沙漠化逆转过程的耗散理论应用

用耗散结构理论探讨了沙漠化逆转过程的时间序列和空间结构,论述了沙漠化逆转过程中的“涨落”现象、耗散结构的形成及非平衡相变的发生。指出属于开放系统的沙漠化逆转过程表现为时间序列的有序和空间结构的无序,是多重耗散结构下的从无序到有序的过程,并在特定的条件下具有自我调控的组织能力。熵增代表着沙漠化过程,负熵增代表着沙漠化逆转过程。这对研究沙漠化过程的平衡稳定有序与非平衡稳定有序的关系,恶化与逆转、单因素与综合、部分与整体的关系提供了新的理论武器,并认为耗散结构理论的思想有助于建立一门有关“过程”的沙漠生态学,以丰富沙漠化研究的理论意义。     

Inversion of near-field waveform data for earthquake source rupture process (Ⅱ): Inversion of Chi Chi earthquake source, 20 September, 1999, Taiwan

The Chi Chi earthquake (Mw7.6) occurred at 17:47 UTC on Sept. 20,1999 (01:47 September 21, 1999, local time) in central Taiwan. CWB located the epi- center at (120.82°E; 23.85°N) and the focal depth 8 km. Chi Chi earthquake is the best documented earth- quake ever recorded. The abundance and quality of its near-source observations present an unparalleled op- portunity for studying the rupture history from a close distance. More than 400 free field digital accelerome- ters with 3-compon…     

Marine GIS: Identification of mesoscale oceanic thermal fronts

A new method (the ‘sink’ method) is proposed for the mapping of productive mesoscale oceanic thermal fronts based on the combined analysis of satellite imagery for sea surface temperature (SST) distribution and chlorophyll (CHL) concentration under a Geographic Information System (GIS). In an SST lattice data array, data value sinks describe heterogeneous drops in SST distribution as this is compared to more homogeneously distributed SST in the surrounding area. Using Arc/Info GIS, these thermal discontinuities are flagged and applied on SST and CHL imagery for the calculation of differences in SST and CHL patterns (DSST and DCHL) inside and outside of these flagged areas. Spatially connected sinks that are characterized by simultaneous negative DSST and positive DCHL pattern are mapped as thermal fronts. Results include a time series of monthly front occurrence GIS maps in Eastern Mediterranean waters along with three calculated front characteristics (DSST, DCHL and bathymetry). Comparisons between the mapped fronts and isobath distributions present clearly visible front‐to‐isobath spatial and shape associations while spatial analysis between front and wind data explains 66% of the number of mapped fronts.     

吉兰泰盐湖卤水化学动态变化的灰色—马尔科夫过程预测分析

卤水中的化学成分因受多种因素影响,使其在时间序列上的变化波动强烈而规律难循。灰色—马尔科夫过程预测是预测事物在时间序列上发展趋势的一种良好有效的统计分析手段,它将灰色系统预测法和马尔科夫过程预测法有效结合,既弥补了两种方法各自的缺点,又能充分考虑数据给予的信息,可以大大提高随机波动较大数据序列的预测精度。本文用灰色—马尔科夫过程预测法对吉兰泰盐湖卤水中几种主要离子浓度的变化进行了趋势分析,分析结果发现几种离子浓度的变化均有一定的规律性,而且这些离子在预测数据的变化规律同原始实测数据变化规律有很好的一致性。     

多层城市冠层模式的建立及数值试验研究

为在城市气象数值模拟中更好地体现由城市发展引起的下垫面土地利用改变及人为活动对大气过程的影响,建立了基于建筑物三维分布的多层城市冠层模式,冠层内动力方程组考虑了建筑物冠层拖曳力的作用及雷诺应力的影响,通过引入建筑物宽度、间距以及垂直分布密度指数等建筑物形态特征参数,以更好地体现城市复杂地表对大气温度、湿度及动量方程的影响.同时,该模式分屋顶、4个侧壤及地面分别考虑辐射及能量平衡求解表面温度,计算各表面与大气的通量交换,并考虑辐射阴影效应、冠层内部各个面之间的可视因子、以及与冠层内建筑物密度指数、可视因子等相关的多重反射辐射导致的辐射截陷作用.模式的离线检验结果表明:(1)冠层模式计算风廓线与风洞实验测量数据吻合良好;(2)离线冠层模式能够模拟实际小区的风速、温度垂直廓线,并能够较好地体现小区内气温日变化.冠层模式与区域边界层模式耦合检验结果表明:(1)耦合模拟的近地面(2 m处)气温及地表温度的结果明显优于传统的水泥平板方案,尤其是在夜间,水泥平板方案与实测气温最大偏差4 K左右,耦合模拟方案为1-2 K;(2)耦合模拟方案考虑了建筑物对冠层之上的拖曳力影响以及建筑物形态结构对雷诺应力的影响,风速(10 m处)计算结果与观测值相差约在1 m/s,水泥平板方案偏差3 m/s左右.     

Revisiting Sustainable Development of Dry Valleys in Hengduan Mountains Region

Dry valleys are a striking geographic landscape in Hengduan Mountains Region and are characterized by low rainfall, desert type of vegetation and fragile environment. Past efforts and resources have been concentrated mainly on rehabilitation of degraded ecosystem and fragile environment, particularly reforestation, while socio-economic development has been largely overlooked. Despite successes in pocket areas, the overall trend of unsustainability and environmental deterioration are continuing. It is important to understand that uplift of the Tibetan Plateau is the root cause of development of dry valleys, and development and formation of dry valleys is a natural process. Human intervention has played a secondary role in development of dry valleys and degradation of dry valleys though human intervention in many cases has speeded up environmental degradation of the dry valleys. It is important to understand that dry valleys are climatic enclaves and an integrated approach that combines rehabilitation of degraded ecosystems and socio-economic development should be adopted if the overall goal of sustainable development of dry valleys is to be achieved. Promotion of niche-based cash crops, rural energy including hydropower, solar energy, biogas and fuelwood plantation is recommended as the priority activities.     

掺砾黏土拉伸断裂细观特性研究

掺砾黏土在高心墙堆石坝工程中的应用越来越广泛,其拉伸断裂特性对心墙的安全至关重要。将掺砾黏土视作四相复合材料,基于图像处理和随机投放建立了考虑真实砾石形态的细观数值模型,结合物理试验的结果验证了其有效性,并分析了掺砾黏土拉伸断裂的宏细观特性。应力位移曲线的宏观非线性是细观非均质性的体现,砾石的掺入大幅减低了抗拉强度,但提高了峰后抗拉性能;土石界面是微裂缝发展的源头,拉伸断裂是一个微裂缝萌生、扩展以至汇集形成宏观裂缝的过程;拉伸断裂发生在一个区域,即断裂过程区,该区域的形成与砾石的随机分布有关。最后,采用数值试验分析了随机砾石投放和掺砾量对掺砾黏土宏细观力学行为的影响。     

霰粒子下落速度对云系及降水发展影响的数值研究

云和降水的形成是动力过程与微物理过程相瓦作用的产物,云数值模式中的微物理过程参数化方案对云和降水发展过程有直接影响.在云数值模式中,粒子群体的下落速度都足用质量加权下落末速度公式来表达,而且不同的模式采用的公式存在差异,质量加权下落末速度中参数取值不同,引起的粒子下落末速度不同.为了了解粒子下落末速度变化对云系和降水发展的影响,对2004年8月12日一次冷锋降水过程,利用中尺度ARPS模式做模拟研究.在分析降水机制的基础上,对霰这一下落末速度较大的降水粒子,做下落末速度(Vg)的敏感性试验,从动力、热力、微物理的角度,通过数值模拟对比分析了霰下落末速度减小对降水分布和强度、云系的移动、云系的宏观热力和动力场的影响,并给出了影响的途径和机理.结果表明:Vg变化对云的厚度和含水量有影响,下落末速度减小对冰晶、雪、霰的含水量垂直分布及分布随时间变化影响较大,其中,霰的含水量显著减少,雪的含水量增加,并调整了云中水质粒的空间分布;Vg减小对地面累积总降水量的分布影响较小,但对降水强度的分布影响较大.Vg减小时,降水强度减小,降水时间延迟,因此,霰下落末速度变化将调整底层降水分布;对于云系的移动情况基本上没有影响,但对云中水质粒的空间分布有影响;霰下落末速度变化影响云中霰的融化和撞冻增长从而影响热力场.末速度减小时,霰和雪的融化罱明显减小,导致非绝热冷却率的减小,引起下沉气流的减小.     

松辽盆地南部深层地震资料处理方法研究

针对松辽盆地南部深层原始地震记录接收能量弱、信噪比低、各种干扰波严重和地表条件多变等存在严重的静校正问题，尝试利用CGG、Foucs、Grisys、Promax等多套处理系统的优势模块对跨工区二维大吾4面进行深部地层的折射波静校正、反褶积、剩余静校正、DipMoveOut、偏移等关键技术的联合处理方法试验研究，形成了一套针对松辽盆地南部深层地震资料处理的有效方法。