江苏沿海滩涂利用模式遥感影像解译和时空变化分析

为了弄清江苏沿海滩涂利用模式分布情况,定量分析其时空变化趋势,本文基于Google Earth Engine云计算平台和Landsat卫星遥感影像数据,结合随机森林分类方法,通过机器学习建立了滩涂利用模式自动识别分类方法,样本训练后识别准确率达93％以上.利用该方法提取了2002年、2014年和2019年江苏沿海的土地...     

Introduction to systems approaches in coastal management—The legacy of the SPICOSA project

This Special Issue reflects work developed during and following the execution of the Science and Policy Integration for Coastal System Assessment project. Theoretical and practical outcomes of case studies have been of direct relevance to coastal management not only at local but also at a European scale. Papers included here consider the long term legacy of the project for academics and practitioners involved specifically in integrated coastal zone management. These align to two themes, the first focussing on the generic application of the Systems Approach Framework to coastal management and the second focussing on the specific application of the approach at case study sites.     

地质雷达在海岛调查中的应用

地质雷达探测技术正朝着探测精度更高、探测范围更广、解释更准确的方向发展,表现出前所未有的广阔发展前景,被广泛应用于工程、环境、灾害地质调查等领域,越来越受到人们的关注。随着海岛的开发与海岛基础设施的建设,海岛工程勘查与工程质量评估和地质灾害的影响与危害评估等工作越来越多。本文章结合地质雷达探测的优势,分析了海岛开发和地质调查中的研究内容,结合海岛上的滑坡监测、浅层断裂等地质灾害勘探实例,论述了地质雷达在海岛工程与地质调查中的应用。     

Variability of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in FGOALS-g2简

The variability of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation （AMOC） in the pre-industrial control experiment of the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model, Grid-point Version 2 （FGOALS-g2） was investigated using the model outputs with the most stable state in a 512-yr time window from the total 1500-yr period of the experiment. The period of AMOC in FGOALS-g2 is double peaked at 20 and 32 years according to the power spectrum, and 22 years according to an auto-correlation analysis, which shows very obvious decadal variability. Like many other coupled climate models, the decadal variability of AMOC in FGOALS-g2 is closely related to the convection that occurs in the Labrador Sea region. Deep convection in the Labrador Sea in FGOALS-g2 leads the AMOC maximum by 3-4 years. The contributions of thermal and haline effects to the variability of the convection in three different regions [the Labrador, Irminger and Greenland-Iceland- Norwegian （GIN） Seas] were analyzed for FGOALS-g2. The variability of convection in the Labrador and Irminger Seas is thermally dominant, while that in the colder GIN Seas can be mainly attributed to salinity changes due to the lower thermal expansion. By comparing the simulation results from FGOALS-g2 and 11 other models, it was found that AMOC variability can be attributed to salinity changes for longer periods （longer than 35 years） and to temperature changes for shorter periods.     

Differentiating capacities as a means to sustainable climate change adaptation

There are two forms of capacity to adapt to global change: those associated with fundamental human development goals (generic capacity), and those necessary for managing and reducing specific climatic threats (specific). We argue that these two domains of capacity must be addressed explicitly, simultaneously and iteratively if climate change adaptation and sustainable development goals are to be attained. We propose a simple heuristic to understand the four main ways these two capacities interact, leading to more or less desirable outcomes. Drawing from three case studies of agricultural adaptation to climatic risk (Phoenix, AZ; Northeast Brazil; Chiapas, Mexico) we argue that the institutional context of adaptation can implicitly or explicitly undermine one form of capacity with repercussions for the development of the other. A better and more strategic balance of generic and specific capacities is needed if the promised synergies between sustainable development and adaptation are to be achieved.     

济南市人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调发展研究

人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调发展是推进新型城镇化的重点所在。通过构建指标评价体系和评价模型,从“人口-土地”协调的视角分析演算1995-2013年济南市的城镇化水平与协调发展状态。研究结果表明,济南市城镇化整体协调发展度从1995年的严重失调衰退阶段发展到2013年的优质协调发展阶段,但是从2008开始,人口城镇化滞后于土地城镇化发展,表现出一定的失调现象。研究结果可以为制定地区城镇化发展策略提供科学依据。     

钢管土钉结合压密注浆在深厚杂填土基坑中的应用

通过工程实例,介绍了一种在深厚杂填土基坑中运用钢管土钉结合压密注浆技术的围护方法,对钢管土钉及压密注浆的设计及施工作了详细说明。监测结果表明,该支护方法可以有效控制基坑变形,确保基坑及地下结构施工期的安全,为类似条件的基坑围护工程提供借鉴。     

深层黏性土变形破坏的影响因素分析

河南刘河煤矿矿二1煤层上为厚度20~40m的第四系覆盖层,其中黏土层平均厚度为6.6m。由于第四系孔隙水含水组的四个含水段均为富水性中等及以上含水层,所以该层黏性土在受到上覆高压影响后能否控制顶板突水显得尤为关键,是解决新生界含水层下的安全开采的关键问题。通过室内实验测得该矿深度约在150m的4个钻孔土样的物理参数和土颗粒级配分析,按实验结果模拟深层黏性土,考虑受力面积、含水率和厚度3个影响黏性土破坏的主要因素,利用正交实验原理安排实验。结果表明,受力面积和含水率越大,黏性土的破坏程度增大;黏性土的厚度越大,破坏程度相应减小;3个因素中,受力面积的影响最大;当黏性土含水率在10%~25%,受力面积越小,厚度越大,黏性土不易发生破坏。该研究对预防和保证矿山安全生产具有重要意义。     

基于土地发展权的历史文化遗迹所在地区农地保护策略探究

目前我国历史文化遗迹所在地区开发用地失控的原因,从体制方面讲,乃是由于规制手段不够健全、管理体制不够顺畅、城镇化和旅游经济发展进程的阶段性等问题所致;从微观经济层面而言,还在于农民缺乏保护农地的经济诱因、农地转向开发用地收益更高、相关利益集团的势力影响等因素在起作用,故而农地流转成开发用地不可避免。所以应当借鉴海外土地发展权制度,在历史文化遗迹所在地区内落实土地发展权的补偿机制,对开发用地实行有效的管制。具体来说,应当从法律上明确土地发展权的地位,将农地保护与当地的经济社会发展有机协调起来,推行土地使用管制,建立完善土地发展权交易机制,同时有效控制农地流转为开发用地的隐性交易行为。     

雅鲁藏布江深厚砂砾卵石覆盖层钻探工艺

为了开展雅鲁藏布江流域综合规划及其水资源开发利用与保护专题研究工作,在雅鲁藏布江干流里龙坝址和本宗坝址共布置了4个200~300 m深的钻孔。主要通过在西藏高寒地区4个深厚覆盖层钻孔的成功实施经验,对西藏高寒地区深厚覆盖层勘探成孔工艺与技术进行研究探讨。