一种基于事件的双序列时空数据模型

针对现有时空数据模型研究中存在的诸多不足,特别是基于事件的时空模型缺乏以空间对象个体为单位的时空变化贯穿式表达能力等缺点,提出一种基于事件的双序列时空数据模型,将状态变化与空间对象的变化用双重序列表达,用序列存储对象的变化解决了现有时空数据模型基于空间对象个体时空变化信息表达能力弱的问题。实验表明,该模型可有效用于时空数据管理。     

Sensitivity of the surface temperature to changes in total solar irradiance calculated with the WRF model

The temperature sensitivity of the WRF model to changes in Total Solar Irradiance (TSI). The simulations were performed for a region centered over the North Atlantic Ocean, including portions of Eastern North America, Western Europe and Northwest Africa. Four simulations were run with different TSI values. Also, a fifth simulation was performed in which we varied the initial atmospheric conditions, in order to compare the effect on the temperature of both, changes in the TSI and initial atmospheric conditions. Comparing temperature monthly averages we found that changes in TSI and in the initial conditions have a measurable impact on temperature in the region of study. The sensitivity of the model using non-dimensional parameters was also estimated. The numerical experiments show some features that might allow to distinguish between the effects on the temperature due to changes in TSI from those caused by initial conditions. However, TSI changes are of the same order of magnitude than those of disturbances in the initial conditions. We also found that the mean monthly values of temperature over the full grid, did not present significant variations due to changes of either initial conditions or TSI.     

An integrated model for predicting rainfall-induced landslides

This study proposes a novel method that combines a deterministic slope stability model and a statistical model for predicting rainfall-induced landslides. The method first uses the deterministic model to derive the rainfall rate critical to induce slope failure for each land unit. Then it calculates the difference between the critical rainfall threshold and estimated rainfall intensity. Using the difference and estimated rainfall duration as explanatory variables, the method derives a logit (integrated) model to compute landslide occurrence probabilities. To demonstrate the effectiveness of this method, the study used radar rainfall estimates and landslides associated with a typhoon (tropical cyclone) to develop the integrated model and the same types of data associated with another typhoon to validate the model. The model had a modified success rate of 84.0% for predicting landslides and stable areas, and model validation yielded a modified success rate of 87.4%. Both rates were better than those from the critical rainfall model. The main advantage of the integrated model lies in its use of rainfall variables that are not included in calculating the critical rainfall. Also, as a probabilistic model, the integrated model is better suited for decision-making in watershed management. This study has advanced the method for predicting rainfall-triggered landslides.     

A Study on the Spectral Form of Nearshore Water Waves

- The spectral form of wind waves is investigated based on the ocean wave data observed at three nearshore stations of Taiwan. In this study, the generalized forms of Pierson-Moskowitz spectrum and JONSWAP spectrum are used to describe the local wave spectrum by selecting suitable spectral form parameters. It is shown that, at a specific site, the similarity of wave spectral form exists. Thus it is possible to use a representative spectral form for a given nearshore region to describe the wave spectrum at this nearshore. On the other hand, the effects of relative water depth on spectral form are examined. The feasibility of two spectral models in finite water depth is evaluated by using the same field wave data.     

JX—3解析测图仪上航测高倍放大成图的试验

介绍试用１：３３０００比例尺航测资料，在ＪＸ－３解析测图仪上高倍放大航测１：１０００比例尺地形图的成图方案和应采取的技术措施，运用 解析法模型绝对定向的原理，在全野布点时采用两种方案对照比较，进行理论和试验精度的分析，并给出试验结果。     

Uncertainty assessment for watershed water quality modeling: A Probabilistic Collocation Method based approach

Watershed water quality models are increasingly used in management. However, simulations by such complex models often involve significant uncertainty, especially those for non-conventional pollutants which are often poorly monitored. This study first proposed an integrated framework for watershed water quality modeling. Within this framework, Probabilistic Collocation Method (PCM) was then applied to a WARMF model of diazinon pollution to assess the modeling uncertainty. Based on PCM, a global sensitivity analysis method named PCM-VD (VD stands for variance decomposition) was also developed, which quantifies variance contribution of all uncertain parameters. The study results validated the applicability of PCM and PCM-VD to the WARMF model. The PCM-based approach is much more efficient, regarding computational time, than conventional Monte Carlo methods. It has also been demonstrated that analysis using the PCM-based approach could provide insights into data collection, model structure improvement and management practices. It was concluded that the PCM-based approach could play an important role in watershed water quality modeling, as an alternative to conventional Monte Carlo methods to account for parametric uncertainty and uncertainty propagation.     

精密定轨用地球大气模型误差的补偿方法

本文提出了一种用于精密轨道确定的地球大气模型误差的补偿方法，这种方法采用改进 大气周日峰角的技术，有效地补偿了大气密度模型的误差，并具有较好的物理意义．与传统 的每圈改进一次加速度的方法比较，轨道确定达到了相当的径向精度，且避免了轨道改进参 数间的相关性，同时解算参数的数量也少了一半．     

模糊综合评判模型在宝坻水源地地下水水质评价中的应用

运用模糊综合评判模型,对中石化天津分公司宝坻水源地奥陶系灰岩地下水水质行综合评价。评价结果表明,研究区采样点水质总体评判级别为I级,说明该区地下水水质较好,而氟离子含量超标是由于地区背景值造成的,这一结论与该区其它研究成果评价结果一致。说明模糊综合评判模型是一种较实用的地下水水质评判方法。     

基于地貌结构与汇水特征的沟谷节点提取与分析——以陕北黄土高原为例

沟谷节点是流域中线状沟谷或河网的交汇点,集中反映了沟谷的地貌结构和水文特征。有效获取并分析沟谷节点的结构与特征规律,对于系统、深入地研究流域地貌的空间形态结构、径流特征具有重要的作用。利用陕北黄土高原多地貌类型为实验区,设计并实现了基于高精度DEM的沟谷节点提取算法模型和等级标定方法,获取了实验区各级沟谷节点的数量和汇水值;运用数学模型分析法,分析了沟谷节点的数量和汇水值的分级数量关系,得到了具体的数学模拟方程;同时,运用等差分级的方式,分析了汇水累积量级差在不同地貌区的差异,初步探讨了地表形态在空间上的分异规律。     

论地质作用中元素间的相关性及制约因素

本文把地质作用中元素间的相关性划分为曲线相关、准线性相关和线性相关三种类型;并在建立反映岩浆、沉积作用过程中元素间相关关系的数学模型及其它工作的基础上,详细讨论分配系数、源区成分和作用过程等方面对地质作用中元素间相关关系的制约作用。进而获得批式熔融、结晶分异、岩浆混合、化学沉积、碎屑沉积等过程中元素间呈线性和(?)线性关系的一般特征和应用前景。最后还给出La/Ce相关性的应用实例。