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81.
INTRODUCTIONThemonsoonhasacirculationfeaturethatisplanetaryinscaleandanidentifiablesignalregardingitssubsequentintensitysomeninemonthspriortotheactivestageofthesummermonsoon(WebsterandYang,1992).Furthermore,themagnitudeofthemonsoonvariabilityissubstantia…  相似文献   
82.
广东省和广西壮族自治区(两广地区)夏季降水时空分布很不均匀,存在显著的年际变化。利用站点观测降水资料、海洋及大气再分析资料,研究了近40 a两广地区夏季降水年际异常与澳大利亚东侧海温异常的联系及机理。在年际时间尺度上,两广夏季降水异常与澳大利亚东侧的海温异常存在显著的负相关关系。当澳大利亚东侧海温异常偏高时,一方面,部分水汽由热带中太平洋向澳大利亚东侧海区辐合,部分沿西太平洋副热带高压边缘向东亚地区输送,两广地区为水汽辐散区域,另一方面,澳大利亚东侧海区的对流活动增强,该地区上空的上升运动异常增强,通过"大气桥"遥相关使得海洋性大陆地区的异常上升运动增强,从而加强了东亚地区的局地Hadley环流,使得两广地区下沉运动增强,二者共同作用致使两广地区夏季干旱少雨;反之亦然。  相似文献   
83.
In several empirical and modelling studies on river hydraulics, dispersion was negatively correlated to surface roughness. In this study, it was aimed to investigate the influence of surface roughness on longitudinal dispersion under controlled conditions. In artificial flow channels with a length of 104 m, tracer experiments with variations in channel bed material were performed. By use of measured tracer breakthrough curves, average flow velocity, mean longitudinal dispersion, and mean longitudinal dispersivity were calculated. Longitudinal dispersion coefficients ranged from 0·018 m2 s?1 in channels with smooth bed surface up to 0·209 m2 s?1 in channels with coarse gravel as bed material. Longitudinal dispersion was linearly related to mean flow velocity. Accordingly, longitudinal dispersivities ranged between 0·152 ± 0·017 m in channels with smooth bed surface and 0·584 ± 0·015 m in identical channels with a coarse gravel substrate. Grain size and surface roughness of the channel bed were found to correlate positively to longitudinal dispersion. This finding contradicts several existing relations between surface roughness and dispersion. Future studies should include further variation in surface roughness to derive a better‐founded empirical equation forecasting longitudinal dispersion from surface roughness. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
84.
StudyofCurieisothermalsurfaceinSichuanBasinandtheseismicareaonitswesternmar┐ginXIANZHANG(张先),XI-FENGHU(虎喜凤),JING-XIUSHEN(沈京秀...  相似文献   
85.
Agricultural sediment and pesticide runoff is a widespread ecological and human health concern. Numerical simulation models, such as Root Zone Water Quality Model (RZWQM) and Pesticide Root Zone Model (PRZM), have been increasingly used to quantify off‐site agricultural pollutant movement. However, RZWQM has been criticized for its inability to simulate sedimentation processes. The recent incorporation of the sedimentation module of Groundwater Loading Effects of Agricultural Management Systems has enabled RZWQM to simulate sediment and sediment‐associated pesticides. This study compares the sediment and pesticide transport simulation performance of the newly released RZWQM and PRZM using runoff data from 2 alfalfa fields in Davis, California. A composite metric (based on coefficient of determination, Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency, index of agreement, and percent bias) was developed and employed to ensure robust, comprehensive assessment of model performance. Results showed that surface water runoff was predicted reasonably well (absolute percent bias <31%) by RZWQM and PRZM after adjusting important hydrologic parameters. Even after calibration, underestimation bias (?89% ≤ PBIAS  ≤ ?36%) for sediment yield was observed in both models. This might be attributed to PRZM's incorrect distribution of input water and uncertainty in RZWQM's runoff erosivity coefficient. Moreover, the underestimation of sediment might be less if the origin of measured sediment was considered. Chlorpyrifos losses were simulated with reasonable accuracy especially for Field A (absolute PBIAS  ≤ 22%), whereas diuron losses were underestimated to a great extent (?98% ≤ PBIAS  ≤ ?65%) in both models. This could be attributed to the underprediction of herbicide concentration in the top soil due to the limitations of the instantaneous equilibrium sorption model as well as the high runoff potential of herbicide formulated as water‐dispersible granules. RZWQM and PRZM partitioned pesticides into the water and sediment phases similarly. According to model predictions, the majority of pesticide loads were carried via the water phase. On the basis of this study, both RZWQM and PRZM performed well in predicting runoff that carried highly adsorptive pesticides on an event basis, although the more physically based RZWQM is recommended when field‐measured soil hydraulic properties are available.  相似文献   
86.
2011年全球重大天气气候事件及其成因   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
司东  李修仓  任福民  徐良炎  袁媛  龚志强 《气象》2012,38(4):480-489
2011年,全球气温偏高,为有观测记录以来的第十个暖年,是近60年来出现拉尼娜事件的年份中全球气温最高的一年。2011年,全球热带气旋活动较常年偏少。4月,一次拉尼娜事件结束,9月又一次拉尼娜事件生成。年初,低温、寒流席卷亚洲大部,暴风雪频繁袭击北美地区。西欧和中国东部出现严重春旱。夏季,非洲东部经历了20世纪80年代以来最严重的干旱,而东南亚、巴基斯坦和中南美洲洪涝灾害严重。全球极端偏暖事件主要出现在欧洲西部和西北部、南亚南部、东亚中西部、北美东南部等地;极端偏冷事件主要出现在东亚、澳大利亚、非洲南部和美国东北部和西部等地。而南美中东部、东南亚及中国东南部、日本、澳大利亚北部、非洲西部等地出现了极端强降水事件。研究发现,2010/2011年拉尼娜事件和台风活动是导致东南亚洪涝出现的重要原因,而巴基斯坦洪涝主要与印度洋正位相偶极型海温分布有关。  相似文献   
87.
日照市海滩表层沉积物重金属污染评价及磁学指示   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
研究区域为山东省南部日照市涛雒镇海滩,对其表层沉积物中7种重金属元素(Cr、Ni、V、Fe、Zn、Co、Pb)的含量进行测试,并使用地累积指数法对其污染状况进行了评估;同时对表层沉积物的磁学参数进行原位磁化率和室内磁学参数测试。结果表明,研究区域整体污染情况较轻,各重金属元素均轻度污染或无污染,重金属污染源主要为河口及海滩排污口。野外体积磁化率和室内质量磁化率分布特征与重金属含量分布特征一致,磁性颗粒的晶粒类型为多畴(MD),磁性矿物类型为亚铁磁性矿物。通过室内质量磁化率与重金属含量的高度正相关性,建立了研究区域重金属污染的磁学诊断方法。  相似文献   
88.
针对已有球面四元三角网拓扑关系计算方法不能处理带空洞复杂目标的情况,提出了基于公共三角格网来计算球面四元三角网复杂拓扑关系,该方法能准确判断出带空洞复杂目标的拓扑关系,为全球空间分析和应用提供了新的思路。  相似文献   
89.
In this study, the biosorption of Cd(II), Ni(II) and Pb(II) on Aspergillus niger in a batch system was investigated, and optimal condition determined by means of central composite design (CCD) under response surface methodology (RSM). Biomass inactivated by heat and pretreated by alkali solution was used in the determination of optimal conditions. The effect of initial solution pH, biomass dose and initial ion concentration on the removal efficiency of metal ions by A. niger was optimized using a design of experiment (DOE) method. Experimental results indicated that the optimal conditions for biosorption were 5.22 g/L, 89.93 mg/L and 6.01 for biomass dose, initial ion concentration and solution pH, respectively. Enhancement of metal biosorption capacity of the dried biomass by pretreatment with sodium hydroxide was observed. Maximal removal efficiencies for Cd(II), Ni(III) and Pb(II) ions of 98, 80 and 99% were achieved, respectively. The biosorption capacity of A. niger biomass obtained for Cd(II), Ni(II) and Pb(II) ions was 2.2, 1.6 and 4.7 mg/g, respectively. According to these observations the fungal biomass of A. niger is a suitable biosorbent for the removal of heavy metals from aqueous solutions. Multiple response optimization was applied to the experimental data to discover the optimal conditions for a set of responses, simultaneously, by using a desirability function.  相似文献   
90.
Wetlands are valuable ecosystems that provide many valuable services, yet many of these important ecosystems are at risk because of current trends in climate change. The Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) in the upper‐midwest of the United States and south‐central Canada, characterized by glacially sculpted landscapes and abundant wetlands, is one such vulnerable region. According to regional/global climate model predictions, drought occurrence will increase in the PPR region through the 21st century and thus will probably cause the amount of water in wetlands to decline. Water surface area (WSA) of Kidder County, ND, from 1984–2011 was measured by classifying TM/ETM+(Landsat Thematic Mapper / Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus) images through the modified normalized difference water index. We then developed a linear model based on the WSA of these wetlands and historical climate data and used this to determine the wetland sensitivity to climate change and predict future wetlands WSA in the PPR. Our model based on Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) of the current year (PDSIt ? 0) and of the previous two years (PDSIt ? 2) can explain 79% of the annual wetland WSA variance, suggesting a high sensitivity of wetlands to drought/climate change. We also predicted the PPR wetlands WSA in the 21st century under A1B scenario (a mid‐carbon emission scenario) using simulated PDSI based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change AR4 22‐model ensemble climate. According to our prediction, the WSA of the PPR wetlands will decrease to less than half of the baseline WSA (defined as the mean wetlands WSA of the 2000s) by the mid of the 21st century, and to less than one‐third by the 2080s, and will then slightly increase in the 2090s. This considerable future wetland loss caused only by climate change provides important implication to future wetland management and climate adaptation policy. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
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