Climate change effects on hydrological system conditions influencing generation of storm runoff in small Alpine catchments

Floods and debris flows in small Alpine torrent catchments (<10 km²) arise from a combination of critical antecedent system state conditions and mostly convective precipitation events with high precipitation intensities. Thus, climate change may influence the magnitude–frequency relationship of extreme events twofold: by a modification of the occurrence probabilities of critical hydrological system conditions and by a change of event precipitation characteristics. Three small Alpine catchments in different altitudes in Western Austria (Ruggbach, Brixenbach and Längentalbach catchment) were investigated by both field experiments and process‐based simulation. Rainfall–runoff model (HQsim) runs driven by localized climate scenarios (CNRM‐RM4.5/ARPEGE, MPI‐REMO/ECHAM5 and ICTP‐RegCM3/ECHAM5) were used in order to estimate future frequencies of stormflow triggering system state conditions. According to the differing altitudes of the study catchments, two effects of climate change on the hydrological systems can be observed. On one hand, the seasonal system state conditions of medium altitude catchments are most strongly affected by air temperature‐controlled processes such as the development of the winter snow cover as well as evapotranspiration. On the other hand, the unglaciated high‐altitude catchment is less sensitive to climate change‐induced shifts regarding days with critical antecedent soil moisture and desiccated litter layer due to its elevation‐related small proportion of sensitive areas. For the period 2071–2100, the number of days with critical antecedent soil moisture content will be significantly reduced to about 60% or even less in summer in all catchments. In contrast, the number of days with dried‐out litter layers causing hydrophobic effects will increase by up to 8%–11% of the days in the two lower altitude catchments. The intensity analyses of heavy precipitation events indicate a clear increase in rain intensities of up to 10%.     

Boundary condition control of fluvial obstacle mark formation – framework from a geoscientific perspective

Obstacle marks are sedimentary bedforms, typically composed of an upstream local scour hole and a downstream sediment accumulation in the vicinity of an obstruction that is exposed to a current. However, specific morphologies are variable in fluvial, coastal and submarine environments. Although obstacle marks and the phenomenon of local scouring are subject to different scientific disciplines, the objectives of investigations are rather incoherent and no systematic framework for analysing and evaluating boundary condition control exists yet, especially concerning limited knowledge of the cause and effect relationship of obstacle mark formation at instream boulders or vegetation elements in variable environmental conditions. Thus, a parameter framework is developed which identifies a spectrum of extrinsic and intrinsic boundary conditions that control the major process dynamics of obstacle mark formation. The framework is composed of dimensionless control parameters that are separated by a hierarchical order regarding their significance for obstacle mark formation. Primary control parameters determine the geometrical scale of flow field at the obstacle, and therefore control the potential maximum size of the obstacle. Secondary control parameters affect the dynamics of the flow field in geometrical scale and limit the potential maximum size of the emerging sedimentary structure if thresholds are crossed. The framework is supposed to be a foundation for subsequent quantification and determination of thresholds by systematic laboratory studies. To elucidate this, flume-based research is presented, evaluating the influence of different flow levels at boulder-like obstacles of different shapes. The results show that obstacle mark dimensions were maximized at shallow flow depths compared to obstacle dimensions, while deep flows at submerged boulder-like obstructions caused considerably smaller obstacle marks. In interdependency with a rounded and more streamlined obstacle shape, deep flows even cause a deviation of morphology if the flow depth above an obstacle exceeds 1.6 times the obstacle's dimensions. © 2020 The Authors. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.     

GF-4卫星不同成像状态下影像定位误差特性分析

高分四号（GF-4）卫星作为我国高分对地观测系统中一颗高分辨率面阵成像的静止轨道卫星,其在不同成像状态下的影像几何定位精度一直是科研人员和应用部门所关注的。本文以谷歌地球数据为几何参考,通过对比GF-4卫星影像和谷歌地球影像上同名点位置信息,分析了GF-4卫星在凝视、俯仰、滚动成像状态下的影像定位特性。结果表明,单幅影像内部均出现了明显的系统误差,凝视成像过程中同一点位的影像定位误差波动较小,俯仰/滚动姿态影像定位误差与俯仰角/滚动角成正比关系。该结论可为地面数据处理部门和用户在数据校正和应用时提供参考。     

基于多源数据的城市建设用地扩张时空特征分析——以佛山市顺德区为例

随着我国城市化进程的加快,城市建设用地规模进一步增加,同时带来交通拥堵、环境污染、绿地减少、城市热岛等城市问题。本文综合利用2015年地理国情普查数据、2011和2013年遥感数据,通过建立城市扩张强度指数,运用统计分析、空间聚类等方法,确定了顺德区建设用地在过去4年间年均增长率为1.8%,其中新城区的年均增长率超过14%;此外还发现主城区的扩展模式主要为填充式扩展,其中大良街道和勒流街道主要为工业园区的扩展,伦教街道主要为中央公园的扩展,容桂街道主要为物流园的扩展。     

Response based design metocean conditions for a permanently moored FPSO during tropical cyclones: Estimation of greenwater risk

Response based analysis (RBA) is used to establish the design metocean conditions (DMCs) of a generic weather-vaning FPSO off the North West Shelf (NWS) of Australia for determining greenwater severity. A vessel heading prediction tool, an essential component of the RBA analysis for weather-vaning vessels, is developed and evaluated by comparing with full-scale measurements from an operating FPSO. Locations at the bow, amidships and the stern of the vessel are found to be susceptible to greenwater risks and the vessel is often exposed to oblique waves during tropical cyclones. Long-term extrapolation is performed to estimate 1 in. N-year return relative wave-vessel motions represented by both the most probable maximum relative wave-vessel motion within a storm r_mp, and the maximum individual relative wave-vessel motion r_Max. It is observed that r_Max ˜ (1.1–1.2) r_mp. The use of r_Max allows for the variability of the short term maxima per storm and also the fact that the peak in response might not come in the most severe sea-state. Given the focus on greenwater rather than wave severity, the slightly larger value of r_Max at a given return period is used for assessment of greenwater risk. The sea-states that lead to r_Max at a 1 in 100 year level are identified and subsequently used for characterising the wave groups causing maximum relative wave-vessel motion at various locations around the vessel. For a given location, the shapes of the wave time histories which give rise to extreme relative wave-vessel motions in a set of design metocean conditions are similar, indicating that a ‘design wave’, derived within the framework of linear wave theory, may be a useful approach to tackle highly nonlinear and complex greenwater overtopping problems.     

Feasible numerical method for analysis of offshore pipeline in installation

Feasible numerical method for a structural analysis of a pipeline configuration during the installation process is presented. The method considers the whole pipeline, which is partially suspended and partially laid-on a seabed, as a single continuous segment, and is valid for a complete range of laying angles between 0°–90°, i.e., valid for both S-lay and J-lay configurations. The method accounts for a pipeline–seabed interaction and the pipeline is modeled by means of nonlinear large deformation beam theory. The numerical solution is carried out in an incremental-iterative manner by following the actual pipeline installation process, and thus allowing efficient treatment of pipeline-seabed interaction circumventing the further complexities with contact detection. At each increment, the length of the pipeline is increased and new sequential equilibrium configuration is assessed by direct minimization of a total potential energy approximated as a Riemann sum, which yields algebraic system of nonlinear finite difference equations that is further solved by iterations with Newton-Raphson technique. The simplicity, flexibility and robustness of the proposed method allow to enhance the efficiency of engineering calculations and design. Accounting for a bending stiffness in a suspended part allows analyzing variations in laying angle and lay tension independently. The method convergence is validated and compared with Abaqus. The results are in an excellent agreement. Moreover, the comparison with Abaqus shows that for the selected parameters the assumption that the pipeline is inextensible and unshearable is very reasonable. Representative parametric study is conducted to demonstrate the feasibility of the method. Parametric study considers the effects of laying angle (0°–90°), lay tension, laying water depth (up to 3000 m) and seabed stiffness.     

多云条件有利于亚热带人工针叶林不同季节净生态系统碳吸收（英文）

太阳辐射的动态变化对生态系统固碳有重要影响,而不同天气条件下太阳辐射的改变对森林净生态系统碳交换(NEE)的影响还不明确。本研究利用亚热带人工针叶林生态系统2012年的通量数据和气象数据,分析了晴天、多云、阴天三种天气对NEE的影响。基于一年数据的研究结果表明:在不同季节中,不同天气下光响应曲线的变化没有季节性差异。和晴天条件相比,多云条件下的表观量子效率(?),150和750 W m^–2光强下的潜在光合速率(P₁₅₀和P₇₅₀)分别平均提高了82.3%、217.7%、22.5%;阴天条件下的α和P₁₅₀分别平均提高了118.5%和301%。中等辐射条件有利于NEE达到最大值,但低辐射条件对NEE有抑制作用。在大多数情况下,与晴天相比,多云下NEE的相对改变量(%NEE)为正,但阴天下为负。多云条件下最大%NEE的平均值在春夏秋冬分别为42.4%、34.1%、1.6%、-87.3%。本研究表明多云天气促进亚热带人工针叶林的潜在光合速率和NEE。     

Benefit Sharing on Transboundary Rivers: Case Study and Theoretical Exploration

Benefit sharing on transboundary rivers is an approach to address equitable and reasonable development and utilization of transboundary water resources (TWR). Through analyzing a few typical benefit sharing cases, this paper provides a systematic discussion of the theory of TWR benefits sharing. TWR features a kind of common pool resources (CPRs). Its benefit sharing subjects are the riparian countries. The shared benefits usually include flood prevention, power generation, navigation, irrigation, contributions to society and culture, etc. The benefit sharing modes mainly include shared benefits and responsibilities, reciprocal rights and obligations, equal benefit distribution, cost proportion-based benefit sharing, and demand-based benefit sharing. The first step in the realization process of benefit sharing is the sharing of data and information. Second is the benefit identification and evaluation. Third is the establishment of a mechanism to guarantee the benefit sharing. The conditions for realizing benefit sharing depends on, first, if the riparian countries are willing to cooperate with each other; second, whether the cooperation can bring incremental benefit or cost reduction in comparison with unilateral operation; and third, if the benefit distribution is equitable and reasonable and can stand the test of time.     

大亚湾夏季表层浮游细菌生物量分布与环境变量的关系

根据2008年夏季(7月)在大亚湾进行的现场综合调查资料,分析表层海水浮游细菌生物量的水平分布特征,探讨细菌生物量与环境变量的关系。大亚湾夏季浮游细菌生物量变化范围为14.00～118.80μg·L^-1,海区平均值为55.23±29.43μg·L^-1。大亚湾夏季细菌生物量水平分布大体上呈现南部高于北部的趋势,在北纬22°35′以北和以南的海区均各自表现为东南部高于西北部的趋势。水深、硝酸盐、铵盐、亚硝酸盐和总碱度等5个参数与浮游细菌生物量之间存在着中等水平的相关性(0.15相似文献