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Hybrid Estimation of Semivariogram Parameters 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Two widely used methods of semivariogram estimation are weighted least squares estimation and maximum likelihood estimation.
The former have certain computational advantages, whereas the latter are more statistically efficient. We introduce and study
a “hybrid” semivariogram estimation procedure that combines weighted least squares estimation of the range parameter with
maximum likelihood estimation of the sill (and nugget) assuming known range, in such a way that the sill-to-range ratio in
an exponential semivariogram is estimated consistently under an infill asymptotic regime. We show empirically that such a
procedure is nearly as efficient computationally, and more efficient statistically for some parameters, than weighted least
squares estimation of all of the semivariogram’s parameters. Furthermore, we demonstrate that standard plug-in (or empirical)
spatial predictors and prediction error variances, obtained by replacing the unknown semivariogram parameters with estimates
in expressions for the ordinary kriging predictor and kriging variance, respectively, perform better when hybrid estimates
are plugged in than when weighted least squares estimates are plugged in. In view of these results and the simplicity of computing
the hybrid estimates from weighted least squares estimates, we suggest that software that currently estimates the semivariogram
by weighted least squares methods be amended to include hybrid estimation as an option. 相似文献
35.
ABSTRACTWater indicators and indices are useful tools to assess river basin performance, that is, to measure whether the basin operates satisfactorily under a wide range of possible future demands and hydrological conditions. Spanish regulations assess the performance of water demands by using reliability indicators (RIs), established by law in 2008. This article raises the possibility of updating RIs by comparing them with sustainability indicators (SIs). SIs are widely used for the assessment of river basin performance and several policy scenarios. We applied a water allocation model to the Guadiana River basin in Spain to compare indicators under three scenarios. The study was framed within the science of socio-hydrology, combining the physical environment of a water system with its influence on social aspects. SIs gave better results than RIs when comparing future scenarios. We also propose the introduction of a vulnerability indicator into Spanish regulations. 相似文献
36.
Abstract Apatite and zircon fission track ages from Ryoke Belt basement in northeast Kyushu show late Cretaceous, middle to late Eocene, middle Miocene and Quaternary groupings. The basement cooled through 240 ± 25°C, the closure temperature for fission tracks in zircon, mainly during the interval 74-90 Ma as a result of uplift and denudation, the pattern being uniform across northeast Kyushu. In combination with published K-Ar ages and the Turonian-Santonian age of sedimentation in the Onogawa Basin, active suturing along the Median Tectonic Line from 100-80 Ma, at least, is inferred. Ryoke Belt rocks along the northern margin of Hohi volcanic zone (HVZ) cooled rapidly through ∼100°C to less than 50°C during the middle Eocene to Oligocene, associated with 2.5-3.5 km of denudation. The timing of this cooling follows peak heating in the Eocene-Oligocene part (Murotohanto subbelt) of the Shimanto Belt in Muroto Peninsula (Shikoku) inferred previously, and coincides with the 43 Ma change in convergence direction of the Pacific-Eurasian plate and the demise of the Kula-Pacific spreading centre. Ryoke Belt rocks along the southern margin of HVZ have weighted mean apatite fission track ages of 15.3 ± 3.1 Ma. These reset ages are attributed to an increase in geothermal gradient in the middle Miocene combined with rapid denudation and uplift of at least 1.4 km. These ages indicate that heating of the overriding plate associated with the middle Miocene start of subduction of hot Shikoku Basin lithosphere extended into the Ryoke Belt in northeast Kyushu. Pleistocene apatite fission track ages from Ryoke Belt granites at depth in the centre of HVZ are due to modern annealing in a geothermal environment. 相似文献
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Cem Tokatlı 《国际泥沙研究》2022,37(2):139-150
In the current research,the impact of the COVID-19 lockdown period on sediment quality of the MericErgene River Basin was evaluated by determining the potentially toxic elements(PTEs) in sediment samples collected from 25 sampling points in the basin.Also some important ecological indicators including potential ecological risk index(PERI),contamination factor(CF),pollution load index(PLI),biological risk index(BRI),and geo-accumulation index(Igeo) and some important statistical indica... 相似文献
38.
Modelling peak accelerations from earthquakes 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This paper deals with the prediction of peak horizontal accelerations with emphasis on seismic risk and insurance concerns. Non‐linear mixed effects models are used to analyse well‐known earthquake data and the consequences of mis‐specifying assumptions on the error term are quantified. A robust fit of the usual model, using recently developed robust weighted maximum likelihood estimators, is presented. Outlying data are automatically identified and subsequently investigated. A more appropriate model accounting for the extreme value nature of the responses, is also developed and implemented. The implication on acceleration predictions is demonstrated. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
39.
Paola Tuccimei Michele Soligo Joaquin Ginés Angel Ginés Joan Fornós Jan Kramers Igor Maria Villa 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2010,35(7):782-790
Phreatic overgrowths on speleothems (POS) are carbonate formations deposited at the water table of caves in unique karstic coastal settings having morphologies that can be directly related to sea level at the time of formation. The U‐Th ages of calcite and aragonite overgrowths collected from the modern water table in coastal caves on Mallorca (Cova de Cala Varques A and Cova des Pas de Vallgornera) were determined using high‐precision MC‐ICPMS techniques. U‐Th ages indicate that phreatic carbonate deposition occurred between ca 2·8 and at least 0·6 ka BP and are in accord with an archeologically estimated age of 3·7–3·0 ka BP for a drowned prehistoric construction at a depth of 1 m below current sea level in a cave from the same area. Speleothem δ13C and δ18O and chemical composition of cave pools provide supportive evidence that POS reflect mixing between seawater and brackish water table. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
40.
Flocculation has an important impact on particle trapping in estuarine turbidity maximum (ETM) through associated increases in particle settling velocity. To quantify the importance of the flocculation processes, a size-resolved flocculation model is implemented into an ocean circulation model to simulate fine-grained particle trapping in an ETM. The model resolves the particle size from robust small flocs, about 30 μm, to very large flocs, over 1000 μm. An idealized two-dimensional model study is performed to simulate along-channel variations of suspended sediment concentrations driven by gravitational circulation and tidal currents. The results indicate that the flocculation processes play a key role in generating strong tidal asymmetrical variations in suspended sediment concentration and particle trapping. Comparison with observations suggests that the flocculation model produces realistic characteristics of an ETM. 相似文献