Single/multiple input-single output transfer function with noise models for constituents of iron ores of Northern Goa, India

Parametric time domain time series models for different chemical constituents such as SiO ₂,Fe ₂ O ₃,TiO ₂,MnO, and P ₂ O ₅ of iron ores belonging to banded hematite quartzites in Bicholim Mine (Goa) have been utilized for forecasting Fe ₂ O ₃ assay values through single/multiple input—single output (Fe ₂ O ₃ ) transfer function with noise methodology. Statistically significant correlated chemical constituent inputs (say, SiO ₂,TiO ₂,MnO, P ₂ O ₅ ) along lateral (horizontal strike direction) and vertical (perpendicular to bedding planes) sections in this mine are useful in modeling as well as forecasting assay values of blocks of ore to be exploited. Parameters of transfer function—noise models are estimated by utilizing time domain methodology, and the usefulness of these models for optimization of mining operations is discussed.     

云南天文台大气水汽含量的观测

简述了利用北京师范大学研制的ＩＲＡ－９３５型红外水气测量仪，对凤凰山上空垂直大气水汽积分含量Ｗ０的观测结果及精度。并且给出了Ｗ０的各种变化曲线，在旱季和雨季的Ｗ０分布。同时也给出了红外测水仪测得的数据Ｗ０与无线电探空资料计算得到的数据Ｗ０的比较相关。结果表明：凤凰山上空垂直大气积分水汽含量雨季平均为２．４９６ｃｍ，旱季平均为１．００３ｃｍ；Ｗ０与Ｗ’０的相关系数为０．９４２，测量误差小于５％。     

Subsurface radar sounding of the martian polar cap: radiative transfer approach

The problem of subsurface radar sounding of the martian polar caps [Ilyushin, 2004. Martian northern polar cap: layering and possible implications for radar sounding. Planet. Space Sci. 52, 1195–1207] is considered from the point of view of incoherent radiative transfer theory. Since it has been previously shown that the radar signal field within the polar cap has diffuse structure, there is a need for a statistical approach to the problem. Radiative transfer theory, which is now well developed, seems to be the most appropriate formalism for this approach.Several physical models of polar caps have been formulated. The asymptotic solutions for all proposed models are derived here. In the present paper only the case of orbital ground penetrating radar is considered, because it is of great interest in relationship to currently developed radar experiments. In principle, the approach is believed to be applicable to a wide class of short pulse and compressed chirp radar experiments, including both orbital and landed instruments and media more complicated than a simple plane parallel geometry. This work, however, is postponed to future papers.Techniques for retrieval of physical properties of polar caps from the radar measurements are proposed. From the observational data, the macroscopic parameters of the medium appearing in radiative transfer theory, i.e. the single scattering albedo and volume extinction coefficient can be estimated. These estimates put certain constraints on the physical parameters of the medium model introduced in the paper. With some additional information, known a priori or from other observations, these estimates can be used to retrieve physically meaningful information, for example, the average content of impurities in the ice.     

Exact low-energy expansion of the Rayleigh scattering cross-section by atomic hydrogen

We present an exact low-energy expansion redward of Lyα of the Rayleigh scattering cross-section by atomic hydrogen, which is given by the Kramers–Heisenberg formula. The expansion is expressed as a power series of  (ω/ω_l)  , where ω_l and ω are the angular frequencies corresponding to the Lyman limit and the incident radiation, respectively. The expansion coefficients are represented as infinite sums over all the intermediate states and they can also be expressed as the regular particular solutions of inhomogeneous differential equations, which is known as the Dalgarno and Lewis method. In this paper, using a software capable of symbolic calculations, we obtain the exact values of these coefficients. We provide brief discussions on the accuracies of approximate expressions for Rayleigh scattering by a hydrogen atom found in the literature.     

Extreme gravitational lensing near rotating black holes

We describe a new approach to calculating photon trajectories and gravitational lensing effects in the strong gravitational field of the Kerr black hole. These techniques are applied to explore both the imaging and spectral properties of photons emitted from an accretion disc, which perform multiple orbits of the central mass before escaping to infinity. Viewed at large inclinations, these higher-order photons contribute ∼20 per cent of the total luminosity of the system for a Schwarzschild hole, while for an extreme Kerr black hole this fraction rises to ∼60 per cent. In more realistic models, these photons will be reabsorbed by the disc at large distances from the hole, but this returning radiation could provide a physical mechanism to resolve the discrepancy between the predicted and observed optical/ultraviolet colours in active galactic nuclei. Conversely, at low inclinations, higher-order images reintercept the disc plane close to the black hole, so need not be absorbed by the disc if this is within the plunging region. These photons form a bright ring carrying approximately 10 per cent of the total disc luminosity for a Schwarzschild black hole. The spatial separation between the inner edge of the disc and the ring is similar to the size of the event horizon. This is resolvable for supermassive black holes with proposed X-ray interferometery missions such as the Microarcsecond X-ray Imaging Mission (MAXIM), and so has the potential to provide an observational test of strong field gravity.     

重庆2014年9月12-19日连阴雨过程分析

利用NCEP1°×1°的再分析资料及重庆地区逐日、逐时降水资料、TBB资料以及雷达回波资料对2014年9月12-19日连阴雨天气及期间两次暴雨过程进行对比分析。结果表明：此次连阴雨期间欧亚大陆中纬度为“一槽”型,暖湿气流沿台风“海鸥”外围以及副高边缘不断将南海及西太平洋的水汽输送至川渝地区,为连阴雨提供良好的水汽输送条件;比湿的演变对连阴雨期间降水的增强及间歇有明显的指示意义,负的整层水汽通量散度大值区与两次暴雨落区一致。连阴雨前期大气为对流不稳定层结,能量条件好,阻塞高压明显,中高纬度的环流经向度较大,有利于冷空气的快速南下,前期的“9.13”大暴雨的对流性特征更明显;后期“9.17”暴雨则表现为稳定性降水,TBB资料在连阴雨期间的强度演变对两次暴雨过程产生的时段和落区的指示意义较好。在整个连阴雨期间近地层多弱冷空气的影响,中层有偏南风,连阴雨天气得以持续,但是两次暴雨过程开始时,冷平流均有明显的增大,表明冷空气有所加强,冷空气的加强触发了暴雨的产生,同时伴有中层偏南暖湿气流的增强。从两次暴雨过程时多普勒雷达垂直风廓线图也能反映出低层冷空气入侵,中层偏南暖湿气流的增强。     

四川盆地一次强降水过程水汽特征

利用WRF模式、地基GPS资料以及常规气象观测资料,结合模式输出资料的高空间分辨率(10km)和GPS大气可降水量(GPS-PWV)资料的高时间分辨率(30min)的优点,对2008年7月20—22日四川盆地一次暴雨过程的水汽变化特征及各物理量与大气可降水量的关系进行综合分析。结果表明:此次降雨过程是由高原涡和西南涡共同作用引起,WRF模式能够较好地模拟出降雨落区和强度。GPS-PWV反映的大气可降水量增减趋势与WRF模拟的较为一致。水汽密度垂直分布反映了大气可降水量分布,水汽密度随高度增加而递减,降雨初期,水汽密度随高度减小迅速,降雨强盛时期,水汽密度随高度减小的速度减慢。水汽辐合使得水汽密度和大气可降水量增大,风的散度项与水汽通量散度的变化一致,而水汽平流项对水汽辐合贡献较小,水汽的辐合主要由风场辐合造成。     

西北干旱区间歇性河流与含水层水量交换研究进展与展望

本文依托国家自然科学基金青年项目“河水温度对干旱区宽浅型河床渗透系数影响的定量研究”,并梳理了其他相关研究,总结了中国西北干旱区间歇性河流与含水层水量交换研究所面临的基础科学问题及当前所取得的研究进展。主要结论为：以宽浅型沙质河床为基本特征的西北干旱区内陆河流域下游河流,其河床每年经历数次干湿交替与冻融过程。受河水温度与河流水动力条件的影响,河床作为河流与含水层相互作用的重要界面,其渗透性能具有高度时空变异性,已成为河水与地下水水量交换研究的难点与热点。分析指出,在环境变化和当前交叉学科迅猛发展的背景下,以河流与含水层相互作用为核心的潜流带水文学发展面临新的机遇与挑战。     

区际贸易隐含碳排放转移研究进展与展望

区际贸易隐含碳排放转移是导致区际碳泄漏、碳减排权责失衡等问题的重要原因,对全球碳排放格局及碳减排效果影响重大。研究区际碳转移时空格局演化规律和内在驱动机理,研制针对性碳转移优化调控方案,对提升区域整体碳减排效率和经济生态综合效益,具有重要现实意义,近年来已引起了国内外学者越来越多的关注,逐渐成为区域可持续发展和生态经济研究的热点问题之一。本文对国内外区际碳转移的相关研究成果进行了梳理,重点总结了对中国省际隐含碳转移问题研究的进展和成果应用情况,展望了区际贸易碳转移问题未来研究的方向：进一步重视国际、省际碳排放转移间的协同研究,揭示区际碳排放转移的动态驱动力及驱动机理,探索创新基于共同责任的省际碳转移减排机制等。     

陕西省2021年极端秋雨成因分析

利用NCEP/NCAR2.5°×2.5°的逐月再分析资料和NOAA提供的逐月海温资料等从海温异常、大尺度环流异常、水汽输送异常等角度分析了2021年秋季陕西降水异常偏多的原因,结果表明：（1）小波交叉谱分析显示Ni?o3.4区海温距平与陕西秋季降水存在2～4年的共振周期,前期冬季海温与次年秋季降水关系呈正相关的周期共振。（2）受双峰型La Ni?a事件影响,2021年9-11月副热带高压（下文简称“副高”）控制的范围明显偏大,副高脊线位置较气候态偏北1度,西伸脊点较气候态偏西23度,造成主雨带偏西偏北。（3）中低层西北太平洋到我国华北北部的异常反气旋,与孟加拉湾北侧异常的气旋中心,造成气流在我国西北地区东部异常辐合。（4）从水汽收支来看,陕西2021年秋季水汽净流入较气候态偏多66.7%,尤其是东边界的异常水汽输送,还增强了低层冷垫,利于暖湿气流在冷垫上爬升导致陕西降水较常年异常偏多。