大洋洲地区矿产地数据库建设

依据数据库建库标准、建库流程、数据质量控制措施等方法和流程,构建了大洋洲地区铁、锰、铜、铝、金、镍、铀、稀土元素矿产地数据库。通过对矿产地数据特征与地学多源信息的综合分析,总结区域成矿规律,提供了矿产资源预测的基础数据。形成的数据库管理系统对资料管理、查询、利用更方便,表达更直观,分析和总结更有效。     

成都市城市热岛特征初探

本文利用1986年夏季、1987年冬季市区观测资料和郊区气象站气候资料,分析了成都市热岛特征、热岛强度随时间的变化及绿化对城市小气候的影响。     

中全新世以来乌鲁木齐东道海子B剖面沉积物源探讨与分析

用激光粒度仪对乌鲁木齐河尾闾的东道海子B剖面样品进行测试,获得机械组成的原始数据。样品粒度分布频率曲线可以分为4种类型。不同类型的曲线反映了不同的碎屑物源组成和不同的沉积环境：在该剖面正态尖峰代表风沙物源,偏态宽峰代表河水物源,正态尖峰和偏态宽峰的叠加代表风沙物源与河水物源的混合,鞍状宽峰可能与深水环境有关。整个剖面反映了从约5000aBP到约200aBP湖面逐步扩大、湖水加深,碎屑物源由以风沙补给为主,逐步转为水源碎屑的趋势。剖面下部的风沙沉积层代表全新世大暖期晚期的暖干环境。约自4500aBP碎屑物源反映湖面开始扩张,4500至3100aBP显示3次快速气候波动,3100aBP之后水深增加,除1980aBP前后显示有短暂的风沙活动之外,主要反映河流碎屑入湖变化情况和湖水水深变化。     

Net Energy Payback and CO2 Emissions from Three Midwestern Wind Farms: An Update

This paper updates a life-cycle net energy analysis and carbon dioxide emissions analysis of three Midwestern utility-scale wind systems. Both the Energy Payback Ratio (EPR) and CO₂ analysis results provide useful data for policy discussions regarding an efficient and low-carbon energy mix. The EPR is the amount of electrical energy produced for the lifetime of the power plant divided by the total amount of energy required to procure and transport the materials, build, operate, and decommission the power plants. The CO₂ analysis for each power plant was calculated from the life-cycle energy input data. A previous study also analyzed coal and nuclear fission power plants. At the time of that study, two of the three wind systems had less than a full year of generation data to project the life-cycle energy production. This study updates the analysis of three wind systems with an additional four to eight years of operating data. The EPR for the utility-scale wind systems ranges from a low of 11 for a two-turbine system in Wisconsin to 28 for a 143-turbine system in southwestern Minnesota. The EPR is 11 for coal, 25 for fission with gas centrifuge enriched uranium and 7 for gaseous diffusion enriched uranium. The normalized CO₂ emissions, in tonnes of CO₂ per GW_eh, ranges from 14 to 33 for the wind systems, 974 for coal, and 10 and 34 for nuclear fission using gas centrifuge and gaseous diffusion enriched uranium, respectively.     

An assessment of land cover change as a source of information for conservation planning in the Vhembe Biosphere Reserve

Determining changes in land use/land cover (LULCC) can be used to assess and monitor habitat loss as one of the five global priority causes of biodiversity loss. In South Africa, two national land-cover (NLC) datasets have been developed from satellite imagery obtained in circa 1990 and 2013/2014. The Vhembe Biosphere Reserve (VBR), designated in 2009, is located in the north of the Limpopo Province in South Africa and has a surface area of 30,457 km². The aim of biosphere reserves is to provide a landscape-scale framework for conservation and sustainable development of an area. The area within a biosphere reserve is prioritised by designating it into one of three zones 1) Core, 2) Buffer, and 3) Transitional Zones. Two national parks and six provincial reserves (PAs) are the current and form part of the proposed updated core areas (pCAs) of the VBR. Intensity analyses was used to assess LULCC in the VBR. The pCAs cover 39.7% of the surface area of the VBR. The PAs cover 39.7% and only 15.8% of the surface area of the pCAs and VBR respectively. Based on the NLC 2013/2014 a majority of the VBR, pCAs and PAs consisted of indigenous vegetation dominated by Woodland/Open bush, Grassland, and Thicket/Dense bush. The extent of transformed land in the VBR declined from 1990 to 2013 by 1697.7 km². The total amount of change and mean annual change in the VBR was 53.1% and 2.31% respectively. The overexploitation of fuel wood by rural communities in rural areas of the VBR, was partly responsible for the targeted loss of Woodland/Open bush to Thicket/Dense bush and Grasslands. The unquantified presence of novel vegetation and alien invasive plants means that the NLC 1990 and 2013/2014 overestimates the quantity and distribution of the remaining indigenous vegetation in the VBR. In order to address this the distribution of alien and indigenous invasive plant species in the VBR needs to be determined and used to update future NLCs. Assuming a worse-case-scenario of all the coal deposits in the VBR, including the Kruger National Park, being mined it would amount to 24.7% of the surface area of the VBR. Only 6.8% of the area of all the coal deposits in the VBR was transformed with 93.2% currently remaining untransformed. It is recommended that transformation of indigenous vegetation to one of the seven transformed land cover categories and more specifically from coal mining should be restricted to the VBR's Transition Zones.     

基于网络分析的区域铁路公司建构方法与实证

区域铁路公司是铁路运输市场组织的重要模式之一, 也是铁路改革中的焦点问题之一。 基于经济地理学功能区(结节区)的网络分析方法, 对1991～2005年我国城际铁路货流的空 间组织特征进行了系统分析, 发现我国铁路货物运输联系形成了较为稳定的功能区划, 形成 北京、广州、上海等城市枢纽节点。基于合理运输组织和减少交易成本的组织理念, 提出建 立东北、华北、西北、华中、华东、中南和西南7大区域铁路公司。该研究可以为铁路市场 化改革提供决策支持。     

一次黄海爆发性气旋的观测分析和数值模拟研究

本文利用再分析资料和WRFV3.9模式（Weather Research and Forecasting Model）对2020年7月22－24日发生在黄海海域的一次爆发性气旋进行了研究,并对其演变过程和发展机制进行了详细分析。该气旋22日12UTC在山东南部生成,入海后开始爆发性发展,最大加深率达到1.2 Bergeron,23日在黄海中部气压降至最低990 hPa左右,24日在韩国登陆。高空强辐散、低层的暖舌结构、水汽输送和下垫面热通量的变化增强了大气斜压性,使其迅速发展。使用WRF模式对气旋进行模拟,涡度的诊断分析表明,大气低层强斜压性主要通过涡度方程的散度项对气旋的发展起作用,对流项在涡度发展旺盛的时刻也有一定影响。海温的敏感性试验表明,海温变化对气旋移动路径和中心气压影响明显。     

海洋生态产品价值实现的参与主体演化博弈分析

海洋生态产品价值实现对推进海洋生态文明建设与海洋经济高质量发展具有重要意义。目前,海洋生态产品价值实现存在市场化程度不高、公众参与度低、实现不充分等问题。本文通过构建海洋生态产品价值实现参与主体（企业、政府和社会公众）的演化博弈模型,探究各方主体的策略稳定性规律,探讨三方博弈系统的均衡点及其稳定性,并运用Matlab仿真分析不同参数变化对系统演化的影响,最后依据博弈分析结果为探索“政府＋市场”的海洋生态产品价值实现路径提供对策建议。结果表明,政府是海洋生态产品价值实现的引导者与推动者,管控成本和社会收益是影响其策略选择的主要因素,加强政府的奖惩力度、增加企业提供海洋生态产品的潜在收益、降低供给成本对企业参与海洋生态产品价值实现具有正向作用,社会公众购买海洋生态产品所获效用的提升与监督成本的减少有利于促进社会公众参与海洋生态产品价值实现。     

晋南地区全新世中期遗址时空分布与气候演化的关系

基于ArcGIS10.8平台结合最邻近指数、核密度分析叠加标准差椭圆等方法,研究晋南地区全新世中期1 415处遗址的时空演变。结果表明：晋南地区全新世中期遗址空间分布从集聚到逐渐离散;遗址重心向高纬度地区、逆时针方向位移,方向呈现先东北后西北的变化。核密度分析表明,空间布局从仰韶期的团状到龙山期的以陶寺文化为中心的带状分布。与仰韶时期相比,龙山时期处于过渡时期的弱暖湿气候阶段,干燥更为明显,遗址沿着盆地和河流分布。由于此时农业技术水平高,人类适应能力增强,人口迅速增加,从而推动了龙山文化发展;后期气候逐渐恶化,人类生存面临严峻挑战,导致龙山文化被迫中断。随后进入了夏商时期,遗址数目较少,分布与山地联系密切。这种龙山文化到夏商文化的演变可能与4 kaBP前后降温事件有关。因此,研究全新世中期晋南地区遗址时空分布与环境演化,对于理解不同环境下人类响应与适应具有重要意义。