正弦干扰下时滞系统的状态预测观测器与前馈-反馈预测控制器设计

研究控制变量含有时滞的线性系统在外部正弦干扰下的最优减振预测控制问题。利用系统的控制向量和被控对象的预测输出向量 ,设计了 1种全维状态预测观测器。并将该状态观测器用于时滞控制系统的最优前馈 -反馈预测控制中。频域分析表明 ,应用该状态预测观测器可将闭环系统的时滞项移至系统闭环结构之外 ,从而其优化控制规律完全可以按无时滞系统进行设计。时域分析表明 ,设计的预测控制器对外部正弦干扰有较强的鲁棒性 ,得到的结果关于二次型平均性能指标是次优的     

基于DEM和SCS模型的重庆岩溶槽谷区塘堰复蓄次数的计算

文章以重庆市九龙坡区中梁村和云峰村两个典型岩溶槽谷区为研究区,通过利用数字高程模型(DEM)划分集水区,依据径流曲线数模型(SCS)模拟降雨径流,CROPWAT8.0计算作物需水量,对该区塘堰灌溉系统进行水量平衡分析,计算得到了塘堰复蓄次数。结果表明:(1)SCS模型推算出研究区的径流系数范围为0.16~0.27,该模型模拟产流合理可靠;(2)在岩溶槽谷区以集水区为单位进行塘堰工程来水计算较以行政区划为单位更为准确;(3)岩溶槽谷地区在枯水年时塘堰对雨水利用效率最高,弃水率最小为50.98%;(4)当降雨频率分别为P=50%、75%和95%时,重庆岩溶槽谷地区相应的塘堰复蓄次数为2.51、2.60和2.12。     

Linking groundwater quality to residence times and regional geology in the St. Lawrence Lowlands,southern Quebec,Canada

The assessment of groundwater quality in shallow aquifers is of high societal relevance given that large populations depend directly on these water resources. The purpose of this study was to establish links between groundwater quality, groundwater residence times, and regional geology in the St. Lawrence Lowlands fractured bedrock aquifer. The study focuses on a 4500 km² watershed located in the St. Lawrence Lowlands of the province of Quebec in eastern Canada. A total of 150 wells were sampled for major, minor, and trace ions. Tritium (³H) and its daughter element, ³He, as well as radiocarbon activity (A¹⁴C) were measured in a subset of wells to estimate groundwater residence times. Results show that groundwater evolves from a Ca–HCO₃ water type in recharge zones (i.e., the Appalachian piedmont) to a Na–HCO₃ water type downgradient, toward the St. Lawrence River. Locally, barium (Ba), fluoride (F), iron (Fe), and manganese (Mn) concentrations reach 90, 2, 18, and 5.9 mg/L respectively, all exceeding their respective Canadian drinking water limits of 1, 1.5, 0.3, and 0.05 mg/L. Release of these elements into groundwater is mainly controlled by the groundwater redox state and pH conditions, as well as by the geology and the duration of rock–water interactions. This evolution is accompanied by increasing ³H/³He ages, from 4.78 ± 0.44 years upgradient to more than 60 years downgradient. Discrepancies between calculated ³H/³He and ¹⁴C water ages (the latter ranging from 280 ± 56 to 17,050 ± 3410 years) suggest mixing between modern water and paleo-groundwater infiltrated through subglacial recharge when the Laurentide Ice Sheet covered the study area, and during the following deglaciation period. A linear relationship between ³H activity and corrected ¹⁴C versus Mg/Ca and Ba support a direct link between water residence time and the chemical evolution of these waters. The Ba, F, Fe, and Mn concentrations in groundwater originate from Paleozoic rocks from both the St. Lawrence Platform and the Appalachian Mountains. These elements have been brought to the surface by rising hydrothermal fluids along regional faults, and trapped in sediment during their deposition and diagenesis due to reactions with highly sulfurous and organic matter-rich water. Large-scale flow of meltwater during subglacial recharge and during the subsequent retreat of the Laurentide Ice Sheet might have contributed to the leaching of these deposits and their enrichment in the present aquifers. This study brings a new and original understanding of the St. Lawrence Lowlands groundwater system within the context of its geological evolution.     

Using tritium to document the mean transit time and sources of water contributing to a chain-of-ponds river system: Implications for resource protection

Documenting the interaction between groundwater and rivers is fundamental to understanding hydrological systems. While many studies have examined the location and magnitude of groundwater inflows to rivers, much less is known about the transit times of water in catchments and from where in the aquifer the groundwater originates. Resolving those questions is vital for protecting riverine ecosystems, assessing the impact of contamination, and understanding the potential consequences of groundwater pumping. This study uses tritium (³H) to evaluate the mean transit times of water contributing to Deep Creek (southeast Australia), which is a chain-of-ponds river system. ³H activities of river water vary between 1.47 and 2.91 TU with lower ³H activities recorded during cease-to-flow periods when the river comprises isolated groundwater-fed pools. Regional groundwater 1–2.5 km away from Deep Creek at depths of 7.5–46.5 m has ³H activities of between <0.02 and 0.84 TU. The variation in ³H activities suggest that the water that inflows into Deep Creek is dominated by near-river shallow groundwater with the deeper groundwater only providing significant inflows during drier periods. If the water in the catchment can be represented by a single store with a continuum of ages, mean transit times of the river water range between <1 and 31 years whereas those of the groundwater are at least 75 years and mainly >100 years. Alternatively the variation in ³H activities can be explained by mixing of a young near-river water component with up to 50% older groundwater. The results of this study reinforce the need to protect shallow near-river groundwater from contamination in order to safeguard riverine ecosystems and also illustrate the potential pitfalls in using regional bores to characterise the geochemistry of near-river groundwater.     

单站地基GPS天顶延迟反演大气剖面研究

基于一定的大气折射率剖面模型和搜索方法,可以由GPS天顶延迟反演大气折射率剖面。利用上海气象站的探空数据和上海IGS站的GPS数据,对基于单站地基GPS天顶延迟的大气折射率剖面反演方法进行了验证。结果表明,根据目前处理得到的天顶延迟,反演剖面与实际剖面吻合较好。     

利用小波变换对暴雨过程中GNSS气象要素的初步探索

利用小波分解对地基GNSS获取的可降水量(PWV)、气压和对流层延迟(ZTD)等时序进行处理和分析,以暴雨的实际降水量作为判别依据。研究结果表明,1 h间隔PWV与ZTD的小波高频分解系数接近,均能够从中提取暴雨预报特征信息,可用高频ZTD代替PWV进行小波分析;频率在30 min-1h之间的ZTD,预报时间信息应在第1~3层级进行搜寻,30 min以下频率的应在第3~5层级进行搜寻;db4小波分解PWV的暴雨预报阈值可设为-1.2,db4小波分解ZTD的暴雨预报阈值可设置为-0.007,db2小波分解ZTD的暴雨预报阈值可设为-0.01。     

重轨星载InSAR形变监测中一种改进的大气延迟相位校正方法

在传统空间辐射计方法基础上,将对流层中水汽垂直分层效应集成到校正模型中,提出一种改进的InSAR大气延迟相位校正方法。为验证改进方法的可行性,利用MERIS近红外水汽产品去除北京地区地面沉降InSAR监测中的大气延迟相位。以陆态网络GNSS站点监测结果为基准,验证改进的大气校正方法的监测精度。改进的大气校正方法、空间辐射计校正法和未校正的InSAR监测结果与陆态网络GNSS站点监测结果对比显示,均方根误差分别为0.388 cm、0.603 cm、0.685 cm,表明改进的方法相比于未校正和传统方法具有更高的精度,能有效削弱干涉图中的大气延迟相位误差。     

一类带马氏切换与时滞的未定权益模型的对冲策略

在风险资产服从一类带马尔科夫模式切换（马氏切换）的时滞随机微分方程模型的情形下,考虑了一个以上述风险资产为标的资产的欧式未定权益,利用Esscher变换找到了等价鞅测度,并在此基础上得到该权益价格过程的鞅表示.同时,在资产价格过程的系数满足一定条件的假设下,给出了在由马氏切换的出现而导致的不完备市场中,通过最小化残余风险而求得的最优连续对冲策略.     

PPP网解UPD模糊度固定技术监测尼泊尔Ms8.1级地震对中国珠峰地区及周边地震同震位移

利用UPD模糊度固定技术无需顾及基线解算基站地震所带来的影响,可以进行高精度非差PPP解算,"真实"获取地震周边地区GNSS站点高精度同震位移变化。为此,本文利用"国家基准一期工程""中国大陆构造环境监测网络"以及国家测绘地理信息局在珠峰周边所观测的GNSS观测资料,基于UPD模糊度固定技术高精度非差解算2015年4月25日尼泊尔Ms8.1级地震对我国珠峰地区及周边地震同震位移影响。首先,本文选取全国及周边IGS均匀分布、站点稳定、远离震区的GNSS连续观测网络数据计算卫星端的宽、窄巷UPD,采用PPP网解UPD模糊度固定技术,对解算地震区域内的GNSS测站的载波相位模糊度进行固定,得到无模糊度的精确相位观测值,进行高精度非差PPP解算;通过对平静日IGS测站数据处理与ITRF2008历元坐标对比分析,验证了该方法的精确性;最后,对2015年4月25日、5月12日地震以及地震前后数据,进行了UPD模糊度固定技术的非差PPP解算,分析了中国珠峰地区及周边GNSS站的同震位移;同时也分析了中国珠峰地区在2005—2015年10年的位移变化情况。UPD模糊度固定技术整网解算的方法也证实了能够为GNSS用于监测地震同震位移等,提供了一种精确、可靠的技术手段。     

北京地区GPS水汽变化与雾霾的相关性

针对北京地区雾霾频发的现状,该文基于雾霾与GPS水汽共有的影响因素,以具体季节为背景,对北京地区2014年1—11月对流层干延迟ZHD、GPS可降水量与大气中PM2.5含量的一致性做了分析。研究结果表明:雾霾过程中盛夏季节表现为大气中PM2.5含量与GPS可降水量具有很好的正相关性,而在冬季则表现为大气中的PM2.5含量与对流层干延迟含量具有很好的正相关性,并发现结合两者的变化在一定程度上可用于雾霾天气的监测与预警。