THE TIDAL FLATS MORPHOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT AND THE COASTAL UND RECMMATION IN SHANGHAI

1.IntroductionShanghaiisloeatedonthesouthbankofChanaiiangEstuarywithHangzhouBayinitss0uthandEaStChinaSeainitseast.ThetotallotofcoastallineandrivershorelinearoundShanghaiis449.7kn.Wthitsabundantwat6rdischarge,largequantityofswhmatsarecarnedanddrpositedinChanaiiangEStuaryundertheinteractionofmanneandnorunanneprocesseswhichformedvastexPansesofhdalflatsontheestuaryanditSadjaodbay(Li,l990)(Figurel).ll.DynedcFact0r0fTidalflats1.Waterandscdlinentc0ndih0nWatrdi,chargeatDatongStationis9.26xl0"…     

Research on the Result of Calibration for the Location of the Seismic Array in Shanghai

The paper proposes the calibration theory and methods for the Shanghai seismic array and analyzes the calibration results. As a result, the calibration results for the seismic array based on 2 typical earthquakes have been drawn; the difference of calibration results between Hokkaido and Honshu region in Japan is investigated. And calibration results of different directions, different epicenter distances and different magnitudes are probed into. The result shows that the location of earthquakes on the Shanghai seismic array is greatly improved.     

上海人口经济增长及其对环境影响的相关分析

本文考察了改革开放以来上海人口、经济及能源消费增长与环境污染的关系,发现人口、经济增长与能源消费增长密切正相关,呈同向变化;人口、经济及能源消费增长与环境污染之间也密切相关,但并不存在单纯的正相关或负相关关系,而是在不同发展阶段表现有所不同,总体而言基本符合库兹涅茨曲线假说,即在20世纪80年代及以前,环境污染水平随人口经济增长而上升,到了20世纪80年代末,经济发展水平达到人均GDP5500元左右时,环境污染水平达到峰值,此后即随人口经济增长而呈下降趋势.     

上海台阵标定方法的对比研究

本文介绍了基于台阵标定理论建立的上海台阵标定数据库;提出了最近标定和平均标定的方法。通过典型的地震事件对新方法进行了校验,结果表明最近标定和平均标定法的标定效果都比较好,有效的提高了地震定位精度。     

上海地震台阵标定结果研究

本文阐述了地震台阵标定理论和上海地震台阵的标定方法，并对上海台阵标定结果进行了分析：给出2个典型地震的台阵标定结果；对日本北海道地区和本州地区的地震标定差别进行了研究；研究了不同方向、不同震中距和不同震级的地震标定结果。讨论结果表明，上海地震台阵标定显著提高了定位的精度。     

上海地震图纸网络化管理

上海地震图纸网络化管理软件是在Lotus Note 5．0平台上开发的文档型数据库。该软件具有地震图纸入库、图纸查询等功能，同时可以和上海市地震局办公自动化系统相链接，局用户可以通过局域网办公自动化系统在网上查询所需地震图纸的信息。     

上海及邻近地区地震动衰减关系研究

选择有丰富强震记录和地震烈度资料的美国西部地区作为参考地区，根据上海及邻近地区的地震烈度资料，确定上海及邻近地区地震烈度衰减关系；采用缺乏强震资料地区地震动参数衰减关系的确定方法，转换得到本地区的地震动参数衰减关系。     

Observed climatic changes in Shanghai during 1873-2002

Variation characteristics of temperature and precipitation in January and July and annual mean temperature and annual precipitation are analyzed with the help of cumulative anomalies, Mann-Kendall analysis and wavelet analysis. The research results indicate that January precipitation presents an increasing trend after 1990, wavelet analysis result suggests that this increasing trend will continue in the near future. The changes of July precipitation present different features. During 1900-1960, July precipitation is in a rising trend, but is in a declining trend after 1960. Wavelet analysis shows that this declining trend will go on in the near future. Temperature variations in Shanghai are in fluctuations with 2 to 3 temperature rising periods. Mann-Kendall analysis indicates that temperature variations have the obvious abrupt change time when compared with precipitation changes in Shanghai during the past 100 years. The abrupt change time of January temperature lies in 1985, and that of July temperature lies in 1931-1933 and annual mean temperature has the abrupt change time in 1923-1930. Except July precipitation, the precipitation in January, temperature in January, July and annual mean temperature, and annual precipitation are also in a rising trend in the near future. The research results in this paper may be meaningful for future further climatic changes of Shanghai and social mitigation of climatic disasters in the future.     

上海人工半岛地区岩土工程特性

文章介绍了上海人工半岛地区的岩土工程条件，并对其在本工程中的应用作初步探讨。     

纽约产业结构高级化及其对上海的启示

20世纪50年代以来，纽约的产业结构高级化不断发展，制造业急剧衰落，以生产性服务业为代表的第三产业迅速崛起。从90年代末期开始，与全美平均相比，纽约的证券业、工程管理、制药业、出版业、制衣业呈现较大的发展潜力，而房地产、银行业、健康服务业增长相对缓慢，服务业与制造业相互融合的趋势十分明显。此外，纽约城市空间差异日益扩大，曼哈顿人均收入比布朗克斯、布鲁克林高出一倍以上。纽约发展经验表明，以竞争优势代替比较成本优势、优先支持生产性服务业的发展、注重与产业之间的融合是推动城市产业高级化的有效手段。有鉴于此，笔者建议在上海市新一轮产业结构调整中应重点支持知识型服务业发展、加强产业间联系，以增强城市产业国际竞争力。