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Interdecadal Variations of Phase Delays Between Two Ni(n)o Indices at Different Time Scales

Phase delays between two Nino indices-sea surface temperatures in Nino regions 1+2 and 3.4(1950-2001)-at different time scales are detected by wavelet analysis. Analysis results show that thereare two types of period bifurcations in the Nino indices and that period bifurcation points exist only in the region where the wavelet power is small. Interdecadal variation features of phase delays between the two indices vary with different time scales. In the periods of 40-72 months, the phase delay changes its sign in 1977: Nino 1+2 indices are 2-4 months earlier than Nino 3.4 indices before 1977, but 3-6 months later afterwards. In the periods of 20-40 months, however, the phase delay changes its sign in another way:Nino 1+2 indices are 1-4 months earlier before 1980 and during 1986-90, but 1-4 months later during 1980-83 and 1993-2001.     

Cross-Calibration and Long-Term Monitoring of the Microwave Radiometers of ERS,TOPEX, GFO,Jason, and Envisat

The radiometers on board the satellites ERS-1, TOPEX/Poseidon, ERS-2, GFO, Jason-1, and Envisat measure brightness temperatures at two or three different frequencies to determine the total columnal water vapor content and wet tropospheric path delay, a major correction to the altimeter range measurements. In order to asses the long-term stability of the path delay, the radiometers are calibrated against vicarious cold and hot references, against each other, and against several atmospheric models. Four of these radiometers exhibit significant drifts in at least one of the channels, resulting in yet unmodeled errors in path delay of up to 1 mm/year, thus limiting the accuracy at which global sea level rise can be inferred from the altimeter range measurements.     

小数时延补偿算法的设计及应用

小数时延补偿是数字信号处理中的一个难点,在VLBI、阵列信号处理和其它应用领域有多种实现方法。比较了几种常用的时延补偿方法:频域补偿法、基于最小均方误差准则滤波法、拉格朗日(Lagrange)插值法和基于Farrow结构的滤波器组的方法,得到的结论是相对于频域补偿法和其他时域补偿的方法,Lagrange插值法具有操作简单、易于实现、适用范围广的优点,而采用Farrow结构对时延变化的控制能力会更强。采用Farrow结构与Lagrange插值相结合能够获得比较理想的插值效果。详细介绍了基于Farrow结构的Lagrange插值滤波器组的设计及在遥测阵信号处理中的应用,并与已有的频域补偿方法作了比较。     

Assessing and modelling changes in rainfall erosivity at different climate scales

An understanding of the weather drivers of soil erosion necessitates an extended instrumental meteorological series and knowledge of the processes linking climate and hydrology. The nature of such linkages remains poorly understood for the Mediterranean region. This gap is addressed through a composite analysis of long‐term climatic controls on rain erosivity in the Calore River Basin (southern Italy) for the period 1869–2006. Based on a parsimonious interpretation of rainstorm processes, a model (comparable with the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation) was adapted to generate erosivity values on different time‐aggregation scales (yearly and seasonal). The evolution of the generated series of cumulated and extreme erosivity events was assessed by two return period (T) quantiles via a 22‐year moving window analysis (low return period, T = 2 years; high return period, T = 50 years). Erosivity extremes are shown to be characterized by increasing yearly trends (at a 100‐year rate of ～150 MJ mm ha^–1 h^–1 for T = 2 years and ～800 MJ mm ha^–1 h^–1 for T = 50 years), especially during the spring and autumn seasons. Quantile patterns on the extremes are also shown to be decoupled from trends in the cumulated values. The Buishand test was applied to detect the presence of temporal change points, and a wavelet spectrum analysis used for time‐frequency localization of climate signals. A change‐point in the evolution of climate is revealed over the 1970s in the spring series, which correlates to a distinct rain erosivity increase. The results indicate that soil erosion risk tends to rise as a consequence of an escalation of the climate erosive hazard, predominantly between April and November (associated with cultivation and tillage practices). Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

地震动瞬时能量谱与结构位移响应关系研究

本文通过HHT变换得到瞬时能量谱,并以HHT对地震动作用下的结构位移响应进行分析,发现长周期结构动力响应的显著特点:最大结构位移响应总是滞后于地震动激励的最大能量谱值时间.滞后的时间主要取决于结构的动力特性参数(特别是自振周期),也与地震动的类型有关.仿真计算的结果表明:长周期结构的破环与倒塌并不发生在地震动强度最大的时刻,而多数是在地震动末期,甚至在地震动完全消失之后.有益的结论为结构控制设计与安全提供科学依据.     

基于弥散-黏滞型波动方程的地震波衰减及延迟分析

地震波的衰减、储层中的流体预测和4D流体监测技术是目前石油地球物理勘探领域十分有价值的热门研究课题.该文在基于一维弥散-黏滞型波动方程正演的基础上,根据含流体地层的弥散性与黏滞性,研究和模拟含流体地层对地震波的吸收衰减特征、低频伴影现象及其在流体预测中的应用;同时,模拟和分析了地震波在含流体地层中传播而导致的延迟特征.这些特征的检测与解释方法,为基于实际地震资料的储层流体预测及4D油气田开发监测提供技术思路与有效方法.     

延时参数对地震信号信噪比的改善

当测区噪声很强,采用组合震源工作仍然不能得到高质量地震数据,为进一步提高地震信号的信噪比,引入能形成定向地震波的相控震源.相控震源产生的地震波方向可由延时参数控制,因此延时参数是影响相控地震效果的重要参数.理论分析表明,定向地震波技术可提高反射波信号信噪比,以含3个激震器的相控震源为例,信噪比可提高6.53~9.54 dB.针对延时参数分别为0,0.802,0.384,0.241,0.174,0.123 ms的情况,完成了野外地震实验.根据原始地震记录,得到了反射波信号功率谱,在此基础上定量地计算了不同延时参数下目标层反射信号的信噪比.结果表明,与单震源情况相比,在6种延时参数下,反射波信噪比分别提高了3.3150,8.0150,6.0547,5.0278,4.5383,4.0364 dB;与组合震源情况相比,信噪比分别提高了0,4.7000,2.7397,1.7128,1.2233,0.7214 dB.综合理论分析及野外实验结果,我们可以得到这样的结论：定向地震波技术能够提高反射波信号信噪比,延时参数变化对信噪比有很大影响,采用合理的延时参数能得到更高的信噪比.     

Spatial characterization of catchment dispersion mechanisms in an urban context

Previous studies have examined in-depth the dispersion mechanisms in natural catchments. In contrast, these dispersion mechanisms have been studied little in urban catchments, where artificial transport elements and morphological arrangements are expected to modify travel times and mobilize excess rainfall from spatially distributed impervious sites. This has the ability to modify the variance of the catchment’s travel times and hence the total dispersion. This work quantifies the dispersion mechanisms in an urban catchment using the theory of transport by travel times as represented by the Urban Morpho-climatic Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (U-McIUH) model. The U-McIUH computes travel times based on kinematic wave theory and accounts explicitly for the path heterogeneities and altered connectivity patterns characteristic of an urban drainage network. The analysis is illustrated using the Aubinière urban catchment in France as a case study. We found that kinematic dispersion is dominant for small rainfall intensities, whereas geomorphologic dispersion becomes more dominant for larger intensities. The total dispersion scales with the drainage area in a power law fashion. The kinematic dispersion is dominant across spatial scales up to a threshold of approximately 2–3 km², after which the geomorphologic dispersion becomes more dominant. Overall, overland flow is responsible for most of the dispersion in the catchment, while conduits tend to counteract the increase of the geomorphologic dispersion with a negative kinematic dispersion. Further study with other catchments is needed to asses if the latter is a general feature of urban drainage networks.     

基于垂直剖面函数式的全球对流层天顶延迟模型的建立

对流层延迟是无线电导航定位的主要误差源之一,其值对目标高程的变化敏感.在动态导航定位中,由于目标高程变化随机性强,延迟改正实时性需求高,已有的对流层延迟模型难以满足应用需求.本文利用2005到2006年ERA-Interim再分析气象资料积分方法计算的对流层天顶总延迟(ZTD)、天顶静力学延迟(ZHD)以及天顶非静力学延迟(ZWD)的垂直剖面研究了ZTD随高程变化的最佳拟合形式,并以此为基础建立了全球ZTD改正模型SHAO-H.该模型以大气中水汽的垂直分布规律为依据,将ZTD表示为高程的分段函数,进而再模制每段函数中各参数随时间的变化.精度评估显示:与积分ZTD相比,SHAO-H模型计算的ZTD在不同等压层上的平均bias大部分在±1 mm以内,随着高度的上升,平均RMS由39 mm减小至不足1 mm;与IGS (International GNSS Service)实测ZTD相比,SHAO-H模型的精度(bias为7.02 mm,RMS为38.50 mm)优于UNB3m模型(bias为14.67 mm, RMS为51.95 mm).SHAO-H模型具有精度稳定、计算简便等优点,适宜任意高度的用户使用.