主余震序列型地震动作用下RC框架结构损伤耗能研究

强震发生后通常伴随着余震,余震的发生会加重结构损伤甚至引发倒塌。为了量化研究主余震序列型地震动对结构损伤的影响,以一栋3层钢筋混凝土框架结构为研究对象,选取了10条实际的主余震记录作为地震动输入,采用ABAQUS非线性有限元软件对该框架结构进行非线性动力时程分析,并依据结构局部和整体损伤耗能指标来评价主余震序列型地震动对框架结构累积损伤的影响。研究结果表明:序列地震会加剧结构底层柱的局部损伤耗能,特别是对底层中柱的影响更加明显;序列地震作用下的结构整体损伤耗能平均值相对于单主震作用下增加约30%;当余震与主震的第一周期谱加速度指标的比值Sa （T₁）_余震/Sa （T₁）_主震较大时,序列地震对结构损伤需求的影响更为显著。     

基于烈度指标的核电厂地震预警停堆参数研究

核电厂在遭遇超设计基准地震时需要考虑安全停堆,以避免造成核泄漏事故。采用地震动的峰值加速度参数(PGA)作为判别停堆的参数具有一定的局限性,PGA参数不能反映地震动的频谱和持时特征,因而可能引起不必要的停堆。针对此问题,基于我国本土大量实际强震记录,遴选出7种典型的工程相关地震动参数,进而基于地震烈度指标,分析发现地震动的标准累计绝对速度参数能更好地表征地震对核电厂的整体潜在破坏能力,适合作为判别停堆的参数,然后提出两种确定预警参数阈值的方法,最终建议考虑我国强震数据特征的核电厂判别停堆的预警参数阈值,为我国核电厂的地震安全停堆参数的确定提供了参考。     

APPLICATION OF TWO SIMPLIFIED NEWMARK MODELS TO THE ASSESSMENT OF LANDSLIDES TRIGGERED BY THE 2008 WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE

At present, with the wide application of the Newmark method, various Newmark empirical formulas with different ground motion parameters have been fitted by many researchers based on global strong-motion records. However, the existing study about the Wenchuan earthquake does not quantitatively evaluate the applicability of different Newmark models based on the actual landslides distribution. The aim of this paper is to present a comparison between observed landslides from the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and predicted landslides using Newmark displacement method based on different ground motion parameters. The factor-of-safety map and critical acceleration(a_c)map in the study area are obtained by using the terrain data and geological data. The distribution of Arias intensity(I_a)and PGA in the study area is obtained by using the attenuation formulas of Arias intensity(I_a)and PGA, which is regressed by Wenchuan ground motion records. Based on the distribution of Arias intensity(I_a)and PGA parameters, we obtained the predicted locations of landslide using Newmark regression equations which are generated using global strong-motion records. The results shows that the assessment results can better reflect the macroscopic distribution characteristics of co-seismic landslides, most predicted landslide cells are distributed on the two sides of the Beichuan-Yingxiu Fault, especially the Pengguan complex rock mass in the hanging wall. The abilities to predict landslide occurrence of the two Newmark simplified models are different. On the whole, the evaluated result of simplified model based on parameter I_a is better than that based on PGA parameter. The GFC values obtained by the Newmark model of I_a and PGA parameters are 65.7% and 34.9%respectively. The evaluated result based on I_a can better reflect the macro distribution of coseismic landslides. The Ls_Pred value based on the Newmark model of parameter I_a is 26.5%, and the Ls_Pred value based on the Newmark model of PGA parameter is 10.3%. However the total area of predicted landslides accounts for 2.4% of the study area, which indicates that the predicted landslide cells are greater than the observed landslide cells. This reminds us that depending on the current input of shear strength and ground-motion parameters, we can only conduct landslide hazard assessment in macro areas, the ability to predict landslide can be improved using more accurate topographic data and input parameters.     

Chinese overseas ports: Market potential,supply capacity and access to imports

Especially since 2012 Chinese companies have acquired stakes as investors and constructors of overseas ports in both high-income and emerging economies. These initiatives play an important role in the construction of a Maritime Silk Road and China's Belt and Road Initiative(BRI). Although a result of many factors, of which Chinese port investments are only one, macro-geographical gravity methods show that distance impedance and increases in the export market potential, export supply capacity and access to imports of these countries drove increases in income per capita. Export supply capacity rose particularly in Southeast Asia and more recently in Sub-Saharan Africa. In difficult times for the world economy, countries in which China invested in overseas port infrastructure saw increases in national export market potential and income per capita, due to reduction in the impedance of distance, while in the case of developing economies export market supply capacity and access to imported capital equipment and intermediate goods improved.     

基于环境光修正的行人航迹推算

针对室内定位存在单一定位精度低,以及组合定位成本高、不易实现的问题,提出了一种利用环境光修正行人航迹推算（PDR）的方法。该方法利用智能手机采集的加速度、陀螺仪和磁力计数据实现PDR位置估计;同时利用手机的光线传感器实时获取所在位置的环境光强度信息,基于采集的室内环境光强度信息修正PDR轨迹中产生的累计误差。经试验数据分析,该方法可以有效地解决PDR轨迹中产生的累计误差,可为大型超市、地下停车场、隧道、矿井等室内光照强度较为稳定的区域提供定位技术帮助。     

东海海岸带生态安全评价及景观优化研究

本文以东海区海岸带为例,采用空间主成分分析法,对 2015 年东海区沿岸县级陆域的生态安全程度进行评价,并运用累积阻力模型,分析东海区海岸带的生态源地、廊道和核心节点,在此基础上提出优化布局思路。结果表明： （1） 林地、气候和地貌等自然要素及其质量对区域生态安全性有显著影响,植被覆盖度对生态安全的贡献率占 38.8%,是影响生态安全最重要的因子;此外,开发建设程度亦有影响生态安全的效果,此效果略小于自然要素; （2） 东海海岸带的生态安全指数在1.61~5.89 之间,表明东海区生态环境质量大体趋好,生态安全指数呈现出显著的南北分异和东西分异态势; （3） 构建以“四片区、三组团、两廊道、多中心”为核心的东海区海岸带生态景观的优化布局方案,以期为海岸带地区生态安全建设提供参考.     

基于PS-InSAR技术的廊坊北部地区地面沉降监测研究

采用PS-InSAR技术对覆盖廊坊北部地区的33景Envisat ASAR影像进行处理,获取该地区2007～2010年平均形变速率场与季度时序沉降信息,并与沉降影响场数据进行耦合分析。结果表明： 1)宋庄-燕郊与五百户-大口屯等地区沉降发育较显著,季节性变动特征明显;2)山前与杨各庄-马坊地区呈高沉降梯度,平原区较高沉降梯度区多与-16 mm/a、0 mm/a等值线形态一致,差异性沉降特征显著;3)因第四系厚度、结构显著差异与断裂活动影响,北、东部断层两侧多表现为较高或渐变的形变梯度;4)差异性沉降展布与水源地、水位降深区具较好空间响应,且较严重沉降多为中深层承压水超采与城镇化建设所致。     

无水侵气藏储量计算的新方法

异常高压气藏因为自身的特性决定了在开发初期计算储量的不容易。根据物质平衡方程,提出了计算异常高压气藏储量的新方法,并且通过实际开发数据进行了方法可行性的证明。     

Value estimation of greenhouse gases exchange in wetland ecosystem of Sanjiang Plain, China

The objective of this study is to quantify the values of greenhouse gases (GHGs) exchange in carbon equivalents of marshes and paddy fields in the Sanjiang Plain, Heilongjiang Province, China. We obtained the GHGs exchange values based on comparable price by calculating the carbon sequestration values and the GHGs emission values of marshes and paddy fields respectively in four periods of 1982, 1995, 2000 and 2005. It is noted that the GHGs emission values are always negative. In this study, the marshes areas decreased from 1438977.0 to 775,132.2ha and the paddy fields areas increased from 417195.8 to 934205.0ha. The values of GHGs exchange of marshes varied from 135877.156×106 to 136882.534×106 yuan (RMB) and those of paddy fields varied from 1006.256×106 to 2767.645×106 yuan. The GHGs exchange values of marshes decreased from 1982 to 2005 on the whole, reversely, those of paddy fields increased, but those in 2005 were lower than those in 2000. In different periods, the GHGs exchange values were always higher in marshes than in paddy fields. The contribution rate of GHGs exchange values per unit area of marshes was also very high in different periods, and the maximum was up to 98.35% in 2005. As far as the whole wetland ecosystem (including marshes and paddy fields), assuming a linear change in GHGs exchange values, it represented a cumulative increase of 20926.757×106 yuan from 1982 to 2005. By adding GHGs exchange values increased during those four periods, we obtained a cumulative net increase values of GHGs exchange of wetland ecosystem of 18200.860×106 yuan. The results will be useful for understanding the indirect services provided by marshes and paddy fields.