Building comparable global change vulnerability assessments: The vulnerability scoping diagram

Advancing vulnerability science depends in part on identifying common themes from multiple, independent vulnerability assessments. Such insights are difficult to produce when the assessments use dissimilar, often qualitative, measures. The Vulnerability Scoping Diagram is presented to facilitate the comparison of assessments with dissimilar measures. The diagram is illustrated with recent research on drought vulnerabilities, showing that common insights into vulnerability may emerge if independent research teams use a common structure for organizing information about exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity—even if the underlying measures differ between assessments. Broadly adopting this technique, which is grounded in the “Eight Steps” methodological protocol [Schröter, D., Polsky, C., Patt, A., 2005. Assessing vulnerabilities to the effects of global change: an eight step approach. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 10(4), 573–595], will enable a vulnerability meta-analysis, the lessons from which may permit places to identify helpful adaptation or mitigation options without first having to conduct their own vulnerability assessments.     

大气动力学方程组的定性理论及其应用

基于完整的湿大气动力学方程组,利用无穷维动力系统的新理论和新方法,系统讨论了强迫耗散的非线性大气系统的定性理论及其应用。将完整的强迫耗散非线性湿大气动力学方程组化为Hilbert空间中一个等价的算子方程,研究了算子的性质及其物理意义,在此基础上得到湿大气系统全局吸引子的存在性定理,揭示出系统向外源的非线性适应特征,并把结果推广到有地形动力作用和非定常外源强迫的情形。同时探讨了大气方程组惯性流形的存在,大气多平衡态产生的根源以及强迫、耗散和非线性对系统解的渐近行为的影响。在理论结果的基础上,提出强迫耗散的非线性动力系统中存在三类时间边界层、方程组简化准则、分解算法的算子约束原则以及支撑吸引子基底的少数自由度的构造方法,探讨了理论在非线性发展方程差分格式的设计和计算稳定性分析、多平衡态的数值分析、数值模式延伸预报的改进、短期气候预测以及一类中尺度系统分析与预测中的应用,指出描述长期过程动力学模式的必备条件,给出初值与模式相协调的合理解释。最后,对今后的研究方向作了展望。     

Some foundation stability problems of the railway bridge over the Mala Rijeka

SummarySome Foundation Stability Problems of the Railway Bridge over the Mala Rijeka The authors presented an outlay of problems occurring in estimating the stability of rocky slopes loaded by large vertical forces. General attitudes, kept by the authors during the stability analysis for an actual case — foundation of piers No. 3 and 4 of the railway bridge across the Mala Rijeka, are also presented. The results of calculation as well as the advantages of the approach applied are outlined in the paper. Finally, general conclusions are drawn regarding the method to be kept in solving the stability of slopes loaded by large artificial loading.With 7 Figures     

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Quantitative Research Performing other Worlds: lessons from sustainable agriculture in the Philippines

For those interested in ethical research, quantitative methods are often dismissed as apolitical; as unreflective exercises in ‘mere counting’. If, however, in doing research, we bring into being the very worlds we purport to describe, the question begs: what kinds of worlds might quantitative methods bring into being? Is there space for a reflexive, quantitative research agenda? In this paper, I will discuss an action-based predominantly quantitative research project that aimed to investigate the diverse impacts of sustainable agriculture on small-scale farmers in the Philippines. The study, one of the largest ever undertaken on organic rice production, was consciously designed, not merely to describe, but to perform organic agriculture differently. While most quantitative, and indeed much qualitative, research ignores its performativity, this research was intended to enact a reality of sustainable agriculture as a viable and vital alternative to mainstream, capitalist agriculture.     

Exploring Saturation of Themes and Spatial Locations in Qualitative Public Participation Geographic Information Systems Research

Use of public participation geographic information systems (PPGIS) studies that collect local knowledge in a spatial format is increasing as a tool in natural resources management. Qualitative PPGIS studies have been conducted as individual interviews, as workshops, and in focus groups. As the number of qualitative PPGIS studies increases, so does the need to understand their quality. Saturation, the point when the researcher determines that the collection of additional data will provide minimal new information as it relates to a particular issue, directly reflects on the validity of the study. While the concept of saturation is well established, it is still inconsistently assessed and reported. Furthermore, how saturation applies to qualitatively collected spatial data has not been addressed. A method is presented to assess spatial saturation of qualitative PPGIS data from 19 focus groups that were conducted to investigate important places for recreation, livelihoods, and the environment in the Florida Panhandle.     

应用响应曲面法优化凯氏定氮法的消解条件

经典凯氏定氮法是通过观察消解反应现象来控制温度和时间,对于数量较多的样品同时消解会耗费大量的人力及时间,因此需要采用合理的试验设计方法确定最佳消解温度和时间,以实现批量消解样品,提高分析效率。本文利用响应曲面法对凯氏定氮法中的消解条件进行了优化分析,选择料液比、消解温度和消解时间作为优化因素,研究三因素的不同水平对氮含量测定的影响。通过响应曲面分析得到最优的消解条件为:料液比(g/mL)=0.3∶5,消解温度260℃,消解时间60 min。重复实验结果表明,样品在优化的条件下能够很好地消解,重现性较好;标准物质的氮含量的实验测定值(1310×10-6)与标准值(1300×10-6)基本一致,两者的对数误差绝对值为0.003,方法的准确性高。应用响应曲面试验设计方法,对于评价凯氏定氮法中三个消解条件对氮含量的非线性影响起到了很好的优选作用,能更好地预测实验因素对分析结果的影响趋势,可以准确控制消解温度和消解时间,对于提高分析效率具有实用意义。     

尾矿库选址勘察渗漏性评价方法探讨

文中阐述了尾矿库选址中的工程地质和水文地质测绘、浅层地震和勘察工程、水文地质试验等对库区渗漏性进行评价的基本方法,并结合工程实例介绍实际工作中如何进行渗漏性评价及重点关注的问题。     

“软−硬”关系框架下城市型目的地出入境旅游响应路径——基于1997―2019年中国香港特区数据的组态分析

选取1997―2019年中国香港特区数据,使用定性比较分析（QCA）方法对出入境旅游流产生路径的前因条件以及结果条件进行分析,研究结果表明：① 在路径数量上,虽持续简化,但是仍然具有复杂性;② 在核心条件中,所有的单因素均不构成影响的核心条件,中国香港出入境旅游流路径受到多因素组合作用;③ 在前因条件中,“软?硬”关系影响存在差异,硬实力关系对高出入境旅游流起主导作用,软实力关系则对非高出入境旅游流作用较大;④ 在路径国家（地区）中,高和非高出入境旅游流存在显著地区差异;⑤ 在时间层面上,阶段1与阶段2、阶段3路径差异较大,表明时间节点的分割事件对中国香港出入境旅游的影响不同。     

GRA——FAHP模型的煤层底板突水危险性评价

矿井水害一直是制约我国煤炭安全生产的重要隐患之一,对其进行准确的预测评价具有十分重要的理论意义和实用价值。本文根据煤层底板突水各影响因素之间的关系是灰色关系并且具有非线性特征的特点,建立了定量与定性指标为一体的煤层底板突水评价指标体系及等级划分标准。同时将灰色关联分析法(GRA)和模糊层次分析法(FAHP)相结合。构建了能真实反映影响因素与底板突水之间灰色关系和非线性关系的底板突水危险性评价模型,并应用模型对某典型工作面突水危险性等级进行了评价,可为今后煤层底板突水预测评价的研究提供一定的借鉴和依据。