Decoding urban development dynamics through actor-network methodological approach

Due to growing social and physical transformations, contemporary cities reveal the profound necessity of proper scientific approaches that are adjusted to conditions of global complexity and dynamic patterns of development. Predominance of an overall market economy, sporadic deregulations of administrative powers and a lack of local investment or resources, dominate urban reality. Incongruous urban decision-making procedures result in contextually inappropriate and incoherent urban management. We will explore these operational elements in Savamala neighbourhood in Belgrade. The actor-network theory (ANT) is applied to analyse the hyper dynamic circumstances of transition in Serbia. An unclear regulatory framework, powerful financial means for investment and limited institutional influence of citizen participation, deploy unstable urban development modalities at the neighbourhood level. ANT offers an insight into how urban norms, projections and structures unfold and how associations and translations of urban elements develop. Plausible yet complex collisions in Savamala constitute a challenge for ANT in mapping urban development processes and visualizing actors and networks through diagrams. Based on the presented results, the illustrative perspective of ANT minimalizes both the importance and the influence of the permanence of urban structures across time and space. Instead, ANT deals with a city as a contingent, fragmentary and heterogeneous, yet persistent product of actors, their roles, associations, agencies and networks. Possible adaptations of ANT should respond to the needs of non-scientific actors and practitioners for an interpretive tool that addresses undercover processes and mechanisms or provides explanations, recommendations or operational diagnoses on how to absorb urban development dynamics.     

东部沿海十省市旅游投资环境评价研究

目前,旅游业已经成为国民经济发展中的重要产业,而旅游业的发展需要外部资金的支持,因此,能否吸引外来资金是一个关系旅游业能否可持续发展的重要问题~([1])。本文尝试构建包含经济环境、旅游业发展、区域条件和外部环境4个层面共32个指标的旅游投资环境评价指标体系,运用因子分析法对我国东部沿海十省市的旅游投资环境进行了综合测评与排序。结果显示,广东省旅游投资环境最好,河北的最差。广东省的各项指标值均高于其他省市,说明其投资吸引力最强。而其他省市各有优劣之处,建议在以后的发展中逐渐改善劣势从而达到改善旅游投资环境。     

基于贝叶斯随机评价方法的小城镇灾害易损性分析

为了准确评价小城镇灾害易损性所处的状态,进而为制定小城镇防灾减灾规划提供科学依据,提出了基于贝叶斯公式的小城镇灾害易损性随机评价方法。该方法通过计算小城镇灾害易损性单个指标属于某个评价级别的概率,由最大似然分类原则确定单个易损性指标的评价级别,进而采用最大加权概率原则推求其综合评价级别。通过实例计算分析,并与模糊评估方法、可拓物元评价方法进行比较验证,说明了该方法的可行性及其简单、实用的特点。     

山东半岛城市群地区地质生态环境与经济发展协调性评价研究

通过对山东半岛城市群地区地质生态环境与经济发展要素分析,构建了两者协调性评价的指标体系;在此基础上,根据协调性测度算法原理,对＂十五＂期间山东半岛城市群地区地质生态环境与经济发展协调度及其协调发展状态进行了分析评价。结论是为了实现山东半岛城市群地区地质生态环境与经济之间的协调、持续发展,应合理调整两者之间的互动关系。     

中国城市群核心城市服务业发展的基本特征

服务业正成为新常态下中国经济发展保持适度增速和迈向中高端水平的强劲动力,城市群核心城市则是中国服务业发展的重要空间载体。本文采用区位熵、对外服务流模型、熵值法,对2003年和2012年中国20个城市群32个核心城市的服务业专业化程度、外向服务功能、综合发展水平等进行分析,结果表明：核心城市服务业地域分工明显,生产性服务业专业化程度较高;核心城市服务业对外服务功能与城市规模等级具有显著相关性,多数属于生产性服务功能主导型,少数属于生活性服务功能主导型以及生产性和生活性服务功能并重型;核心城市服务业内部行业外向功能的空间集中性差异较大,生产性服务业空间集中性普遍高于生活性服务业;核心城市服务业综合发展水平的空间差异显著,与城市群的功能定位较为一致。     

东北地区古代城市空间形态发展背景与进程

东北地区古代城市的产生和发展遵循城市发展的一般规律,通过不同历史时期城市的空间形态特征研究,发现由于地域的特殊性,东北地区古代城市呈现空间特征呈现间歇性、不平衡性和空间地域隔离特征以及空间形态差异性特征,主要受区位条件、文化因素、民族因素、社会制度以及社会经济形态的深刻影响,形成独特的城市地域体系。同时,受中原文化的影响,东北地区古代城市表现为不同寻常的相继相承,能够因地制宜地建设、管理城市,不尊求常规封建礼仪,在城市管理等方面有独到的借鉴意义。     

Elitogenesis in Russia: geographical aspect

The birthplace differentiation for representatives of different groups of the Russian elite is considered for macroregions, subjects of the RF and cities. It is shown that in the elite groups under consideration, the proportions of natives of Moscow and St. Petersburg exceed several times the proportions of natives of these cities in the country's population. The other large cities, especially Yekaterinburg, Kazan, Chelyabinsk, Nizhni Novgorod, Ufa, Saratov, Voronezh, Irkutsk, Omsk, and Rostov-on-Don, are centers of elitogenesis vastly excelled by the two capital cities. The differences between macroregions without regard for Moscow and Saint Petersburg are significant in separate aspects of elitogenesis.     

改革开放以来中国城市旅游目的地地位变化及因素分析

采用1982～2001年间中国28座重点旅游城市统计资料,并参照1989～2001年中国旅游统计资料,对改革开放以来中国城市旅游目的地的发展演变进行了研究,从总量、个案、时空等角度探讨了中国城市旅游目的地的变化规律,得出中国城市旅游目的地地理集中指数变化趋缓的结论,并从城市旅游驱动力变化、城市功能和地位变化、城市旅游目的地竞争等方面进行地位变化的因素分析。最后,还讨论了中国城市旅游目的地的发展趋势。     

From break-bulk to containers: the transformation of general cargo handling and trade

The era of containerisation has brought about considerable changes in maritime transport. This paper describes how general cargo handling and port operationss have been transformed in the wake of unitisation. It stresses that the changes have had far-reaching effects on port labour and upon the social and physical character of port cities. From places of intense labour activity, docks and their adjacent communities have been fundamentally re-structured. The bonds that produced vibrant communities characterised by strong social and political activism have been destroyed. The modern port city is shaped by technological developments that take place on sites far removed from the former docklands. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

一次东北冷涡衰退阶段暴雨成因分析

东北冷涡暴雨一般发生在冷涡发展阶段, 冷涡衰退阶段发生暴雨的几率不高, 在日常业务预报中往往容易忽视冷涡衰退阶段暴雨的预报, 容易出现漏报的现象。作者结合观测资料和数值模拟结果, 对2005年6月21日发生在吉林省中东部地区的一次暴雨过程进行分析。结果表明: 这次暴雨发生在东北冷涡衰退阶段, 强降水区处于非常弱的对流不稳定区, 低空不同层次上急流的耦合与脉动, 在时间和空间上形成“接力” 之势, 给雨区带来特定的水汽配置并在雨区上空形成合适的不稳定环境, 导致雨区上空湿位涡的强烈增长, 在弱对流不稳定和条件对称不稳定的共同作用下, 层状云中形成对流并发展, 产生了暴雨天气。重力惯性波是暴雨产生的可能触发机制。