Changes of Precipitation Infiltration Recharge in the Circumstances of Coal Mining Subsidence in the Shen‐Dong Coal Field,China

Coal mining subsidence is a universal environmental-geological problem in mining areas. By selecting the Shen-Dong coal mining subsidence area as the research field, this paper studies the changes in precipitation infiltration recharge in the circumstances of coal mining subsidence by means of field geological investigation and laboratory simulation experiments, which is expected to provide a scientific basis for eco-environmental restoration in the mining area. The results indicate that at the unstable stage of subsidence, three types of subsidence in the Shen-Dong mining area have positive effects on the precipitation infiltration recharge, and the type of full-thickness bedrock subsidence has the greatest influence. In the stable stage of subsidence, the precipitation infiltration process after long-term drought and the moisture migration in the aeration zone undergo three different stages: evaporation-infiltration before precipitation, infiltration-upward infiltration-infiltration during precipitation and evaporation-infiltration after precipitation. During a heavy rainfall infiltration process, the wetting front movement in fine sand, coarse sand and dualistic structure of fine-coarse sand consists of two stages: the stage of wetting front movement during precipitation, in which the wetting front movement distance has linear relationship with the depth, and the stage of wetting front movement after precipitation, in which the wetting front movement distance has the power function relationship with the depth. The wetting front movement velocity is influenced by the rainfall amount and the lithology in the aeration zone. However, as the depth increases, the movement velocity will decay exponentially.     

Paleoclimate reconstruction based on the timing of speleothem growth and oxygen and carbon isotope composition in a cave located in the rain shadow in Israel

High-resolution ²³⁰Th/²³⁴U ages and δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C compositions of speleothems in Ma’ale Efrayim Cave located to the east of the central mountain ridge of Israel enable us to examine the nature of the rain shadow aridity during glacial and interglacial intervals. Speleothem growth occurred during marine glacial isotopic periods, with no growth during the two last marine isotope interglacial intervals and during the peak of the Last Glacial Maximum. This contrasts with speleothem growth in caves located on the western flank of the central mountain ridge, in the Eastern Mediterranean semiarid climatic zone, which continued throughout the last 240,000 yr. Thus, during glacial periods water reached both sides of the central mountain ridge. A comparison of the present-day rain and cave water isotopic compositions and amounts at the Ma’ale Efrayim Cave site with those on the western flank shows that evaporation and higher temperatures on the eastern flank are major influences on isotopic composition and the lack of rainfall. The δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C profiles of the speleothems deposited between 67,000 and 25,000 yr B.P. match the general trends of the isotopic profiles of Soreq Cave speleothems, suggesting a similar source (eastern Mediterranean Sea) and similar climatic conditions. Thus, during glacial periods the desert boundary effectively migrated further south or east from its present-day location on the eastern flank, whereas interglacial periods appear to have been similar to the present, with the desert boundary at the same position. The decrease in overall temperature and a consequent reduction in the evaporation to precipitation ratios on the eastern flank are viewed as the major factors controlling the decay of the rain shadow effect during glacial periods.     

斑岩型和浅成低温热液型矿床成矿流体与找矿预测研究:以华南若干典型矿床为例

斑岩型和浅成低温热液型矿床是全球铜、钼、金、银的主要来源之一,具有重要经济价值。这两类矿床之间通常存在紧密的时空关系,对其成矿流体性质和演化的解剖不仅有利于探究金属沉淀机制,也有助于揭示两者之间的内在成因联系。本文在综述国内外重要研究前沿基础上,以中国华南富家坞斑岩型铜钼(金)矿、桐村斑岩钼矿,以及邱村和安村浅成低温热液金矿为例,系统总结了斑岩型和浅成低温热液型矿床流体特征、演化规律和金属沉淀机制、探讨了从斑岩型到浅成低温热液型流体演化的“气相迁移”模型,并以福建紫金山铜金矿床为例,介绍了应用流体填图进行找矿预测的实例。     

宝鸡石油机械厂34#高层住宅楼工程降水方案设计

根据拟建场地的地层结构及地下水条件,结合周边环境和基坑支护、降水要求,确定合理的降水模型及基本设计计算参数,进行降水井设计计算。本设计采用管井方案,设计中最重要的是确定管井数量,先预设一个滤水管进水部分长度,计算出管井数量,然后进行反算、验算,遵循技术可行、节约费用的原则,最终确定出合理的井点数量。降水井投入使用后,基坑内侧的少量渗水,运用集水明排的方法排泄,取得了良好的效果。管井与集水明排相结合进行降水的方法在宝鸡市区得到了广泛应用。     

基于年际增量法的卷积神经网络模型对中国夏季降水的预测研究

将前冬的500 hPa位势高度、向外长波辐射和海表温度的年际增量作为预测因子,建立基于卷积神经网络(Convolutional Neural Network, CNN)的非线性预测模型,对中国160个测站夏季降水展开预测研究,并与基于线性奇异值分解(Singular Value Decomposition, SVD)的预测模型进行效果对比。结果表明：CNN在1981—2020年的交叉检验中所回报的降水平均PS评分和距平相关系数(ACC)分别为74.33和0.12,比SVD高2.15和0.06,说明CNN比SVD在整体上对夏季降水具有更好的预测能力。其中,CNN对SVD预测较好年份的预测效果提升较为明显,对SVD预测较差的年份则改进不大。CNN对中国降水预测存在一定的系统性偏差,订正后CNN对拉尼娜年的降水预测改进较大。结果表明,基于年际增量法的CNN预测模型展示出较好的潜在应用价值。     

基于无偏灰色马尔可夫链的吉林省降水量预测

为了更准确地对吉林省降水量进行预测,分析其时空变化特征,应用无偏灰色马尔可夫链模型对8个具有代表性的雨量站进行降水量预测,并根据预报结果讨论历史数据波动性与预报精度的关系。其中：83%以上预测结果合格,白城、乾安、长春、蛟河、四平、通化6个地区降水量多年呈递减趋势,减幅分别为0.23%、0.09%、0.24%、1.01%、0.51%、0.54%;延吉、靖宇2个地区降水量多年呈递增趋势,增幅分别为2.60%、0.54%。结果表明：无偏灰色马尔可夫链模型预测精度较高,说明该方法适用于吉林省的降水量预测;吉林省中西部地区降水量呈递减趋势,东部地区呈递增趋势,但变幅不大;在波动性与预报精度的关系方面,时间序列的波动性越大预测所产生的误差越大。     

用1：5万磁异常特征圈定贵州水城-艾家坪地区成矿靶区

对1：5万高精度磁异常原始资料数据处理,进行化极、延拓计算7个不同上延高度异常,分析对比所有资料,结合地物化资料,对磁异常平面进行特征分区。又根据已知的白马洞（区内）-杉树林（区外）铅锌矿床成矿带及区内异处的铅锌、铜、锰等矿床（点）的成矿规律和分布特点,圈定了8个异常成矿靶区,19个大型的浅层局部负磁异常,均为有一定找矿意义的磁异常,并推测它们可能为岩体与矿致磁异常（铅锌、铜、锰、铁）等综合引起,在岩体（浅表隐伏的花岗岩珠或岩枝）与围岩接触带、层间破碎带上,应是赋矿的有利部位。     

1961—2019年青藏高原中东部夏季强降水与大尺度环流的关系

采用一元线性回归、合成分析等方法对1961—2019年青藏高原中东部71个站点夏季强降水与大尺度环流进行了分析,研究结果表明,近年来青藏高原中东部强降水呈增加趋势。在强降水高值年时,青藏高原中东部水汽辐合加强,中纬度西风和热带地区东风带向极移动加强,高层辐散流场、水汽输送以及上升运动条件,共同作用导致了强降水的产生。在强降水低值年时,青藏高原中东部大部水汽异常辐散,区域内的季风水汽输送减弱,西风带和东风带均向赤道移动减弱,高层为气旋式环流异常。通过风暴轴、波作用通量和E-P通量进一步分析发现,当北大西洋地区风暴轴偏强（偏弱）时,瞬变扰动作用加强（减弱）,使得北大西洋地区高纬度西风加速（减弱）,急流出口区的不稳定能量激发了欧洲西北部的异常反气旋（异常气旋）,并通过Rossby波列调控季风输送,导致了青藏高原中东部地区强降水的变化。     

利用树轮宽度资料重建天山中段南坡巴仑台地区过去645年来的降水变化

在分析树木生长对气候要素响应的基础上,利用采自天山中段南坡夫斯坦沟的雪岭云杉树轮宽度年表,重建了巴仑台地区1360~2004A.D.当年7月至次年6月的降水量序列,方差解释量达53%(调整自由度后为52%)。交叉检验结果表明重建方程稳定可信。过去645a以来,巴仑台地区的降水量变化存在12个偏少阶段和12个偏多阶段。巴仑台地区降水量重建序列存在10.7~11、6.7和2.1a的显著准周期及16.5~17.2和2.4~6.6a的较显著准周期,并且在1496A.D.前后发生了降水量由少向多的突变。