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241.
依据震中迁移、频度变化曲线、能量释放曲线、震级频度关系和时间序列的预测方法等,对陕西地区的地震活动性进行了初步分析,认为:陕西地区M_L>3.5级的地震活动存在着明显的由北向南、自东向西的迁移特点,其地震活动水平比较正常,今后5年内可能发生M_L≥4.3级地震。 相似文献
242.
沂沭活断层分段特征及地震趋势的预测 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
沂沭活断层以莒南—汤头一线为界可分成南北两大段。其中,北段以蠕滑为主,南段则表现为强烈的粘滑错动。另外,在南段内还存在着一个次一级的段落。文中详细分析了各段的断层滑动方式及地震活动的特点,并对沂沭断裂带今后的地震趋势作了预测。 相似文献
243.
An Mw based earthquake Catalogue for central, northern and northwestern Europe using a hierarchy of magnitude conversions 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3
Data from 25 local catalogues and 30special studies of earthquakes in central,northern and northwestern Europe have beenincorporated into a Databank. The dataprocessing includes discriminating eventtypes, eliminating fake events and dupletsand converting different magnitudes andintensities to Mw if this is not givenby the original source. The magnitudeconversion is a key task of the study andimplies establishment of regressionequations where no local relations exist.The Catalogue contains tectonic events fromthe Databank within the area44°N–72°N,25°W–32°E and the time period1300–1993. The lower magnitude level forthe Catalogue entries is setat Mw == 3.50. The area covered by thedifferent catalogues are associated withpolygons. Within each polygon only datafrom one or a small number of the localcatalogues, supplemented by data fromspecial studies, enter the Catalogue. Ifthere are two or more such catalogues orstudies providing a solution for an event,a priority algorithm selects one entry forthe Catalogue. Then Mw is calculatedfrom one of the magnitude types, or frommacroseismic data, given by the selectedentry according to another priority scheme.The origin time, location, Mw magnitude and reference are specified for eachentry of the Catalogue. So is theepicentral intensity, I0, if providedby the original source. Following thesecriteria, a total of about 5,000earthquakes constitute the Catalogue.Although originally derived for the purposeof seismic hazard calculation within GSHAP,the Catalogue provides a data base for manytypes of seismicity and seismic hazardstudies. 相似文献
244.
245.
郁署君 《地震地磁观测与研究》1996,17(1):81-85
50km范围内2级以上地震年频数的空间扫描图,揭示了1970年以来晋北及其附近地区5级以上地震发生前,震中附近地区出现的地震空区,文中展示了从1970-1995年每年的空间扫描图,供分析对比。 相似文献
246.
Applications of hydrological models to northern wetland-dominated regions have been limited in the past to a few case studies on small basins employing ‘lumped’ models. Only recently have there been attempts to apply the grouped response unit (GRU) distributed modelling approach using terrain classifications to these same basins. This study summarizes recent efforts in applying such a model. For the purposes of implementing the GRU approach, terrain types that are hydrologically significant and characteristic to the wetland-dominated regime were successfully discriminated using a principal component analysis and a hybrid unsupervised/supervised classification technique on Landsat–Thematic Mapper imagery. The terrain classifications were then used as input into a distributed hydrological model for calibration and validation using recorded spring runoff events. Preliminary model applications and results are described. Calibration to a historic spring runoff event yielded an r2 value of 0.86. Model validation, however, yielded much poorer results. The problems of model applicability to this region and limitations of sparse data networks are highlighted. The need for more field research in this type of hydrological regime, and associated improvements to the model parameter set are also identified. 相似文献
247.
2000年青海玛多6.6 级强震中长期预测回顾 总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7
对2000年青海玛多6.6级强震的跟踪预测过程作了简要回顾和总结,结果显示预测效果较好,同时表明翁文波信息预测理论对青藏高原北部地区强震预测具有较高的实用价值。 相似文献
248.
249.
发现青藏高原北部7级以上地震前震中区普遍存在5级以上地震空段,空段时间在7~33年之间,且在青海发生的7级以上地震前震中区还存在ML≥4.0级地震空区,四川北部的7级以上地震前弱震活动出现显著增强现象。未来2~8年间青藏高原北部有可能发生7级以上地震,其危险区域为祁连地震带西部、甘肃东南部、宁夏和内蒙西部。 相似文献
250.
K. N. Jansson A. P. Stroeven G. Alm K. I. T. Dahlgren N. F. Glasser B. W. Goodfellow 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2011,36(3):408-418
In order to extend our knowledge of glacial relief production in mountainous areas new methods are required for landscape reconstructions on a temporal resolution of a glacial cycle and a spatial resolution that includes the most important terrain components. A generic data set and a 50 m resolution digital elevation model over a study area in northern Sweden and Norway (the present day landscape data set) were employed to portray spatial patterns of erosion by reconstructing the landscape over successive cycles of glacial erosion. A maximum‐value geographic information system (GIS) filtering technique using variable neighbourhoods was applied such that existing highpoints in the landscape were used as erosional anchor points for the reconstruction of past landscape topography. An inherent assumption, therefore, is that the highest surfaces have experienced insignificant down‐wearing over the Quaternary. Over multiple reconstruction cycles, proceeding backwards in time, the highest summits increase in area, valleys become shallower, and the valley pattern becomes increasingly simplified as large valleys become in‐filled from the sides. The sum of these changes reduces relief. The pattern of glacial erosion, which is to 60% correlated to slope angle and to 70% correlated to relative relief, is characterized by (i) an abrupt erosional boundary below preserved summit areas, (ii) enhanced erosion in narrow valleys, (iii) restricted erosion of smooth areas, independently of elevation, (iv) eradication of small‐scale irregularities, (v) restricted erosion on isolated hills in low‐relief terrain, and (vi) a valley widening independent of valley directions. The method outlined in this paper shows how basic GIS filtering techniques can mimic some of the observed patterns of glacial erosion and thereby help deduce the key controls on the processes that govern large‐scale landscape evolution beneath ice sheets. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献