission coefficient is 0.15 when the relative width is 0.45. The reflection coefficient is found to vary slightly with the relative width, and the maximum reflection coefficient is 0.53 when the relative width is 0.45. The transmission and reflection coefficients are shown to increase with the relative wave height for approximately 85% of the experimental tests when the relative width is 0.19 0.45. The transmission coefficients at relative submergences of 0.04, 0.02 and 0 are clearly shown to be greater than those at relative submergences of 0.02 and 0.04, while the reflection coefficient exhibits the opposite relationship. After the wave interacts with the lower arc-plate breakwater, the wave energy is mainly converted into transmission, reflection and dissipation energies. The wave attenuation performance is clearly weakened for waves with greater heights and longer periods.     

厦门港水动力因素低频波动特征及其机制分析

本文根据历史水文气象资料，用条件谱分析方法，分析了厦门港水动力因素低频波动特征并探讨其发生机制。结果表明，低频波动清楚地表现为水位和表层盐度的波动。厦门港水位的低频波动主要源自平潭站的水位波动，风的贡献是次要的；条件谱分析了难以描述表层盐度低频波动和九江径流波动的复杂关系。     

Regression Formulations for the Stress at Hot Spot of Multiplanar Tubular DT Joints

- Stress concentration analysis of multiplanar tubular DT joints plays an important role in the fatigue design of offshore platforms. A semi-analytic method for stress analysis under the condition of any loads is briefly introduced in the paper. Nineteen multiplanar tubular DT joints with one of two braces of the same dimension subjected to axial loads and out- of- plane bending moments are computed for parametric stress analysis by using the present method. The influence of geometrical parameters on the stresses of multiplanar tubular DT joints is discussed and compared with corresponding uniplanar T joints. The regression formulae for the stress at hot spot of multiplanar DT joints are found by modification of SCF of corresponding uniplanar T joints. The parametric formulae for the maximum stress by superposition. Finally, the influences of stiffening effect and load-interaction effect on the maximum stress of DT joints are discussed.