RESPONSE ANALYSIS FOR FUZZY STOCHASTIC DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS WITH MULTIPLE DEGREES OF FREEDOM

Most real-life structural/mechanical systems have complex geometrical and material properties and operate under complex fuzzy environmental conditions. These systems are certainly subjected to fuzzy random excitations induced by the environment. For an analytical treatment of such a system subjected to fuzzy random excitations, it becomes necessary to establish the general theory of dynamic response of a system to fuzzy random excitations. In this paper, we extend the work published in Reference [1], and discuss the case of Multi-Degree-of-Freedom (MDF) fuzzy stochastic dynamical systems. The theory of the response, fuzzy mean response and fuzzy covariance response of multi-degree-of-freedom system to fuzzy random excitations in the time domain and frequency domain is put forward. Two cases to determine the fuzzy response statistics of the fuzzy stochastic dynamical system with multiple degrees of freedom are discussed. Two examples are considered in order to demonstrate the rationality and validity of the theory. © 1997 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于GPS-RTK技术的波浪能发电装置结构动态位移监测及滤波方法

利用全球定位系统实时差分技术（Global Positioning System Real-Time Kinematic,GPS-RTK）对波浪能发电装置进行结构变形监测得到的信号会存在噪声。针对这个问题,本文提出一种结合巴特沃斯（Butterworth）滤波器和自相关函数经验模态分解（Empirical Mode Decomposition,EMD）的滤波降噪算法,利用动态位移仿真信号进行了实验验证。结果表明：该滤波算法能够有效降低装置动态位移监测数据中噪声的影响,利用滤波算法对仿真信号进行降噪处理之后,可以提取出信号中包含的结构固有频率。     

地铁列车振动作用下近距离平行隧道的弹塑性动力响应

利用有限元数值方法,对地铁列车振动荷载作用下近距离平行隧道结构的二维弹塑性动力响应进行模拟,分析了单列列车荷载以及双列列车荷载作用下土体-隧道结构体系的加速度和内力响应时程曲线。研究表明,列车动力荷载作用下的内力值要比无列车荷载作用下的内力值有较大程度的增加;在单列列车荷载作用下,另一相邻平行隧道的加速度响应、弯矩、轴力峰值要比列车运行所在隧道相应点处的响应值要小;在双列列车荷载作用下隧道结构体系动力响应值要比单列列车荷载作用下的动力响应值有显著增加。     

Seasonal dynamics of soil CO_2 effluxes with responses to environmental factors in lower subtropical forests of China

Seasonal metrics and environmental responses to forestry soil surface CO2 emission effluxes among three types of lower subtropical forests were consistently monitored over two years with static chamber-gas chromatograph techniques among three types of lower subtropical forests. Results showed that annual CO2 effluxes (S L) reached 3942.20, 3422.36 and 2163.02 CO2 g·m-2·a-1, respectively in the monsoon evergreen broadleaf forest, mixed broadleaf-coniferous forest and coniferous forest. All the three types of forests revealed the same characteristics of seasonal changes with the CO2 effluxes peaking throughout June to August. During this peaking period, the effluxes were 35.9%, 38.1% and 40.2% of the total annual effluxes, respectively. The CO2 emission process responding to the environmental factors displayed significantly different patterns in forestry soils of the three types of forests. The coniferous forest (CF) was more sensitive to temperature than the other two types. The Q10 values were higher, along with greater seasonal variations of the CO2 efflux, indicating that the structurally unique forestry ecosystem has disadvantage against interferences. All the three types of forestry CO2 effluxes showed significant correlation with the soil temperature (Ts), soil water content (Ms) and air pressure (Pa). However, stepwise regression analysis indicated no significant correlation between air pressure and the soil CO2 efflux. With an empirical model to measure soil temperature and water content in 5 cm beneath the soil surface, the CO2 effluxes accounting for 75.7%, 77.8% and 86.5% of the efflux variability respectively in soils of BF, MF and PF were calculated. This model can be better used to evaluate the CO2 emission of soils under water stress and arid or semi-arid conditions.     

三维结线动力无穷元及其特性研究

研究了文献[2]提出的结线动力无穷元的特性及其参数确定。由于这种单元将衰减函数定义在无穷向结线上,从而不仅可同时考虑多种波动形式,而且对于不同介质,不必通过改变节点坐标分布的形式实现介质间的过渡,而直接以结线上参数的改变来实现,因而可以更好地模拟无穷波动场,使用起来更方便．更容易推广。     

水库汛期限制水位控制理论与观念的更新探讨

传统的水库汛限水位的控制,只利用了洪水的统计信息,使水库在汛期要时刻预防设计与校核洪水事件的发生,致使一些水库在汛期不敢蓄水而汛后又无水可蓄,造成洪水资源的浪费。提出水库汛限水位动态控制的新理念及其综合推理模式,适应当前预报技术的发展水平,考虑降雨径流洪水预报与一定时间内的短期降雨预报,排除不可能发生的洪水事件,预报可能发生的洪水,实施水库汛限水位的动态控制。但预报不可避免地存在误差,当小概率预报误差事件发生时,仍可采取弥补措施以确保大坝的防洪安全。     

基于动态因子的区域生态安全评价——以河北省万全县为例

本文以河北省万全县为例, 探索在GIS 和RS 技术支持下进行区域生态安全综合评价的 方法。数据包括1992 年8 月的TM影像、2002 年8 月的ETM+和SPOT 影像、1∶5 万DEM等; 选取 植被指数变化、土地利用类型变化和土壤有机质含量变化三类动态评价因子; 采用综合指数法构 建了基于生态退化的动态评价模型; 应用最小二乘原理客观地计算出了模型中各指标的权重; 并最终在ArcGIS 9.0/Spatial Analyst 模块中生成了生态安全评价图, 使模型得以实现。结果表明 该县南部河川区生态安全要优于中部丘陵区和北部山区; 相对不安全区域占到全县总面积的 50.1%, 虽然不安全区域总体分布较为散落, 但在北部和中部相对集中; 总体生态安全评价值为 2.3, 标志着本地区的生态安全级别较低, 应引起当地政府的高度重视。另外, 采用动态评价因子, 比采用静态评价因子具有一定优势; 采用最小二乘原理计算模型中权重系数的方法比较实用和 科学, 降低了人为影响因素, 也可以避免主观判断产生的错误, 为评价模型中权重系数的确定提 供了一种新的方法和选择。     

徐州张集水源地浅层地下水动态及其对不同开采方案响应

张集水源地是徐州市一个拟建水源地。了解浅层地下水动态变化规律是设计水源地最优取水方案、满足当地居民生活及工农业生产需水和水源地环境保护的重要前提条件之一。分析了水源地在现状以及不同开采条件下浅层地下水动态影响因素,建立了三维等参有限元数学模型模拟水源地地下水运动规律,利用大型群孔抽水试验资料进行参数识别和模型校正,预报了不同开采方案对水源地浅层地下水动态的影响,结果表明:水源地开采后,水源地开采将成为浅层地下水动态的主要影响因素之一;水源地允许开采量为13.71万m³/d是适合的,它不会引起地下水位的持续下降,不仅可满足当地居民用水需求,而且可以向徐州市稳定供水。     

Interrelations between socio-economic development and environmental quality: a simulation integrating system dynamics models with GIS

System dynamics (SD) theory has long been deployed in modeling complex non-linear interrelationships but, so far it has not been common to do the kind of modeling in support of bringing environmental sustainability policies to practice. This is largely because the challenge of including spatial data has not yet been well met. Potential for adoption of SD and GIS methods in combination is exemplified with the results of a decision-support exercise designed for simulation and prediction of the dynamic inter-relationships between socio-economic development and environmental quality for the “Wen, Pi, Du” county in Sichuan province, southwestern China.     

青海省海东地区土地利用变化及其生态服务价值响应

根据青海省海东地区2002～2008年土地利用变更数据,采用土地利用动态度模型和土地利用综合指数分析该地区近7年来土地利用变化情况,并参考谢高地等人建立的中国陆地生态系统单位面积生态服务价值当量表对该区域当量表进行适当调整,测算了土地利用变化所引起的生态服务价值变化情况。研究表明：（1）2002～2008年,各类型土地利用变化速度各不相同,其中以水利设施用地变化速度最快为12．24％,土地利用程度波动上升;（2）土地利用变化所引起的生态服务价值总体上呈逐步上升趋势,由2002年的82．01×10^8元增加至2008年的88．16×10^8元,增加了6．15×10^8元;（3）各种土地利用类型的生态系统服务价值的敏感性指数均小于1,表明生态系统服务价值对价值系数的变化缺乏弹性,研究结果可信。