运城震群序列及其震相特征——华北地区遥测地震台网联网论文续四

利用临汾无线遥测地震台网的记录资料,探讨了运城震群活动的序列特征,对震群活动的震相记录特征进行了较全面的总结和分析.     

论对地方地震工作的科学指导与管理

根据现代行政管理学及领导管理科学的要求，研究探讨了我国地方地震工作管理的特殊性及其基本要求，提出了科学指导和管理地方地震工作的总体思路和基本模式，即一个指导思想，两个落脚点，三种管理方法和四条保证措施。作者据此总结了我国地方地震工作管理的实践和发展，提出了当前亟待解决的三个问题。     

论地方地震科研工作的制约因素及改革对策

本文列据说明地方地震科技队伍是一支重要力量，但与专业地震科学队伍相比较，因制约因素多，存在很大差距，要发挥地方地震科学队伍的作用，必须走改革之路，在认识上、组织上、步调上应该协调统一，以达到专群，上下真正结合。     

东南沿海地震区东部中强震活动特征

研究了1500年以来东南沿海地震区东部中强地震的活动特征。通过对其时序演变进程的分析,长乐-诏安地震带和邵武-河源地震带地震活动参数的对比,以及对第二活跃期中强地震迁移特点的研究,对该区今后的地震活动趋势作出了估计。     

四川西部地区地震活动的空间分维特征

本文采用多分形的方法研究了四川西部地区20年来的地震活动的空间分布特征.对D_q谱与D_(-1),D_(-2)曲线结合震例进行分析,指出其变化与强震活动有密切联系。并结合空区理论,认为D_q(q<0)主要描述了地震空区的情况,该方法在地震前兆信息提取有中重要意义。     

震前大气电场异常的区域性特征

在了近场每次较大地震发生前，均能观测到明显的大气电场负异常信息。在观测不到明显的大气电场负异常时，近场近期一般不会有较大地震发生的基础上，本文对北京及其附近地区为例，利用所观测到的在气电场异常资料及１９８５年后该地区所发生的８次Ｍｌ≥４地震资料，较深入地探讨了震前大气电场异常的空间分布特征，取得了一些规律性的认识：（１）异常多发生在距震中不太范围内，且随着震级的增大异常区的范围也增大。（２）较大地     

IC-D新型脉冲标定电路的设计与应用——华北地区遥测地震台网联网论文续七

介绍了一种适用于遥测地震台网台站钟控脉冲标定的IC-D新型脉冲标定电路.     

Rupture segmentation and assessment of probabilities of seismic potential on the Xiaojiang fault zone

Spatial distribution of sources of strong and large earthquakes on the Xiaojiang fault zone in eastern Yunnan is studied according to historical earthquake data. 7 segments of relatively independent sources or basic units of rupture along the fault zone have been identified preliminarily. On every segment, time intervals between main historical earthquakes are generally characterized by “time-predictable” recurrence behavior with indetermination. A statistic model for the time intervals between earthquakes of the fault zone has been preliminarily established. And a mathematical method has been introduced into this paper to reckon average recurrence interval between earthquakes under the condition of having known the size of the last event at a specific segment. Based on these, ranges of the average recurrence intervals given confidence have been estimated for events of various sizes on the fault zone. Further, the author puts forward a real-time probabilistic model that is suitable to analyze seismic potential for individual segments along a fault zone on which earthquake recurrence intervals have been characterized by quasi-time-predictable behavior, and applies this model to calculate conditional probabilities and probability gains of earthquake recurring on the individual segments of the Xiaojiang fault zone during the period from 1991 to 2005. As a consequence, it has shown that two parts of this fault zone, from south of Dongchuan to Songming and from Chengjiang to Huaning, have relatively high likelihoods for strong or large earthquake recurring in the future. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 322–330, 1993.     

Seismic hazard analysis for a spatial linearly distributed system

The models currently used in the seismic evaluation of important projects, microzoning and seismic zonation are all for site. Although seismic hazard analysis have been done for many sites in seismic zonation and microzoning, relationship among sites is not considered in the final results. Studies show that it is impossible to get total hazard for specific area from the results of the hazard analysis of sites. So, when we consider the total seismic hazard of a specific spatial distributed system, methods for site are not enough. Author discussed the relation and the difference between system hazard and segments hazard which form the system and proposed a seismic hazard analysis model taking spatial linear distributed series and parallel system as an example. In aseismic design and earthquake disaster prevention decision, not only the seismic hazard of segments of the system but also the total seismic hazard of the system should be considered. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 347–352, 1993.