Effects of magnitude accuracy and complete－ness data on seismic hazard parameters

Ｅｆｆｅｃｔｓｏｆｍａｇｎｉｔｕｄｅａｃｃｕｒａｃｙａｎｄｃｏｍｐｌｅｔｅ┐ｎｅｓｄａｔａｏｎｓｅｉｓｍｉｃｈａｚａｒｄｐａｒａｍｅｔｅｒｓＨＵＩ－ＣＨＥＮＧＳＨＡＯ（邵辉成），ＪＩＡ－ＳＨＵＸＩＥ（谢家树），ＰＩＮＧＷＡＮＧ（王平）ａｎｄＹＡ－Ｘ...     

陆相地层的层序地层学:层序的特征与模式

陆相地层的层序地层学研究近年来取得了较大的进展，尤其在层序的组成、层序界线和最大洪泛面的识别以及层序模式的建立等方面研究得比较深入。层序地层的组成包括层序组合和层序的内部单元。层序界线和最大洪泛面的识别是陆相地层层序地层学研究的关键。目前已初步建立了箕状断陷盆地、坳陷盆地以及冲积地层背景的层序模式。     

利用航磁资料判定东北南部地区几条主干断裂

近年来,利用最大熵功率谱法计算磁性体深度受到了地球物理界的重视。本文利用该方法求取东北地学断面磁性层顶、底界面深度,并结合航磁ΔTa异常图及相应滤波图,判定了该断面几条主干断裂的位置与展布,其结果有的与地质推断基本一致,有的则有较大差异。     

乌鲁木齐—沙湾一带地震活动特点的初步研究

采用b值时间扫描及地震复发周期等统计方法,对乌鲁木齐至沙湾一带1977年以来的地震观测资料进行了计算分析。初步结果表明:研究区域内5.0级以上中强地震发生前,b值均出现不同程度的负异常。利用地震复发周期计算公式和未来地震震级定量计算公式,得到区内不同震级区间的平均复发周期及今后2年左右可能发生的最大地震震级。     

An extreme value analysis of the flow of Burbage Brook

An extreme value analysis of the flow of Burbage Brook is carried out by modelling peaks over a high threshold. The aims are to illustrate recently developed statistical techniques and to report on interesting features of the flow of the brook over a 58-year period. Peak flows are found to show marked seasonal variation and a downward trend. Then-year return level is estimated for various values ofn, and the reliability of the estimates is assessed.     

金矿化探异常定量评价的研究

本文应用RESMA系统对区域化探金异常进行了筛选评价,并对筛选出的异常应用二维地球化学剖面延拓推测其深部的含矿性及预测其远景储量.     

第23周太阳活动峰年北京天文台太阳射电观测

An introduction to the instrumonts to be used for solar radio observations in Beijing in Solar Cycle 23 is made in this paper. They are 10cm solar radio telescope which has been used for a long time,and 1.0～2.0GHz,2.6～3.8GHz and 5.2～7.6GHz spectrometers. The former two spectrometers has passed a test,showing high guality,and the 5.2～7.6GHz one will be in operation from 1999. It is believed that highl gualified data should be obtained in the next solar cycle.     

吉林大阳岔上寒武统凤山组—下奥陶统冶里组层序地层和化学地层研究

根据岩相序列、沉积、成岩作用特征,将吉林省大阳岔地区晚寒武世凤山期至早奥陶世冶里期层序地层分为６个三级层序,代表了６个三级海侵—海退旋回;与之相应,该时期碳酸盐岩δ１３Ｃ值变化曲线出现５个低谷,其中凤山期至冶里早期泥晶灰岩δ１３Ｃ值出现４次幅度较大的上升、下降飘移,而冶里中、晚期泥晶灰岩的δ１３Ｃ值是在负值范围内波动。δ１３Ｃ值低谷与层序界面和海退事件基本拟合。牙形类Ｃ．ｉｎｔｅｒｍｅｄｉｕｓ带下部海绿石质凝缩段是寒武纪末—奥陶纪初期最大海泛事件沉积,也是寒武纪与奥陶纪之交等时性的年代地层对比标志。     

On solution of the inverse problem for confined aquifer flow via maximum likelihood

Joint estimation of transmissivity (T) and storativity (S) in a confined aquifer is done via maximum likelihood (ML). The differential equation of groundwater flow is discretized by the finite-element method, leading to equation _t+x _t=u _t. Elements of matrices and , as well as estimated covariance matrix of noise termu _t, are functions of T and S. By minimizing the negative loglikelihood function corresponding to discretized groundwater flow equation with respect to T and S, ML estimators are obtained. The ML approach is found to yield accurate estimates of T and S (within 9 and 10% of their actual values, respectively) and showed quadratic convergence in Newton's search technique. Prediction of aquifer response, using ML estimators, results in estimated piezometric heads accurate to ±0.5 m from their actual, exact values. Statistical properties of ML estimators are derived and some basic results for statistical inference are given.     

A preliminary study on sediment flux in the Changjiang Delta during the postglacial period

During the last 7000 years since the Changjiang Delta was formed, how much sediment brought by the Changjiang River remained in the modern Changjiang Delta? And how much sediment was delivered into the sea and adjacent coasts? These are very important que…