Statistical study of spatial variation of response spectrum using free field records of dense strong motion arrays

Spatial variation of acceleration response spectra is examined using strong motion records for a large number of events from dense accelerometer arrays at Chiba in Japan and SMART-1 in Lotung, Taiwan. The effects of earthquake component, structural damping, earthquake magnitude, focal depth, epicentral distance, structural time period, and station separation on the intra-event variation of response spectra are examined first through an empirical analysis and then through a least-square regression fit for parametric study. A very large scatter of the response spectra ratio is observed for both arrays, especially for SMART-1 array. The mean values of the ratio vary from 10 to 20 per cent for Chiba array while they vary from 25 to 50 per cent for SMART-1 array. The coefficients of variation of the ratio range from 5 to 25 per cent for Chiba array and 30 to 50 per cent for SMART-1 array. The correlation among response spectra is found to be inversely proportional to station separation and shows frequency dependence. For larger time periods, the correlation is lower and not higher. The correlation is also lower for UD earthquake component as compared to the two horizontal components. For higher damping ratio, the correlation among spectra is higher. The effect of the earthquake magnitude, focal depth and epicentral distance on the spatial variation is complex. The three parameters having implicit interdependence, considering their combined effect, a positive contribution to the value of ratio of response spectra is observed in the case of larger earthquake events. Furthermore, as mentioned above, the spatial variation for SMART-1 array is much larger than that for Chiba array. This difference can be attributed mainly to the difference in distance between the instruments in the two arrays. However, some of the difference is considered to be due to site specific characteristics. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Spatially distributed hydrotope‐based modelling of evapotranspiration and runoff in mountainous basins

River basins in mountainous regions are characterized by strong variations in topography, vegetation, soils, climatic conditions and snow cover conditions, and all are strongly related to altitude. The high spatial variation needs to be considered when modelling hydrological processes in such catchments. A complex hydrological model, with a great potential to account for spatial variability, was developed and applied for the hourly simulation of evapotranspiration, soil moisture, water balance and the runoff components for the period 1993 and 1994 in 12 subcatchments of the alpine/pre‐alpine basin of the River Thur (area 1703 km²). The basin is located in the north‐east of the Swiss part of the Rhine Basin and has an elevation range from 350 to 2500 m a.s.l. A considerable part of the Thur Basin is high mountain area, some of it above the tree‐line and a great part of the basin is snow covered during the winter season. In the distributed hydrological model, the 12 sub‐basins of the Thur catchment were spatially subdivided into sub‐areas (hydrologically similar response units—HRUs or hydrotopes) using a GIS. Within the HRUs a hydrologically similar behaviour was assumed. Spatial interpolations of the meteorological input variables wereemployed for each altitudinal zone. The structure of the model components for snow accumulation and melt, interception, soil water storage and uptake by evapotranspiration, runoff generation and flow routing are briefly outlined. The results of the simulated potential evapotranspiration reflect the dominant role of altitudinal change in radiation and albedo of exposure, followed by the influence of slope. The actual evapotranspiration shows, in comparison with the potential evapotranspiration, a greater variability in the lower and medium altitudinal zones and a smaller variability in the upper elevation zones, which was associated with limitations of available moisture in soil and surface depression storages as well as with the evaporative demand of the local vegetation. The higher altitudinal dependency and variability of runoff results from the strong increase in precipitation and the decrease in evaporation with increased altitude. An increasing influence of snow cover on runoff as well as evapotranspiration with altitude is obvious. The computed actual evapotranspiration and runoff were evaluated against the observed values of a weighting lysimeter and against runoff hydrographs. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

山东夏季气温年际变化形成的气候特征

为研究本地区短期气候预测方法,利用山东80个代表站夏季平均气温、降水量资料和NCEP／NCAR月平均再分析资料(1961～2001年),分析了夏季平均气温年际变化的气候特征、冷暖夏的环流形势及夏季风与气温的关系。结果表明：EOF第一模态几乎反映了整个温度场的时空变化特征;夏季气温标准化距平年际变化显著,有弱线性增温趋势;极端冷、暖夏大气环流形势差异明显,显著差异区在亚欧一北太平洋地区,冷夏年中高纬度欧亚大陆存在正欧亚一太平洋(EUP)型遥相关,东亚地区有负太平洋-日本(PJ)型波列,暖夏年反之。东亚夏季风强弱与山东夏季气温关系密切,强(弱)夏季风时,易造成山东暖(冷)夏;同期降水对气温有负反馈,对气温升高有一定的抑制作用。     

紫外线诱导太平洋牡蛎雄核发育的研究

为诱导太平洋牡蛎雄核发育单倍体 ,本文研究利用紫外线诱导太平洋牡蛎雄核发育的条件。结果表明 :在强度为2 .8mW·cm-2 ·s-1的紫外线 (2 5 4nm)下分别照射 0 ,10 ,15 ,2 0 ,2 5 ,3 0 ,3 5 ,40 ,5 0 ,60 ,70和 80s后 ,照射 3 0s的卵子能够保持较高的受精率 (73 .5 % ) ;该处理组的D形幼虫发生率为 0。染色体检查结果显示此时单倍体率最高 (4 7.8% )。证明在强度为2 .8mW·cm-2 ·s-1的紫外线下照射 3 0s是获得雄核发育单倍体的适宜条件。研究还表明受精率和D形幼虫发生率随照射时间的增加而下降 ,遗传失活的卵子与正常精子受精后其胚胎发育至D形幼虫前期停止。实验中各处理组均出现非整倍体。原因可能由于紫外线对卵子染色体遗传失活的作用程度不同以及光线对DNA的修复作用。     

黄海夏季典型站位的底边界层动物

2002年8月25~26日,在黄海夏季冷水团区域内的抛锚站位(35°22′N,121°59′E),使用柱状界面采样器进行了昼夜连续取样,对底边界层动物的种类组成与昼夜丰度变化进行了研究,以获得对黄海底边界层动物的初步认识。共记录底边界层动物21种,隶属18科、19属。超底栖动物和中型浮游动物是黄海夏季底边界层动物的2个重要类群,主要种类有尖额真猛水蚤(Euterpina acutifrons)、挪威小毛猛水蚤(Microsetella norvegica)、异厚盖钩虾(Synchelidium miraculum)、双刺纺缍水蚤(Acartia bifilosa)和小拟哲水蚤(Paracalanus parvus),其丰度皆有明显的昼夜波动现象。以桡足类无节幼体为代表的小型浮游动物也是底边界层动物中不容忽视的类群之一。采集到5个黄海区的新记录物种:美丽猛水蚤(Nitocrasp.)、跛足猛水蚤(Mesochrasp.)、咸水剑水蚤(Halicyclopssp.)、掌刺梭剑水蚤(Lubbockia squillimana)和异厚盖钩虾(Synchelidi-um miraculum),显示出底边界层动物种类组成的特殊性。     

径流量干旱指数在河西走廊灌区的应用

利用径流量干旱指数以及河西地区的酒泉、张掖和武威的春小麦单产资料,探讨干旱指数的等级与去趋势春小麦产量之间的关系.研究结果表明,径流量干旱指数与河西灌溉区春小麦气候产量呈反位相的变化趋势.因此,可利用径流量干旱指数的变化来预测该地区未来春小麦产量变化趋势.     

军曹鱼的分子遗传特性研究

采用随机扩增多态性DNA(RAPD)和线粒体DNA(mtDNA)的限制性片段长度多态性(RFLP)分析方法对广东湛江近海军曹鱼Rachycentron canadum的分子遗传学特征进行了研究。RAPD研究结果显示17个引物共检测到119个位点,其中多态位点比例P为80．85％,遗传相似系数S为0．7400,遗传距离D为0．2600,Nei基因多样性指数H为0．3009,Shannon信息指数I为0．4498。结果表明,军曹鱼的遗传多样性比较丰富。用19种识别5、6碱基的限制性内切酶对军曹鱼的mtDNA RFLP进行了分析研究,构建其mtDNA物理图谱;用引物5’-GTG ATC TGA AAA ACC ACC GTT G-3’和5’-AAT AGG AAG TAT CAT TGC GGT TTG ATG-3’扩增线粒体细胞色素b区段,得到稳定的850bp大小的特异性条带,用18种识别4-6碱基的限制性内切酶对扩增片段的限制性长度多态性进行分析,并测定其序列。     

基于遗传支持向量机的地下工程裂隙岩体注浆量预测

提出了地下工程裂隙岩体注浆量预测的遗传支持向量机方法,通过支持向量机对实际注浆数据样本进行学习,建立注浆量及其影响因素之间的非线性映射关系,基于这种关系实现注浆量的预测。模型建立过程中,考虑到支持向量机惩罚因子和核参数对预测精度的影响,以预测误差为适应度,采用遗传算法对最佳参数进行搜索。结果表明,本文方法计算快速,预测精度高,是一种注浆量预测的好方法。     

黄河上游近60年水沙变化特征及其影响因素

由于受人类活动及气候变化影响,黄河上游干流水沙特征发生显著变化。为探究黄河上游水沙变化情况,基于黄河上游5个水文站1964-2019年水沙、遥感影像等数据,利用Mann-Kendall检验法、滑动t检验法、累积距平曲线和双累积曲线等突变检验方法和小波分析法,对黄河上游水沙变化特征进行研究。利用水沙关系曲线及线性回归法等方法估算人类活动和气候对水沙变化的贡献率,并着重讨论梯级水库建设及土地利用变化对水沙的影响。结果表明:1)黄河上游玛曲-小川段流域内降雨量和径流量变化幅度不明显,贵德站、循化站、小川站1986-2019年年均输沙量分别减至1964-1985年的9.8%、24.6%、38.8%,输沙量大大减少。黄河上游玛曲-小川段径流量突变多在1986年,输沙量突变多在1969、1986、2004年,径流量存在8、16、22 a周期,输沙量存在4~8、18~21、27 a周期。2)1969年后,河流输沙能力增强,水沙关系显著改变。在不同时段内,人类活动对径流量变化在1987-2019年贡献率为66.3%,对输沙量变化在1970-1986、1987-2004、2005-2019年的贡献率为72.96%、70.73%、69.7%。人类活动对黄河上游干流水沙影响占据主导因素。3)刘家峡水库淤积最为严重,单库运行期水库淤积量为2.39亿t,排沙比变化范围为1.39%~10.7%。梯级水库联调使得径流量在1964-2004年间减少47.8%,1964-2019年间梯级水库减沙94.8%,梯级水库对输沙量影响远大于对径流量的影响。4)1980-2020年间,草地面积增加了1880.03 km²,增幅3.1%,有利于减少输沙量,草地拦沙效益大于截流效益。     

热带太平洋-印度洋相互关系的年代际改变

用Nino3指数、印度洋单极指数、偶极子指数表示热带太平洋．印度洋SST的年际异常,发现1978年以后ENSO在热带印度洋的信号减弱了,可以解释如下：1978年之前,印度洋和太平洋纬向垂直环流的异常在海洋性大陆附近作齿轮式耦合;1978年以后,由于热带太平洋的上升支的东移,导致两洋的纬向垂直环流异常的耦合减弱。