国际宜商城市的投资环境评价

本文通过对世界上60座最宜经商城市基本状况的分析，指出了宜商城市投资环境评价的基本内容，并依此对国际性投资的城市选择提出若干建议。     

SOME EMPIRICAL EXAMPLES OF CENTRAL PLACE MODEL IN CHINA''S RURAL AND URBAN STUDIES

Sincethe195Os,theCentralPlaceTheory(Cpp)hasbeenprevailingallovertheWest.Nevertheless,theaPplicationofthismodelinChinasplanningworkusedtobeanargUableproblem.Negativeviewswerefl.thehyPothesisabouttl1enatUralandhumanhomogeneityisdevoicedfromthereality;2.thetheorytvasge11eratedfrol11caPitalistsociety,wherethehistorical,socialandeconomicconditionsaredifferentfromChina's.Inrecentyears,theauthorshavetriedtoapplyCppmode1toChina'Surbanal1dregionalplanning,thesatisfactoryresu1tsprovedthegenera1ada…     

全球铅锌矿资源分布

世界范围内铅锌矿资源较为丰富，在全球50多个国家均有分布.通过搜集国内外铅锌矿相关的资料和信息，在对世界1035处铅锌矿床及3319个矿（化）点资料进行提炼、系统梳理的基础上，对不同数据来源的全球铅锌矿的储量和资源储量进行比较研究，对全球铅锌矿3种主要成因类型，即喷流沉积型、火山块状硫化物型和密西西比型铅锌矿的资源分布、成矿时间和成矿空间分布规律进行了全面的综合分析研究，对世界大型铅锌矿床的储量、资源储量、品位、成矿类型和成矿特征进行归纳总结，以期为全球铅锌矿的综合研究提供参考.     

民用航空气象观测综述

介绍了民用航空气象观测这一全球大气监测网中的重要观测平台的发展历史，航空气象资料的特点及其在气象业务与大气科学研究中的应用现状，详细分析了航空气象资料的获取、优势、存在的局限和未来的改进方向。指出民用航空飞机观测这一常规大气探测手段具有广阔的应用前景，受到了气象部门和航空业的共同重视，航空气象资料对提高天气预报准确率和气象服务水平将起到积极的促进作用，在未来的数值天气预报业务和大气科学研究中占据越来越重要的地位。     

Availability of Bauxite Reserves

Based upon a large database, this paper analyzes the record of bauxite mine production, exploration success, and resource depletion and evaluates the availability of bauxite reserves in the near future. The record clearly shows that for the past 50 years world bauxite production rose by an annual increase of over 5% while per capita consumption rose during the same period by about 4%. Time trends of the world bauxite reserve life index (RLI); that is, known world reserves of a given year divided by world production of the same year, are episodic and seem to follow bauxite price cycles. The present-day RLI indicates adequate bauxite supply for about 180 years and is the same as it was in 1950. However, if an annual growth rate of 5% is considered, the currently known reserves will be exhausted within the next 20 years and the reserve base will be adequate for not more than 25 years. This scenario is based, of course, on the unrealistic assumption that future exploration efforts fail to discover additional reserves. Evaluation of the quality, in terms of bauxite signatures, and quantity of presently known bauxite prospects that may be mined in future suggests that there is sufficient potential for adequate bauxite supply for the next 20 to 25 years at least. Bauxite signatures cover a wide range of values that allows selection of the most favorable bauxite prospects for future mining, both in economic as well as environmental terms. Although, there is the general believe that the world abundance of bauxite resources will ensure sufficient supply to meet future demands significant additional reserves have to be discovered if exponential growth rates continue. As the question of future bauxite supply is subject to economic and geologic principles one has to take into consideration that increasing exploration maturity in many mineral provinces will make it difficult to locate additional bauxite reserves and that decreasing real commodity prices will influence the level of investment in bauxite exploration.     

Uncertainty Estimate in Resources Assessment: A Geostatistical Contribution

For many decades the mining industry regarded resources/reserves estimation and classification as a mere calculation requiring basic mathematical and geological knowledge. Most methods were based on geometrical procedures and spatial data distribution. Therefore, uncertainty associated with tonnages and grades either were ignored or mishandled, although various mining codes require a measure of confidence in the values reported. Traditional methods fail in reporting the level of confidence in the quantities and grades. Conversely, kriging is known to provide the best estimate and its associated variance. Among kriging methods, Ordinary Kriging (OK) probably is the most widely used one for mineral resource/reserve estimation, mainly because of its robustness and its facility in uncertainty assessment by using the kriging variance. It also is known that OK variance is unable to recognize local data variability, an important issue when heterogeneous mineral deposits with higher and poorer grade zones are being evaluated. Altenatively, stochastic simulation are used to build local or global uncertainty about a geological attribute respecting its statistical moments. This study investigates methods capable of incorporating uncertainty to the estimates of resources and reserves via OK and sequential gaussian and sequential indicator simulation The results showed that for the type of mineralization studied all methods classified the tonnages similarly. The methods are illustrated using an exploration drill hole data sets from a large Brazilian coal deposit.     

广州市地铁沿线地下商业空间的利用对比分析

选取广州市与地铁站出口相连的天浚和流行前线地下商业街为研究对象，运用市场研究中消费者行为分析和实地考察的方法，分别对二者的特征、消费者属性进行比较并对地下商业街与消费者属性之间的关系进行分析，得出4点结论：（1）区位条件是影响零售业布局的关键因素；（2）历史悠久、建筑风格独特、服务功能多样、基础设施完备、环境舒适、管理有序的商业街更易受顾客青睐；（3）不同的消费群体在对商业街的选择上表现出不同的偏好；（4）地铁将带动快速、简易的消费模式。     

西北地区煤炭资源及开发潜力

西北地区蕴藏着十分丰富的煤炭资源,占我国煤炭资源预测总量的76.46%。含煤盆地主要有鄂尔多斯、准噶尔、吐哈、塔北等。其中,鄂尔多斯煤盆地是具有稳定克拉通基底,沉积了石炭一二叠纪华北型海陆交互相含煤地层和三叠一侏罗纪内陆河流一湖泊型陆相含煤地层的双纪巨型含煤盆地;准噶尔煤盆地、吐哈煤盆地、塔北煤盆地是具有稳定陆块基底的侏罗纪内陆湖泊含煤盆地;伊犁煤盆地、尤尔都斯煤盆地、焉誉煤盆地和库米什煤盆地是具有天山华力西期摺皱带基底的山间断陷(坳陷)型含煤盆地;走廊煤盆地群是具有祁连加里东褶皱带基底的山间断陷(坳陷)型含煤盆地.阿拉善地块、柴达木地块晚古生代和中生代亦具备成煤的古地理条件,目前已在柴达木地块北缘和阿拉善地块南缘发现了小型煤盆地群。地块主体为沙漠覆盖,勘探程度低,可作为西北地区煤炭资源的后备潜力区块。 据国家煤炭工业局1998年统计,西北地区煤炭资源保有储量为4035.35X10~8t,其中生产井和在建井保有储量为752.24X10~8t。尚未利用的精查储量为187.69X10~8 t,可供进一步勘探的详查储量为510. 51 X 108 t >普查和找煤储量为2550.91X108t,煤炭资源储量丰富。我国2002年煤炭消费达到13.69XlO~8t. 2003年17.36X10~8t, 2004年达19X10~8t,而西北地区煤产量在全国所占比例甚小,根据中国煤炭工业协会对2004年1月统计,全国煤矿合计原煤产量为11170.75X10~4t,其中西北地区为1585.17X10~4t(内蒙古按全区产量的2/3计算),只占14.19%,西北地区煤炭资源开发潜力巨大。     

Localised Uniform Conditioning (LUC): A New Approach for Direct Modelling of Small Blocks

Recoverable mineralisation at a given mining selectivity is traditionally modelled from sparse data grids by non-linear geostatistical techniques such as Uniform Conditioning. This method estimates the tonnage and grade of mineralisation which can be extracted as small selective minable blocks from large blocks (panels), whose grade is modelled by Ordinary Kriging. Uniform Conditioning technique estimates the proportions of recoverable mineralisation in each panel without specifying the actual locations of the economically extractable blocks. This inability to predict a spatial location of the recoverable mineralisation is a major disadvantage of the conventional Uniform Conditioning method. A new approach, called Localised Uniform Conditioning, has been developed to overcome this limitation. This method applies the grade–tonnage relationships modelled by the Uniform Conditioning technique to the spatial grade distribution patterns approximated by direct kriging of the small blocks from the sparse data grid. This approach estimates localised selective mining units grades conforming to the proper grade–tonnage curves obtained by the Uniform Conditioning method as well as maintaining the relative spatial grade distribution pattern indicated by the directly kriged small block grades. The advantage of this approach is essentially dependent upon the data available for ranking the small blocks within a panel in increasing order of their grade. Ordinary Kriging of the small blocks can be used for their ranking providing the kriged estimates produce a meaningful indication of the relative grade pattern. Where the data is sparse and not close to a panel, or their distribution is characterised by a strong short-range variability, the advantages of using the Localised Uniform Conditioning approach are more limited.     

从经济学角度分析我国气象服务商业化运作模式的选择

从经济学的角度分析了目前世界上三种气象服务商业化运作模式的利弊，从而提出我国气象服务商业化运作应该选择的模式：即国家气象部门只搞公益无偿服务，由私人公司开展商业化服务。