滑坡临界暴雨强度

本文介绍了几个主要暴雨滑坡集中区的临界暴雨强度,分析了各地临界暴雨强度不同的主要原因。指出前期降雨对滑坡滑动是否有明显影响,取决于滑体岩土性质及滑坡形成机制等多种因素,不可一概而论。     

藕塘古滑体在三峡水库形成后的稳定性分析

采用极限平衡和三维弹塑性有限元分析方法,对藕塘古滑体在三峡水库形成后的稳定性进行了计算分析。计算中考虑了水库水位变化、渗透压力、建筑荷载以及地震等诸多因素对滑体稳定性的影响,并给出了滑体失稳的临界破坏条件,为库区移民迁建新址的勘察工作提供了量化的论证。     

陕甘宁晋地区黄土地震滑坡致灾距的初步研究

通过对陕甘宁晋地区黄土滑坡震害资料的分析,提出了地震滑坡最大致灾距的确定方法。依据区内８０个地震的滑坡震害资料的非线性拟合,初步建立了地震震级与地震滑坡最大致灾距的定量关系。     

长沙仪器厂滑坡的特征与防治措施

该文根据详细野外工程地质勘探,论述了长沙仪器厂滑坡的特征,对它的形成提出了定性分析结果,同时还对其稳定性作了评价,最后提出了对应的防治措施。     

Glacier inventory of the Gran Campo Nevado Ice Cap in the Southern Andes and glacier changes observed during recent decades

The Gran Campo Nevado (GCN) forms an isolated ice cap on the Península Muñoz Gamero (PMG) located 200 km to the south of the Southern Patagonia Icefield (SPI). We present a glacier inventory of the GCN made up by 27 drainage basins (in total 199.5 km²) and other small cirque and valley glaciers of the southern part of PMG (in total 53 km²). The glacier inventory is based on a digital elevation model (DEM) and ortho-photos. Contour lines from maps, relief information derived from Landsat TM satellite imagery from 1986 and 2002 and stereoscopic data from aerial photos were combined in a knowledge-based scheme to obtain a DEM of the area. A digital ortho-photo map based on aerial photos from 1998 and several ortho-photos based on aerial photos from 1942 and 1984 could be produced from the initial DEM. A geographical information system (GIS) served to outline the extent of the present glaciation. All major glaciers of the GCN show a significant glacier retreat during the last 60 yr. Some of the outlet glaciers lost more than 20% of their total area during this period. Overall glacier retreat amounts to 2.8% of glacier length per decade and the glacier area loss is 2.4% per decade in the period from 1942 to 2002. We hypothesise that GCN glaciers may have reacted faster and more synchronously with the observed warming trend during recent decades when compared with the SPI.     

基于主成分分析的库存管理神经网络模型研究

从影响合理库存的诸多因素中,利用数理统计的思想,找出若干主要指标,通过建立神经网络模型,进行模拟仿真,寻求一种解决问题的有效方法,把库存调整到理想的状态。     

Application of the SHETRAN basin‐scale,landslide sediment yield model to the Llobregat basin,Spanish Pyrenees

The first application of the SHETRAN basin‐scale, landslide erosion and sediment yield model is carried out for a major landsliding event in the upper 505 km² of the Llobregat basin, in the eastern Spanish Pyrenees, in November 1982. The model simulates the spatial distribution of shallow landslides and their sediment yield. Acknowledging uncertainty in the model parameter evaluation, the aim of the application was not to reproduce the observed occurrence of landslides as accurately as possible with one simulation, but to bracket the observed pattern with several simulations representing uncertainty in the key input conditions. Bounds on the landslide simulations were thus determined as a function of uncertainty in the vegetation root cohesion (used in the model factor of safety calculations). The resulting upper bound considerably overestimates the observed pattern (17 000 landslides compared with an observation of around 700), but it reproduces several of the principal clusters in the observed pattern. The lower bound contains around 500 landslides. The sediment yield estimates (2670–14 630 t km^?2) are comparable to measurements elsewhere in the Pyrenees for extreme events. The results demonstrate an ability to simulate the basin‐scale landslide response to a rainfall event and the resulting sediment yield. They also highlight the need for further research in setting the uncertainty bounds and in avoiding large overestimates of landslide occurrence arising in part from a current inability to model small‐scale controls for a basin of the given size. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

谈滑坡勘察中的几个地下水压力问题

鉴于目前在滑坡勘察中对地下水压力问题尚有一些不够明确和难以确定之处,本文首先讨论地下水压力的分类及其概念,并简要叙述地下水压力的时、空变化和影响因素;然后结合实例分析不同条件下地下水压力在滑坡形成中的实际效用,并就地下水压力的确定问题发表了看法。     

汶川地震引发高速远程滑坡运动机理数值模拟研究——以谢家店子滑坡为例

针对汶川地震引发的谢家店子滑坡,在现场调查分析的基础上,建立了二维离散元数值模拟模型,采用2D-Block软件对其进行了全过程的数值模拟研究,并通过对跟踪块体的深入分析,研究了相应地质体在不同阶段下的运动特征。模拟结果表明,谢家店子滑坡经历了剧动启程抛掷阶段、快速撞击飞行阶段、铲刮减速碎屑流阶段及堆积掩埋阶段。为了揭示地震引发高速滑坡的发生规律,分别研究了地震震级、斜坡地形和斜坡上岩块的尺寸对高速滑坡启动和运动过程的影响规律。地震震级对边坡的启动、变形、破坏和运动有很大的影响,地震震级越大,滑体启动的加速度和速度也就越大,从而易形成高速远程滑坡。斜坡体本身的地形地貌对滑体运动也有较大影响。在震级和岩石力学参数一定的条件下,斜坡上岩块的大小对其启动、变形和运动过程有一定影响,随着岩块的增大,滑体运动的每个阶段历时都在减小,但当岩体十分破碎时,滑体虽然能够运动,但是很难发生抛掷。将地震滑坡的启动机理概括为积累变形效应、振荡启程效应和振荡加速效应。     

地球动力系统、地球物质系统与滑坡生成机理研究

我国是地质灾害非常严重的国家之一,长期以来,地质灾害影响了社会的经济建设和发展。由于它具有渐变性、突发性等特点,给国家和人民的生命财产带来了巨大的损失。本文从地球动力系统、地球物质系统的角度对滑坡生成机理进行了研究,并以绵阳市北川县为例,对滑坡形成的主要影响因素进行了探讨。