北京市能源消费与主要气象因子的突变点分析--基于灰色关联理论

采用灰关联分析算法,探寻北京市1980-2010年能源消费与气象因子(平均气温、降水量和日照时数等)时间序列的突变点,并将能源消费与气象因子序列进行趋势分析.结果表明:北京市能源消费序列的突变位置是1993与1997年,气象因子序列的突变位置介于1993-2000年之间;平均气温、日照时数与能源消费序列的突变位置完全相同,也即北京市气象因子与能源消费的关系极其密切.     

住房价格与城市发展质量耦合协调度分析——以南京都市圈、苏锡常都市圈、徐州都市圈为例

以南京都市圈、苏锡常都市圈和徐州都市圈为例,从城市与区县两个尺度,研究住房价格、城市发展质量及其耦合协调度的空间格局及区域差异。结果表明:(1)3个都市圈的耦合协调度与区域差异均呈现城市尺度大于区县尺度的特征。(2)住房价格与城市发展质量空间分布格局具有相对一致性,“组团式”格局明显,南京都市圈的区域差异均最大。(3)3个都市圈耦合协调度水平整体不高,处于中级及以下协调水平,且分布呈空间依赖性;住房价格与城市系统及其经济、社会、文化、生态4个子系统发展质量的耦合协调度由大到小依次为苏锡常都市圈、南京都市圈、徐州都市圈,且耦合协调度区域差异既表现出共振性又表现出尺度敏感性。(4)根据协调状态及主导低耦合失调的原因,将城市划分为6种类型,区县划分为8种类型。     

收缩城市住宅价格空间分异及影响机制——以鹤岗市为例

收缩城市的经济社会问题逐渐凸显,住宅市场发展呈现出消极态势,房价变化成为社会关注的焦点。在此背景下,论文以典型收缩城市——黑龙江省鹤岗市为例,基于住宅小区、夜间灯光、POI数据,利用Kriging插值和多尺度地理加权回归模型等方法,结合鹤岗市空间增长与收缩情况分析住宅价格空间分异特征及影响机制。结果显示：① 鹤岗市住宅价格呈圈层模式分布,核心—外围分异程度强。高水平住宅价格小区集聚在核心区内且分布规模小,中高值圈层扩散态势弱;外围工矿型辖区收缩情况相对严重,住宅价格水平低且波动小。② 城市发展状态与住宅价格水平存在空间相关性。不同收缩程度区域经济发展态势、居民收入水平、人口减少与老龄化、保障房建设规模等宏观因素差异影响着住宅价格总体空间分异格局。③ 城市内部区域的增长或收缩状态影响微观设施的作用效果。发展中心的区位优势对增长型区域住宅价格的正向作用更强,高水平公共服务对核心区和城市北部收缩区域住宅价格的增长有明显积极效应,企业工厂的分布对增长型区域住宅价格的负向影响更突出,各因素相互联系、交互影响,共同作用于住宅价格空间分异。     

STUDY ON THE DISSOLVED OXYGEN FLUX IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA

xiODUonONThemaoreleInent(oxygen)ofldeinthemarineeresySteInisCycledalongapartho-larrouteinWhwhthethetcanbedrawnfromtheexternlenvirDnmentintoorgan-isim,andthenberetumedtotheenvbonmentfromtheorganisrns.TheDocontentinseawatCfisinIlUentalbyorganisms,imtS,temPeratureandoxidation.So,studyonDoisoftoortanceinoasnographyastheDofluxisofgreatsignfonceinmarinebiogeochdricalcydes.'MareRIAnooMEmOorlnthisstudy,datafroml98O~l992multi-disdplinaryinvestigationsinthecenthel,northeastem,andsouthernSrswe…     

我国居民消费支出结构与收入水平关系的研究

在对消费结构和收入水平进行现状分析的基础上，运用灰色关联原理对城乡居民各类消费支出与可支配收入水平的关系进行了量化分析，以期对随着可支配收入的增加，消费支出结构的变动情况有一个全面的了解，为有关部门进行产品结构调整和科学预测、国家制定相关政策提供依据与建议。     

中国构造-地层大区划分新方案

中国大陆是由泛华夏陆块群、劳亚和冈瓦纳2个大陆边缘、3个大洋(古亚洲洋、特提斯洋和太平洋)洋陆转换逐渐集合 长大而成的.在中国大陆增生过程中,经历了多个大洋岩石圈板块构造向大陆岩石圈构造转换、增生、碰撞聚集,形成了以华 北、塔里木、扬子为核心的3个陆块(地台)区、8个造山系(阿尔泰-兴蒙、天山-准噶尔-北山、秦-祁-昆、羌塘-三江、冈 底斯、喜马拉雅、华夏、台东)镶嵌组成的复式大陆.在造山系中,还包含了大洋消亡、陆陆碰撞形成的6个对接带(额尔齐斯- 西拉木伦、南天山、宽坪-佛子岭、班公湖-双湖-怒江-昌宁-孟连、雅鲁藏布、江绍-郴州-钦防).根据中国大陆的上述地 史演化特点,提出按陆块区(地台区)、造山带区和对接带区不同的大地构造环境和大地构造演化阶段、造山带区洋-陆转化 时间、生物古地理区系、地层类型与地层序列等9条原则进行全国构造-地层大区综合区划新方案.上述3大陆块区、6大对接 带和8大造山系构成了中国大陆的17个构造-地层大区.      

基于房产网站数据的商品住宅价格空间分布研究——以成都市为例

从安居客房产网站自动获取成都市的商品住宅资料,利用GIS方法分析成都市商品住宅价格的空间分布特征,得出了成都市商品房价格空间分布结果和发展趋势。     

The Social Geographies of Indigenous Population and Housing in Australia's Regional Urban Centres

In recent years, social scientists have turned increasing scholarly focus to the ‘post-colonial city’, as it relates to the lived experiences and socio-cultural worlds of urban-dwelling Indigenous peoples. In Australia, this literature is concerned primarily with issues of identity, power and representation in big cities. More conventional geographic analyses regarding socio-spatial, economic and demographic aspects of urban Indigenous experience have been mostly absent from this discourse. In this paper, we begin to address this gap within the literature by identifying notable socio-spatial, economic, and demographic features of urban Indigenous experience in regional Australian cities. We draw on census and administrative data to empirically examine Indigenous residency, presence, and uneven housing market access in regional urban centres. The analysis builds a national comparative picture regarding population change, tenure type, crowding and housing affordability in these localities. At the same time, it ‘drills down’ to explore some of the drivers and implications of change against these indicators in one case study locality: Geraldton Western Australian. This case study analysis, based on recent fieldwork, grounds the broad identified trends in a localised narrative, illuminating some of general and specific socio-economic and socio-spatial dynamics that shape urban life for Indigenous peoples in regional Australia and the implications of these dynamics for broader questions of co-existence between Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians.     

Management implications of spatiotemporal non-stationarity in municipal water consumption patterns and drivers

This study analyzed the individual and joint influences of social, urban, and physical drivers on patterns of county-scale municipal water consumption (MWC) the for the state of Texas using a cross-sectional research design on three distinct temporal slices (1990, 2000, and 2010). Global multiple linear regression models and measures of global and local spatial association were combined to determine which drivers significantly influenced county-scale per capita MWC, whether or not the statistically significant drivers varied over time, and to assess the degree to which the patterns and drivers of MWC exhibited spatial stationarity. Overall results suggested the social, urbanized, and physical environments contributed significantly to the patterns of per capita MWC to varying degrees in each year. The social and urbanized environments consistently exerted the strongest influences on per capita MWC, while the physical environment was generally less important. The social environment had the greatest cumulative influence in all three years, and the urbanized environment singly accounted for the majority of the variation in per capita MWC when the joint influences of the other significant drivers were considered. Spatial analysis of MWC patterns and drivers suggested that they both exhibited weak to moderate degrees of spatial non-stationarity in each year, as well as that MWC patterns and drivers may be sensitive to regional and climatic boundaries. Identification of temporally consistent MWC drivers merged with longitudinal and cross-sectional research designs can improve water management strategies by offering managers greater insight into the relationships between landscape change and water consumption patterns.     

水量统一调度以来黄河内蒙古河段耗水量分析

黄河水量统一调度始于1999年3月,本次对1999-2011年黄河内蒙古河段引水和退水的年内、年际变化以及引排比关系进行了分析;利用遥感图片,核查了黄河干流石嘴山—头道拐河段的引退水口门;分别采用引退水法和水量平衡法计算了黄河内蒙古河段的引黄耗水量。结果表明:该研究时段内蒙古河套灌区退水量与引水量的比值平均为0.16,呈现逐年增大的趋势,引退水关系比较好,存在"大引大排"现象;引退水法年平均耗水量为75.44亿m3,年际变化相对比较平缓;水量平衡法年平均耗水量为56.72亿m3,年际变化非常明显;两种方法耗水量差别明显的原因之一是颁证引退水口门与实际引退水口门数量不相同。