基于灰色关联分析法的城市火灾与气象条件关系分析

文章用灰色关联分析方法对呼和浩特市1999—2009年的月气象资料和同期火灾资料进行了分析,得到月平均温度、月平均相对湿度、月总降水量、月无降水日数、月平均风速与月火灾次数的关联度及其强弱顺序,其中月平均风速关联度为0.657,在强弱顺序中排在第一位,其次分别为月无降水日数和月平均温度。为进一步研究城市火灾受气象条件的影响和建立城市火险潜势预报模型提供基础依据。     

基于灰色关联-遗传神经网络的煤与瓦斯突出预测模型

在综合分析影响煤与瓦斯突出的各种评价指标的基础上,基于人工神经网络极强的非线性逼真能力,建立了煤与瓦斯突出强度预测的遗传神经网络模型。模型采用灰色关联理论完成了评价指标的优化,并利用遗传算法对BP网络初始权值和阈值的确定进行了优化。以重庆南桐矿区砚石台矿为例,对煤与瓦斯突出强度进行了预测,结果表明,采用本模型的预测结果与矿井实际突出状况一致,模型可靠,具有一定的理论与实际意义。     

Research progress and prospects of digital restructuring of global-local interactions北大核心CSCD

Global-local interaction is an important research topic in economic geography. In recent years, the rapid development of digitalization in various countries and regions has profoundly affected the global production and trade networks. However, there is a lack of systematic theoretical discussion on digitalization and global-local interaction studies. The objective of this study is to conceptually rethink the role of digitalization in reshaping global-local interactions from a dynamic and relational perspective. To do this, the study first systematically reviewed the digital turn in economic geography and discussed the rethinking of digitalization. It is found that the understanding of digitalization is gradually moving beyond the limits of isolated, static, and passive technocentric approaches and towards a more dynamic, relational, and open perspective. Second, the study combined the "digital turn" with the "relational turn" in relational economic geography, which constructs theoretical bridges between digitalization and global-local studies. Third, this study provided a basic understanding for sorting out the evolution of the research frameworks, that is, from the global value chain (GVC) to the global production network (GPN) and then to the digital ecosystem (DE). We argued that digitalization has been deeply involved in shaping the global economic landscape, restructuring global-local production relations, and reconstructing regional development. Based on this recognition, we discussed the primary performance of digitalization on the restructuring of global-local interaction from three aspects: enterprise relationship, spatial effect and interaction mechanism. Finally, grounded in the practice of China's urban and regional digital economy development, the possible theoretical innovations and prospects for future research on digitalization and global-local interaction in the Chinese context were proposed. The study pointed out that we can integrate the regional practices of China's digital development with more in-depth research from the perspectives of the platform ecosystems, spatial effects, location analysis, local development models, and so on in future research. © 2023, Editorial office of PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY. All rights reserved.     

塔里木河下游区域水面蒸发影响因子敏感性分析

水面蒸发敏感因素的判断,对于干旱区水资源的规划与利用具有重要指导意义。本文以新疆塔里木河下游铁干里克气象站资料为例,对研究区水面蒸发影响因素进行分析。文章首先采用熵值法对水面蒸发进行敏感性分析,在此基础上运用灰色关联分析法进行验证。结果表明:温度、风速、日照时数这三因素对水面蒸发最为敏感;基于熵值法的敏感因素研究结果与灰色关联分析的结果基本一致,尤其在主要影响因素的判别上。研究结果干旱区水资源规划与利用提供了一种新方法和新思路。