利用AMDAR数据分析厦门、泉州双雷达三维风场反演误差

利用2016年全年进出厦门机场和晋江机场航班的AMDAR(Aircraft Meteorological DAta Relay)数据对双雷达反演风场进行检验,分析了厦门、泉州双雷达风场反演的总体误差,研究结果表明:1)验证了双雷达连线附近区域反演风场的平均绝对误差较大,发现了与两部雷达连线的夹角小于15°和大于165°的区域的反演结果的平均绝对误差明显大于误差的年平均值。2)对于反演风向而言,误差随着高度增加而减小。对于反演风速而言,高度在9 km以下的反演误差在5 m/s左右,而9 km以上的反演误差较小。3)剔除了双雷达连线附近区域(与两部雷达连线的夹角小于15°和大于165°的区域)和反射率因子小于5 dBZ以及等于100 dBZ(剔除非气象回波)的反演结果后,双雷达反演风场误差较小,相对于AMDAR数据的风向年平均绝对误差为29.4°,风速年平均绝对误差为3.28 m/s,总体误差在可接受范围之内,反演结果接近"真值",该反演方法稳定可靠。     

PDR算法对地磁室内定位精度的提升研究

利用建筑物中金属结构引起的地磁场扰动可以对室内的行人目标进行定位,而且基于地磁场的定位无需布设任何额外设施,因此可以以低成本实现定位。但仅靠单一的地磁技术无法满足室内定位的精度要求。为了解决磁场数据中单点定位的模糊性问题,本文提出了一种利用粒子滤波算法将PDR与地磁相融合的室内定位方法,并开发了地磁室内导航系统,以智能手机为硬件平台构建磁力计传感器模型,建立匹配轨迹的均方误差准则并实现PDR累积误差实时校正的迭代计算。在68 m×1.8 m的试验区域内,产生的平均定位误差为1.13 m,最大定位误差为2.17 m。本文算法的定位精度比单独PDR算法提升了42%;与单一地磁指纹匹配算法相比,定位精度提高了57%。试验证明,本文提出的融合算法对提高室内定位精度具有显著的作用。     

江西相山铀矿田如意亭剖面火山岩的年代学格架及其地质意义

江西相山铀矿田如意亭剖面最底部的熔结凝灰岩代表了相山火山-侵入活动的开始时间,本文首次报导了该熔结凝灰岩的LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年结果,得出其形成年龄为137.3±0.9Ma,表明相山火山-侵入活动开始于早白垩世。此外,对如意亭剖面的两个流纹英安岩样品的锆石U-Pb定年结果分别是136.8±2.5Ma和136.4±1.5Ma,对采自如意亭剖面的流纹英安斑岩的锆石U-Pb定年结果是135.0±2.0Ma,对采自如意亭剖面的碎斑熔岩的定年结果是134.1±1.6Ma,这些定年结果结合前人已有的研究,得出相山火山-侵入杂岩的形成时代集中在135Ma左右（137~132Ma）,再次证实了相山火山-侵入活动始于早白垩世,是一次集中且短暂的火山-侵入活动。本文对如意亭剖面的定年结果证实相山地区打鼓顶组和鹅湖岭组的火山岩地层应属于早白垩世。然而赣杭构造带上原先所划分的打鼓顶组与鹅湖岭组火山岩形成的时间与武夷山北坡冷水坑盆地中火山岩系并不相同,因此,打鼓顶组与鹅湖岭组地层在区域上应予重新厘定。     

湘中邵阳凹陷二叠系龙潭组页岩含气性特征与气体成因

针对湘中地区邵阳凹陷二叠系龙潭组页岩气资源评价,部署了页岩气调查井2015H-D3井,通过现场解析气等相关样品测试定量分析了页岩含气性特征及其影响因素,并借助气体稳定碳、氢同位素对气体成因进行了初步探讨.结果显示:钻深从150m处开始出现气显,随深度增加,解析气含量呈现先逐渐增大后减小的趋势,300～425m为最高含气层段,累计厚度达125m,现场解析气含量全部大于0.5m^3/t,最高为2.35m^3/t,平均1m^3/t,证实龙潭组具良好页岩气资源潜力.当埋深大于300m时,解析气含量受有机碳含量控制,而埋深小于300m时,解析气含量并不简单受控于有机碳含量,而是受到保存条件的严重制约.气体碳、氢同位素测试显示δ13C1介于-29.87‰～-36.82‰,平均为-34.52‰,δ¹³C_2介于-29.45‰～-31.02‰,平均为-30.09‰,δD1介于-131.20‰～-178.40‰,平均为-167.40‰.气体成因分析揭示龙潭组页岩气属热成因中的油型气类型.基于沉积现象判断龙潭组为海陆过渡相环境,与氢同位素判断结果基本吻合,但目前还无法确定具体判定区间.     

Predicting reach‐specific properties of fluvial terraces to guide future fieldwork. A case study for the Late Quaternary River Allier (France) with the FLUVER2 model

Numerical models have not yet systematically been used to predict properties of fluvial terrace records in order to guide fieldwork and sampling. This paper explores the potential of the longitudinal profile model FLUVER2 to predict testable field properties of the relatively well‐studied, Late Quaternary Allier system in France. For the Allier terraces an overlapping ¹⁴C and U‐series chronology as well as a record of ¹⁰Be erosion rates exist. The FLUVER2 modelling exercise is focused on the last 50 ka of the upper Allier reach because for this location and period the constraints of the available dating techniques are tightest. A systematic calibration based on terrace occurrence and thicknesses was done using three internal parameters related to (1) the sediment erodibility; (2) the sediment transport distance; and (3) the sediment supply derived from the surrounding landscape. As external model inputs, the best available, reconstructed, tectonic, climatic and base‐level data were used. Calibrated model outputs demonstrate a plausible match with the existing fluvial record. Validation of model output was done by comparing the modelled and measured timing of aggradation and incision phases for the three locations. The modelled range of landscape erosion rates showed a reasonably good match with existing erosion rate estimates derived from ¹⁰Be measurements of fluvial sands. The quasi‐validated model simulation was subsequently used to make new testable predictions about the timing and location of aggradation and erosion phases for three locations along the Allier river. The validated simulations predict that along the Allier, reach‐specific dynamics of incision and aggradation, related to the variations in sediment supply by major tributaries, cause relevant differences in the local fluvial terrace stratigraphy. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

滇黔静止锋减弱北抬期间环流特征分析

采用2010—2021年深秋初冬时节（11—12月）ECMWF细网格2 m温度预报资料,以及实况地面气压场、综合观测资料、卫星资料与NCEP/NCAR提供的FNL再分析资料,对滇黔静止锋减弱北抬期间贵州境内84个国家观测站72 h内逐日最高温、最低温进行检验评估。结果发现,滇黔静止锋活动期间相对于平均状态,其预报准确率均显著降低而平均均方根误差明显增加,其中2014年ECMWF预报准确率不足20%,几乎丧失预报能力。为此,以2014年发生的19次滇黔静止锋减弱北抬个例进行合成分析,发现各层环流和要素场特征较平均状态均发生了明显变化。主要表现为：200 hPa上,静止锋摆动期间较平均状态急流入口有所东移,其南北界区域总体变窄,急流中心平均强度由65.0 m/s下降到60.0 m/s;500 hPa上,中高纬两槽一脊形势变得更加不明显,冷空气势力减弱,环流纬向度增大;要素场上,相对平均状态,0℃线均位于600 hPa附近,中低层气温呈现明显增温状态,700~850 hPa逆温状态变弱甚至消散,在低层风场上表现为南风增强、涡度增大。因此,当滇黔静止锋发生减弱北抬时,其环流和要素场特征相对平均状态均发生强度和位置上的变化,在预报工作中,可以此特征判断静止锋是否减弱北抬,更好地进行地方预报与服务。     

大型地下水封石油洞库渗流场时空演化特征研究

地下水封石油洞库是利用饱水岩体密封性进行石油储存的方式。在地下水封石油洞库的建设中,由于工程体的出现,改变了区域地下水的补给、径流和排泄条件,干扰了原来平衡的地下水渗流场,为保证地下石油洞库的水封效果,需进行裂隙岩体渗透特性及地下水渗流场时空演化研究。以国内首个在建的大型地下水封石油储库为工程背景,结合现场试验数据分析,运用等效连续介质的方法,采用裂隙岩体各向异性渗透张量,建立三维地下水数值模拟模型,预测不同施工进程时地下水位的变化。分析预测结果表明：在地下洞室开挖过程中,无水幕条件下地下水位逐渐降低,主洞室部分区域出现零水头压力区,无法保证水封性;模拟运营期水幕巷道施加定水压力,地下水位上升至设计高度35 m且趋于稳定,可以满足水封效果要求。研究结果对地下石油洞库的水封性评价具有一定的工程意义和理论价值。     

1948-2005年7月500hPa高度场EOF分析

利用1948—2005年逐年7月份的NCEP/NCAR格点资料,对北半球的亚洲和太平洋区域500hPa高度场进行经验正交函数(EOF)分解,分析了前3个特征向量(模态)的空间分布特征和时间系数的变化,结果表明:7月份的500hPa高度场的分布特征比较复杂,但第一模态有一定的代表性,反映出西太平洋副热带地区高度场与亚洲大陆的反相关关系,而这种关系在20世纪80年代以后出现了反位相的变化。     

Stress Field Estimations for Colima Volcano, Mexico, Based on Seismic Data

 For first time, during 1991, seismic activity was recorded during an eruption at Colima volcano. We analyze these data to obtain a stress pattern using a composite focal mechanism technique. From the analysis of regional seismicity, the Tamazula Fault and the Armeria River appear as active features and the dip of the slab east of the Jalisco Block is approximately 12°. Southwest of Colima volcano a vertical alignment of seismic events was observed. We estimate five different composite focal mechanism solutions from our data set, which indicate a change of the stress field at the volcano after the 1991 eruption. These solutions suggest that the stress field in the volcanic edifice was controlled by stresses related to the emplacement of magma superimposed on the regional stress field. No evidence of active local faults in the volcanic edifice was found. We propose a model for the eruptive process that involves tilting of the volcanic edifice. Received: 15 October 1995 / Accepted: 26 October 1998     

The spacetime gravitational field of a deformable body

The high-resolution analysis of orbit perturbations of terrestrial artificial satellites has documented that the eigengravitation of a massive body like the Earth changes in time, namely with periodic and aperiodic constituents. For the space-time variation of the gravitational field the action of internal and external volume as well as surface forces on a deformable massive body are responsible. Free of any assumption on the symmetry of the constitution of the deformable body we review the incremental spatial (“Eulerian”) and material (“Lagrangean”) gravitational field equations, in particular the source terms (two constituents: the divergence of the displacement field as well as the projection of the displacement field onto the gradient of the reference mass density function) and the `jump conditions' at the boundary surface of the body as well as at internal interfaces both in linear approximation. A spherical harmonic expansion in terms of multipoles of the incremental Eulerian gravitational potential is presented. Three types of spherical multipoles are identified, namely the dilatation multipoles, the transport displacement multipoles and those multipoles which are generated by mass condensation onto the boundary reference surface or internal interfaces. The degree-one term has been identified as non-zero, thus as a “dipole moment” being responsible for the varying position of the deformable body's mass centre. Finally, for those deformable bodies which enjoy a spherically symmetric constitution, emphasis is on the functional relation between Green functions, namely between Fourier-/ Laplace-transformed volume versus surface Love-Shida functions (h(r),l(r) versus h ^′(r),l ^′(r)) and Love functions k(r) versus k ^′(r). The functional relation is numerically tested for an active tidal force/potential and an active loading force/potential, proving an excellent agreement with experimental results. Received: December 1995 / Accepted: 1 February 1997