国外部分卫星产品质量评价和质量控制方法

卫星遥感信息产品是由星载遥感仪器观测的数据经科学方法处理得到的,由于观测数据受地球大气和地表、太阳位置以及星上仪器工作状态、定标和定位精度等多种因素的影响,卫星遥感信息产品必须经过质量控制、误差分析之后才可以使用.因此,开展卫星产品质量控制和质量评价研究对于卫星反演产品的应用和在国民经济中发挥作用是非常必要的.该文调研了国外部分卫星产品(主要针对MODIS反演产品)的质量评价和质量控制的技术以及组织管理方法.     

Regional Considerations of Coastline Change,Tsunami Damage and Recovery along the Southern Coast of the Bay of Izmit (The Kocaeli (Turkey) Earthquake of 17 August 1999)

Co-seismic phenomena along the south coastline included liquefaction, subsidenceand tsunami. Construction on areas composed of fluvial and alluvial sediments aswell as unconsolidated fill increased the risk by creating potential for amplificationof seismic waves. Cyclic mobility liquefaction was common along the coastline, andlevel-ground liquefaction was observed. Flow liquefaction is held forth as a possibilityin the Deirmendere submarine landslide. Damage to structures was markedly more in areas of unconsolidated sediments. One or more tsunami struck immediately after the event; the uniformity of tsunami impact indicating a wave coming from 310° suggests that submarine faulting was the major source of tsunami. Over 800,000 m² of subsidence resulted from sediment slumping, fault controlled subsidence, and possibly post-liquefaction sediment compaction. After a brief period of post-event abandonment, reclamation and use of coastal areas is well underway. This creates a tension between human desires pushing for quick and inexpensive re-inhabitation of the coastal areas, and the needs for zoning and building codes for risk reduction. In this high-risk area suchcontrary cultural mandates cannot yield ideal results. It is suggested that an alternativemodel of immediate post-event creation of parks and natural areas that would yield benefit is preferable in coastal areas rather than the enforcement approach currently favored.     

Prediction of Resource Volumes at Untested Locations Using Simple Local Prediction Models

This paper shows how local spatial nonparametric prediction models can be applied to estimate volumes of recoverable gas resources at individual undrilled sites, at multiple sites on a regional scale, and to compute confidence bounds for regional volumes based on the distribution of those estimates. An approach that combines cross-validation, the jackknife, and bootstrap procedures is used to accomplish this task. Simulation experiments show that cross-validation can be applied beneficially to select an appropriate prediction model. The cross-validation procedure worked well for a wide range of different states of nature and levels of information. Jackknife procedures are used to compute individual prediction estimation errors at undrilled locations. The jackknife replicates also are used with a bootstrap resampling procedure to compute confidence bounds for the total volume. The method was applied to data (partitioned into a training set and target set) from the Devonian Antrim Shale continuous-type gas play in the Michigan Basin in Otsego County, Michigan. The analysis showed that the model estimate of total recoverable volumes at prediction sites is within 4 percent of the total observed volume. The model predictions also provide frequency distributions of the cell volumes at the production unit scale. Such distributions are the basis for subsequent economic analyses.

激光跟踪仪测量精度的评定

介绍了影响激光跟踪仪测量精度的各种因素及对其测量精度进行评定的意义、指标及方法,阐述了比较法在仪器现场检查和校准中的应用,并以100MeV直线加速器的测量控制网为例,说明统计分析法在验后精度评定中应用。     

基于生态事件序列的时态关联规则挖掘

本文分析了时态关联规则挖掘的相关定义,介绍了强时态关联规则挖掘的步骤,设计并实现了基于时间约束的T-Apriori算法。提出了生态事件和生态时间序列的概念,以我国南海大亚湾海域的赤潮现象为例,研究了基于生态事件序列的时态关联规则挖掘问题。     

台儿庄生态敏感性GIS评价

生态敏感性评价是进行生态规划的重要依据,本文以遥感影像和生态环境调查数据为基础,选取具有代表性的8类生态因子并确定其对生态环境影响的分级标准和权重,使用GIS技术,运用加权叠加的方法,对枣庄市台儿庄区生态敏感性进行评价。通过模糊聚类和小面积图斑自动归类合并处理,将区域土地生态敏感性划分5类。研究结果表明:台儿庄区生态极度敏感区占全区面积的7.04%,高度敏感地区占全区面积的8.5%,中度敏感区占全区面积的21.63%,轻度敏感区占全区面积的51.02%,不敏感区占全区面积的11.82,生态敏感性总体较低。     

GIS在采煤沉陷区生态价值评价中的应用

以淮南市在采煤沉陷区生态治理规划中对规划区的生态价值评价为例,探讨了运用GIS技术和多源信息复合原理对规划区进行生态要素单因子评价和生态价值综合评价,选取评价因子包括地形因子、生态基质因子、植被因子及水环境保护因子。采用遥感与地理信息系统相结合的技术,建立与评价相关的基于GIS的基础数据平台,运用GIS的空间分析功能对规划区的生态价值进行分析和评估。通过对规划区各类生态因子的评价,深入了解规划区内生态价值的特征与空间分布,提取重要生态节点;为挖掘规划区生态建设潜力,实施生态治理和建设提供依据。     

Field Work in the Classroom

To make sense of spatial data, information and concepts strong geographic literacy skills are a prerequisite, yet existing studies suggest a global decline in these skills. Current geographic tools predominantly focus on mapping tasks that do not necessarily lead to an understanding of the broader geographic relevance of location. This article argues that in order to improve geographic literacy exercises should test an understanding of location and employ techniques to correct deficiencies. To support this argument this study offers evidence on the effectiveness of online quizzes in improving geographic literacy skills of first-year undergraduate geography students.     

诠释地球生命力报告:1998—2010

《地球生命力报告》应用地球生命力指数、生态足迹和水足迹3个指标描绘了全球自然生态系统的状况与变化趋势,以及在经济发展过程中可再生资源可持续利用的程度。本文在简要解读1998年至2010年的全部8期报告核心内容的基础上,认为人类对生态系统的衰退尚没有给予足够的重视,人们的生活方式应有所改变。只有认识到保护自然是为了人类自身的健康、财富和福祉,而不是维护生物多样性本身和只有意识到自然在维护人类健康和生活中所起的核心作用时,人类才能更好地维护我们生活的这个星球,因为我们只有一个地球。     

中国原油进口风险度以及对国内不同区域的影响分析

1993年中国开始从原油输出国变为原油输入国,到2010年,中国的原油进口依赖度高达53%。原油进口来源国的社会经济稳定性、原油运输线路的安全性影响到中国原油进口的安全性。本文根据ITIRI的综合国际贸易投资风险指数和原油运输线路的安全性,设计了中国从其主要原油进口来源国进口原油的风险指数。然后分析了中国各省级行政区对原油进口消费的依赖度,中国六个大区石化工业和八个石油化工基地对进口原油的依赖程度。从而分析了它们对进口原油风险的敏感度。本研究的结论是:第一,中国重要的原油进口来源国比较集中,且集中在社会经济不十分稳定的国家。第二,原油进口风险对沿海地区经济的影响远高于对内陆地区的影响。第三,沪宁杭、琼粤闽和长江中游石化基地是受原油进口风险影响最大的三个基地。根据这些结论,本文提出两方面建议:第一,建议中国原油进口来源与运输方式尽量多元化,以规避风险。第二,中国原油战略储备基地应考虑对原油进口风险敏感度大的地区。