基于GIS评价活动断裂对公路的影响——以宁夏地区为例

为了查清活动断裂对公路的影响,总结了宁夏地区9条全新世活动断裂的基本特征和活动性,确定了评价和预测活动断裂对公路工程影响的指标体系,并建立了分级标准。采用优先排序法对指标进行筛选和优化,运用主成分分析法确定权重,选用多级模糊综合评判法建立了评价模型。以ARCGIS9为平台,建立了宁夏地区活动断裂空间数据库,运用矢量叠加运算实现了宁夏地区活动断裂对公路影响的现状评价,运用栅格叠加运算实现了宁夏地区海原活动断裂带对公路影响的预测评价。预测结果表明,宁夏地区对公路影响大的海原活动断裂面积为12．34km2,占全区总面积的1．0％;影响较大的为271．28km2,占总面积的21．4％;影响中等的为400．05km2,占总面积的31．6％;影响小的为585．04km2,占总面积的46．0％。     

镇泾油田长8与长6油层组产能影响因素分析

通过岩芯观察描述、铸体薄片鉴定、毛细管压力分析以及扫描电镜等分析测试手段,结合测井解释成果,分析了镇泾油田长6与长8油层组油井产能的差异及其影响因素。结果表明：沉积相带、储层微观特征、裂缝发育程度、封盖条件以及储层伤害等是决定镇泾油田油井产量的关键因素。因此,在镇泾油田长8和长6油层组开发过程中,应根据不同沉积相带及其储层特征的差异,从改进油井施工工艺等方面入手,调整开发方案,改善储层的渗流能力,从而提高油井的产能。     

Monitoring the remediation of a near shore waste disposal site in Antarctica using the amphipod Paramoera walkeri and diffusive gradients in thin films (DGTs)

The water quality of a marine embayment (Brown Bay) was monitored during the remediation of an abandoned waste disposal site at Casey Station, East Antarctica, using a combination of biomonitoring and chemical methods. The Antarctic amphipod Paramoera walkeri, in field mesocosms suspended in the water column, was deployed adjacent to the site and at two reference sites for periods of 14 days, repeated three times during the remediation period (December to February). Diffusive gradients in thin film (DGT) samplers were deployed for the same periods to provide estimates of dissolved metals. No difference in mortality of amphipods was observed between Brown Bay and reference sites. There were significant differences, however, in accumulated metal concentrations between amphipods from Brown Bay and reference sites, with greater concentrations of antimony, copper, cadmium, lead, iron and tin at Brown Bay. The melt water/runoff treatment strategy employed for the remediation was successful in preventing acute toxic effects, but water quality was reduced at Brown Bay, where increased metal bioavailability may have been high enough to induce chronic effects in some biota. DGT samplers were less sensitive than amphipods in detecting differences in metal concentrations between sites, indicating that metals bound to suspended particulates were a potentially significant source of contamination.     

气候变暖对人类健康的影响

气候变暖是人类面临的严重环境问题,不仅危及人类健康,而且影响当今人类的生存条件及未来人类的可持续发展,引起国际社会和各国政府的普遍关注。根据近10年国内外最新的相关科研成果,分析研究了气候变暖对非病原性疾病的影响。分析表明,气候变暖助长病原性媒介疾病的传播,可能激活某些新病毒,增加疟疾等疾病,助长SARS、禽流感等对人类健康的危害,并结合我国的国情提出对策建议。     

Possible impact origin for the Middle Miocene (Serravallian) Puffin Structure,Ashmore Platform,northwest Australia

The Puffin Structure is interpreted from high‐quality 3D seismic data as a small multiringed impact structure formed by collision of a meteorite or small asteroid with unconsolidated, water‐saturated shallow‐marine shelf carbonates during the Middle Miocene (mid to late Serravallian). The impact created a dish‐shaped structure about 2.5 km in diameter with annular rings and no central uplift.     

Redating the onset of burning at Lynch's Crater (North Queensland): implications for human settlement in Australia

Lynch's Crater preserves a continuous, high‐resolution record of environmental changes in north Queensland. This record suggests a marked increase in burning that appears to be independent of any known major climatic boundaries. This increase is accompanied, or closely followed, by the virtually complete replacement of rainforest by sclerophyll vegetation. The absence of any major climatic shift associated with this increase in fire frequency therefore has been interpreted as a result of early human impact in the area. The age for this increase in burning, on the basis of conventional radiocarbon dating, was previously thought to be approximately 38 000 ¹⁴C yr BP, supporting the traditional model for human arrival in Australia at 40 000 ¹⁴C yr BP Here we have applied a more rigorous pre‐treatment and graphitisation procedure for radiocarbon dating samples from the Lynch's Crater sequence. These new dates suggest that the increase in fire frequency occurred at 45 000 ¹⁴C yr BP, supporting the alternative view that human occupation of Australia occurred by at least 45 000–55 000 cal. yr BP. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

我国冬季气温与影响因子关系的年代际变化

利用1951—2012年冬季全国160个站月平均气温以及NCEP/NACR再分析资料和海温、北极海冰等资料,分析了我国冬季气温及其关键影响因子的年代际变化特征,重点研究了关键影响因子对我国冬季气温影响关系的年代际变化。研究表明:我国冬季气温在1985年之前处于冷期,之后为暖期; 我国冬季气温异常与影响因子的关系发生了显著的年代际变化,而且影响因子之间的关系也发生了显著的年代际变化。针对这种年代际变化的基本事实,提出针对冷期和暖期中不同影响因子与冬季气温的关系分时段建立冬季气温的多因子回归预测模型,可以反映冬季气温及其影响因子关系的年代际变化特征。正确的预测策略是利用相同年代际背景下预测对象与预测因子的时间序列资料建立预测模型,以确保预测模型中反映的预测对象与预测因子关系的稳定性,进而保持较高的拟合及预测水平。     

城市地面塌陷灾害风险评估研究

随着城市化进程不断加快,城市地下空间安全问题引起广泛关注。本文以影响地下空间安全的典型灾害-地面塌陷为例,开展可能性风险评估研究,为降低地面塌陷灾害损失提供理论支撑。城市地面塌陷成因复杂,为了保证评价过程和结果的客观全面,通过调研对塌陷引发因素进行了总结,从管道因素、病害体因素、环境因素三个方面建立风险发生可能性评价指标体系,并使用AHP-熵权法-灰色关联法组合评价,建立地面塌陷风险评价模型。将该模型应用于郑州市典型地下空洞工程案例进行评估分析,结果表明:地面塌陷风险评价结果与实测结果相符,证明了评估模型的科学性,同时为城市地面塌陷预防提供了决策参考。     

湖北省主要山系高影响天气指标空间特征分析与建模

为了揭示湖北省主要山系高影响天气指标空间分布特征,利用湖北省内1716个气象站点2016-2018年逐日气温、降水资料,定义6个高影响天气指标,利用GIS空间插值方法,绘制了湖北省高影响天气指标的空间分布图。选取7个湖北主要山系坡面,分析各个坡面上高影响天气指标的海拔梯度变化特征。根据湖北主要山系分布将湖北分为8个区,利用DEM数据,采用多元回归分析方法,建立各个区域内高影响天气指标和经度、纬度、海拔高度和坡度这4个地理因子之间的关系模型。结果表明,模型相关性显著,对估算模型进行F检验,大部分通过置信度为0.95的相关性检验。研究结果可为湖北山区风电建设、旅游开发、风险区划等提供参考依据。     

A broad-scale assessment of the risk to coastal seagrasses from cumulative threats

Informing the management of coastal marine habitats at broad spatial scales is difficult because of the costs associated with collecting and analyzing ecological data at that scale. Spatially explicit assessments of the risk to coastal marine habitats from cumulative threats provide an alternative approach by identifying sites that are exposed to multiple anthropogenic threats at broad scales. In this study, qualitative measures of vulnerability were combined with geospatial data to evaluate the risk to coastal seagrasses at the scale of the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) region (∼26,000 km²) of Queensland, Australia. The risk assessment outputs identified agricultural, urban and industrial runoff, and urban and port developments as the major anthropogenic activities threatening coastal seagrasses. ‘Hot spots’ with multiple threat exposure were all in industrial port locations and the southern two-thirds of the GBR. There is a distinct discontinuity in threat exposure along the GBR coast with 98% of seagrass meadows in the northern third exposed to only low levels of anthropogenic risk. The clustering of threat exposure is discussed in terms of coastal management policy. The approach outlined in this study provides management agencies a method of achieving maximum return for minimal investment in data collection at broad spatial scales by identifying sites where management intervention would be best targeted.