江苏省区域旅游产业差异及“板块旅游”发展战略

建构区域旅游产业竞争力评价三级指标体系,运用层次分析法和聚类分析法测度江苏省区域旅游产业竞争力,并采用锡尔I(O)系数方法对旅游产业竞争力水平差异进行分解,从市场、效益、贡献、资源、设施、人才、经济、交通和环境9个细分指标揭示苏南、苏中和苏北地区旅游产业发展水平的差异。分析发现,苏南、苏中和苏北地区间差异明显,地区内部城际差异相对较小;苏南地区的整体旅游产业竞争力较强,而苏中和苏北地区相对较弱,苏南与苏中、苏北的旅游发展整体水平差距大,苏中与苏北的差距相对较小;江苏旅游产业竞争力的空间分异特点是"南强北弱"、"沿江强沿海弱"。提出重点打造四大旅游板块并构建跨区域旅游板块的"板块旅游"模式区域发展战略,旨在实现苏南、苏中和苏北旅游产业的相对均衡协调发展和旅游产业竞争力水平的整体提升。     

内蒙古扎鲁特旗地区中侏罗统塔木兰沟组的厘定

扎鲁特旗地区发育的一套中性火山岩,前人曾将其置于二叠纪“大石寨组”、“青凤山组”,缺少古生物资料和测年数据.本次1：25万区域地质调查,在原1：20万划分的“大石寨组”、“青凤山组”的安山岩中采集了同位素测年样品,采用全岩激光⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar法测年,对火山岩样品进行了年代学研究,结果表明火山岩年龄为（172.7±2.0）~（165.2±1.3）Ma.鉴于这套火山岩地层岩石组合特征清楚,时代依据充分,在区域上具有一定的延展性和可填图性,故将这套火山岩地层重新厘定为中侏罗统塔木兰沟组.     

异常、前兆和干扰的新定义及其相关问题的讨论

质疑了"前兆异常"原定义存在的与观测资料和预测实践不符合的缺陷,给出了异常、前兆及干扰的新定义。"异常"与"前兆"是两个完全不同的概念,异常不仅与地震有关,而且与地壳构造变动和相关自然现象也有关;地震前兆则是系由多种内因性和外因性异常构成的预测信息体系;干扰因素仅是偶然的、局部的人为因素。讨论了新老定义之间的差异、新定义的事实依据、地下水等手段今后需解决的关键性任务、现实地震预测能力的有限性等问题;提出了我国地震预报工作的重点应做"战略转移",并且需对我国几十年地震预报探索的科学思路、积累震例、预报实例和研究成果做"再清理"和"再研究"等建议。     

黄河下游漫滩高含沙洪水滩槽界定及泥沙时空沉积特性

黄河下游漫滩高含沙洪水河床调整剧烈,多数断面洪水后形成"相对窄深河槽",洪水前后河槽宽度发生明显变化。分别以观测断面洪水前后的河槽宽度为基准,计算漫滩高含沙洪水期泥沙时空沉积分布,结果表明,漫滩高含沙洪水与非漫滩高含沙洪水相比,能将主河槽内淤积泥沙量的59.3%搬运至嫩滩或滩地,减缓主河槽淤积。在分析研究基础上,建立了洪水后漫滩河段河槽相对缩窄率与洪水前期河槽宽度的量化关系,洪水后主槽宽度缩窄率为15.5%~44.0%;分析遴选了漫滩高含沙洪水滩地淤积量与主要水力因子间关联度及物理含义,给出了漫滩高含沙洪水滩地淤积量与相应水力因子间的响应函数;初步提出漫滩洪水河道塑槽淤滩的临界水沙配置指标,临界水沙系数取值为0.025~0.040。成果对高含沙洪水调控具有一定的指导意义。     

基于Gauss-Listing大地水准面定义的地球重力场模型评价方法

提出一种基于Gauss-Listing大地水准面经典定义的地球重力场模型评价方法。该方法依据经典大地水准面为重力等位面的特性,选取某大地水准面为参考面,计算不同地球重力场模型在该参考面上的重力位标准差,以此作为不同模型相对优劣的评价指标。利用该方法对不同地球重力场模型以及同一重力场模型在不同区域的精度进行评价,结果表明,EGM96模型、 OSU91A模型的大地水准面精度分别为±11.1 cm、±14.3 cm,EGM2008模型、EIGEN-6C4模型分别为±8.8 cm、±8.9 cm,说明后2个模型的精度相当,且优于前2个模型。该模型评价方法的研究结果显示,对于某全球大地水准面,EGM2008模型和EIGEN-6C4模型的大地水准面精度分别为±11.3 cm和±14.1 cm,即在cm级精度上EGM2008模型略优。     

Benthic indicators: From subjectivity to objectivity - Where is the line?

Over the last few years, the interest in using benthic indicators to assess marine environments has increased dramatically after a rather long period of relative stagnation, mostly due to the need to assess the status of coastal marine waters required by North American and European regulations. Numerous papers on this topic have been published in the domain of ecology, using a variety of different terms to refer to two categories of information: benthic species and the status of benthic communities. Nowadays, the abundant literature on these two categories makes it possible to comment on (1) the definition of the different terms used by benthic researchers, (2) the current increase of papers of rising complexity about benthic indicators, and (3) the subjectivity and objectivity involved in using benthic indicators. Faced with the increase in the number of methods, we recommend pragmatism and thus the transfer of simple methods to the research consultancies that are responsible for assessing benthic quality in numerous impact studies. Using certain procedures, such as the “sentinel species”, the best professional judgement (BPJ) and taxonomic sufficiency (TS), should clearly be encouraged.     

Constraining Holocene sea levels using U‐Th ages of phreatic overgrowths on speleothems from coastal caves in Mallorca (Western Mediterranean)

Phreatic overgrowths on speleothems (POS) are carbonate formations deposited at the water table of caves in unique karstic coastal settings having morphologies that can be directly related to sea level at the time of formation. The U‐Th ages of calcite and aragonite overgrowths collected from the modern water table in coastal caves on Mallorca (Cova de Cala Varques A and Cova des Pas de Vallgornera) were determined using high‐precision MC‐ICPMS techniques. U‐Th ages indicate that phreatic carbonate deposition occurred between ca 2·8 and at least 0·6 ka BP and are in accord with an archeologically estimated age of 3·7–3·0 ka BP for a drowned prehistoric construction at a depth of 1 m below current sea level in a cave from the same area. Speleothem δ¹³C and δ¹⁸O and chemical composition of cave pools provide supportive evidence that POS reflect mixing between seawater and brackish water table. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

山西国际旅游市场营销目标选择研究

在梳理旅游市场营销目标选择方法的基础上,对原有竞争态模型进行扩展,分析山西省主体客源国的亲景度和市场发展指数,并基于两个指数的组合,建立旅游市场相对竞争态模型,将山西的主体客源国市场分为兴旺型、崛起型、成熟型和停滞型,并结合旅游市场绝对竞争格局,依据各类型市场的特征,确定山西省国际旅游市场的营销目标。     

Statistical characteristics of flow as indicators of channeling in heterogeneous porous and fractured media

We introduce two new channeling indicators D_ic and D_cc based on the Lagrangian distribution of flow rates. On the basis of the participation ratio, these indicators characterize the extremes of both the flow-tube width distribution and the flow rate variation along flow lines. The participation ratio is an indicator biased toward the larger values of a distribution and is equal to the normalized ratio of the square of the first-order moment to the second-order moment. Compared with other existing indicators, they advantageously provide additional information on the flow channel geometry, are consistently applicable to both porous and fractured media, and are generally less variable for media generated using the same parameters than other indicators. Based on their computation for a broad range of porous and fracture permeability fields, we show that they consistently characterize two different geometric properties of channels. D_ic gives a characteristic scale of low-flow zones in porous media and a characteristic distance between effectively flowing structures in fractured cases. D_cc gives a characteristic scale of the extension of high-flow zones in porous media and a characteristic channel length in fractured media. D_ic is mostly determined by channel density and permeability variability. D_cc is, however, more affected by the nature of the correlation structure like the presence of permeability channels or fractures in porous media and the length distribution in fracture networks.