火山活动对气候的影响

重大的火山喷发对气候的影响表现为地面温度降低，由于火山喷发存在季节、纬度和强度的差异，因此喷发物的空间分布特征不同，对辐射的影响也不同，降温出现的时间和降温的幅度不一致。中高纬喷发的火山主要影响发生喷发的半球，而中低纬的喷发可影响到全球，且影响时间较长；不同季节的火山喷发后，高纬度的温度响应较低纬明显，夏季的温度响应较冬季明显。有关火山活动对降水的影响目前已有了一些研究，但由于降水序列中火山信号较弱，同时还有ENSO等其他因子的影响，客观地分辨出火山的影响较复杂，目前尚无一致结论。     

气候变化对中国南方稻区水稻产量影响的模拟和分析

采用了DSSAT作物模式和区域气候模式相连接,模拟分析了A2和B2气候变化情景对中国主要地区灌溉水稻产量的影响。气候变化情景采用了IPCC发布的SRES(Special Report on Emissions Scenarios)系列的最新温室气体排放情景,气候情景值采用区域气候模式PRECIS(Provide Regional Climates for Impact Studies)的模拟值。通过研究站点水稻对A2和B2增温梯度敏感性的分析表明:温度增加,水稻产量呈下降趋势,随着温度增加,产量下降幅度增大。且在同一增温水平下,在南方热带地区的昆明和海口,产量下降幅度大于其他站点。A2和B2的产量相对于基准年(1961~1990年)的变化分别为:气候变化对不同站点的年代际水稻平均产量表现了正面或负面的影响(A2情景下为2.3%~-10.2%,B2情景下为4.0%~-13.6%),在某一些站点,水稻高产年和低产年的概率明显增加,产量分布趋于两极化。     

Impact of land-use change on hydrological processes in the Maying River basin, China

Since the 1960s, dramatic changes have taken place in land-use patterns characterized by the persistent expansion of cultivated land and a continuous decrease in natural woodland and grassland in the arid inland river basins of China. It is very important to assess the effects of such land-use changes on the hydrological processes so vital for water resource management and sustainable development on the catchment scale. The Maying River catchment, a typical arid inland watershed located in the middle of the Hexi Corridor in northwest China, was the site chosen to investigate the hydrological responses to land-use changes. The annual runoff, base flow, maximum peak flow, and typical seasonal runoff in both spring and autumn flood periods were selected as the variables in the hydrological processes. Statistical-trend analysis and curvilinear regression were utilized to detect the trends in hydrological variables while eliminating the climatic influence. The relationship between cultivated land-use and hydrological variables was analyzed based on four periods of land-use variation data collected since 1965. A runoff model was established composed of two factors, i.e., cultivated land use and precipitation. The impact of land use changes, especially in the large ar- eas of upstream woodland and grassland turned into cultivated lands since 1967, has resulted in a mean annual runoff decrease of 28.12%, a base flow decline of 35.32%, a drop in the maximum peak discharge of 35.77%, and mean discharge decreases in spring and autumn of 36.05% and 24.87% respectively, of which the contribution of cultivated land expansion to the influence of annual runoff amounts to 77%-80%, with the contribution to the influence of spring discharge being 73%-81%, and that to the influence of base flow reaching 62%-65%. Thus, a rational regulation policy of land use patterns is vitally important to the sustainable use of water resources and the proper development of the entire catchment.     

Unsteady soil erosion due to rainfall impact: a model of sediment sorting on the hillslope

A new method is presented for predicting sediment sorting associated with soil erosion by raindrop impact for non-equilibrium conditions. The form of soil erosion considered is that which results from raindrop impact in the presence of shallow overland flow itself where the flow is not capable of eroding sediment. The method specifically considers early time runoff and erosion when sediment leaving an eroding area is generally finer and thus may have a higher potential for transport of sorbed pollutants. The new mechanism described is the formation of a deposited layer on the soil surface, which is shown to lead to sediment sorting during an erosion event. The deposited layer is taken to have two roles in this process: to temporarily store sediment on the surface between successive trajectories, and to shield the underlying soil from erosive stresses. Equations describing the dynamics of the suspended sediment mixture and the deposited layer are developed. By integrating these equations over the length of eroding land element and over the duration of the erosion event, an event-based solution is proposed which predicts total sediment sorting over the event. This solution is shown to be consistent with experimentally observed trends in enrichment of fine sediment. Predictions using this approach are found to only partly explain measured enrichment for sets of experimental data for two quite different soils, but to be in poor agreement for an aridsol of dispersive character. It is concluded that the formation of the deposited layer is a significant mechanism in the enrichment of fine sediment and associated sorbed pollutants, but that processes in the dispersive soil are not as well described by the theory presented.     

近30年来中国旅游业经济影响力研究

采用中国1978-2006年旅游统计面板数据,基于灰色关联度模型分析中国旅游业与三次产业的关联度,发现其与第一产业的关联度最大,与第三、二产业的关联度较小;运用旅游收入依存度、旅游需求收入弹性、旅游就业容量等指标,测算中国旅游业对国民经济的拉动效果,发现旅游业对国民经济的贡献和拉动作用不断增强,但仍不够突出。建议从调整产业结构、政策扶持等方面进一步提升中国旅游业的经济影响力。     

一种特殊的地貌现象——碟形洼地群及其成因的探索

使用1926年出版的五万分之一顺直地形图作历史地貌分析，在河北平原西部白洋淀流域地区发现有数量众多、形态奇特的地貌——碟形洼地。用计算机数字地形模拟(DTM)方法对该洼地的个体形态和总体分布特征进行研究，并与国内外其他地区已报道的陨石雨冲击坑对照，判断白洋淀流域的碟形洼地群可能是分布在第四纪松散沉积物上的陨石冲击坑的遗迹。推测冲击可能发生在全新世中—晚期，洼地群是一次规模巨大的陨石雨冲击所形成的。     

岩溶地区垃圾填埋场的选址评价探讨

岩溶地区的垃圾填埋选址较为困难,现行的垃圾填埋场选址评价方法又存在较大局限。笔者等依据垃圾填埋场的建设宗旨和选址基本原则,结合岩溶地区的环境地质特点,探讨提出一套适用于岩溶地区的垃圾填埋场选址评价方法。通过实例应用表明,该方法可在现行较难选出垃圾填埋场的岩溶地区,优选出适宜性较好的未来垃圾填埋场,能够担当起解决岩溶地区的垃圾无害化、减量化填埋处置的难题和重任。     

岫岩陨石坑撞击角砾岩的岩相学和冲击变质特征SCIEI北大核心CSCD

撞击角砾岩是陨石撞击过程形成的特有岩石种类,是研究撞击成坑过程、陨石坑定年、矿物岩石冲击变质的理想对象。岫岩陨石坑是一个直径1800m的简单陨石坑,坑内有大量松散堆积的撞击角砾岩。本研究通过光学显微镜、费氏台、电子探针、X射线荧光光谱仪、电感耦合等离子质谱仪等分析测试手段,主要研究了岫岩陨石坑撞击角砾岩的岩相学和冲击变质特征,并在此基础上讨论了撞击角砾岩的形成过程和陨石坑的形貌特征。岫岩陨石坑内产出有三种撞击角砾岩,分别是来自上部的玄武质角砾岩和复成分岩屑角砾岩,以及底部的含熔体角砾岩。组成玄武质角砾岩和复成分岩屑角砾岩的碎屑受到的冲击程度较低,仅有少量石英发育面状变形页理,指示不超过20GPa的冲击压力。而组成含熔体角砾岩的碎屑受到了很强的冲击,发育了熔融硅酸盐玻璃、石英面状变形页理、柯石英、二氧化硅玻璃、击变长石玻璃、莱氏石等冲击变质特征,指示的峰值压力超过50GPa。本研究证实了含熔体角砾岩通常产出在简单陨石坑底部,由瞬间坑的坑缘和坑壁垮塌的岩石碎屑与坑底的冲击熔体混合形成。岫岩坑的真实深度是495m,真实深度与直径的比值为0.275,符合简单陨石坑的尺寸特征。陨石坑内的撞击角砾岩中心厚度为188m,与直径之比为0.104,略低于其它简单坑,可能是受丘陵地貌影响导致改造阶段垮塌到坑内的岩石角砾偏少。     

西北干旱区棉花对气候变化响应的评价指标体系

近年来,在全球变暖的大背景下,西北也经历着同样的变暖趋势,尤其在西北干旱区新疆、甘肃河西走廊等地的棉花种植区,气候变暖对棉花生长发育的影响研究日益增多,但如何正确、合理地评价棉花对气候变暖的响应,已成为目前十分突出的科学和实际问题。在评价的过程中,评价指标的选择和确定是重中之重。鉴于此,本文筛选了几类重要的评价指标,主要有棉花生长发育、产量品质、种植结构、地理分布、农业气象灾害、农业病虫害气象指标等,这些指标的选择为科学评价棉花对气候变化的响应奠定了一定的基础。     

井损对水文地质参数计算的影响

通过分析抽水试验过程中井损产生的原因及确定方法,运用水位动态变化过程中的井损计算方法,对乌兰陶勒盖水源地WL6号孔的抽水试验资料的井损计算程序进行了说明,并提出了该水源地理想降深与实际降深的经验公式。利用Aqui Test软件,分别计算了忽略井损和考虑井损两种情况下潜水(承压水)抽水井渗透系数及给水度(贮水率),从计算结果来看,计算井损、修正降深所得的各参数的值要比不考虑井损的值大;井损对潜水的抽水试验资料的影响要比承压水的大。