站队结合流量测次精简分析方法的研究

为适应站队结合的需要，必须对流量测次作精简分析。本文以湖南省株洲站队结构区为研究实例，在测站特性分析的基础上，根据水力因素和环境因素对水位流量关系的影响，将区内测站按水位关系稳定，较稳定、不稳定进行分类。     

Geochemical sampling with special reference to environmental risk assessment

We usually conduct environmental investigation through sample study. Therefore, it is essential that samples should be representative, at all time, and of the object be studied. However, the issues of sample representativeness and sampling errors are often neglected by investigators. Based on modem geo-statistics and sampling theory, this paper addresses these issues in more detail and presents a case study related to environmental risk assessment. The issue of sample representativeness can be measured in the following three aspects： （1） whether the sample numbers are large enough to reflect the characteristics of the initial object being studied）; （2） whether the sample mass （or sample volume） is large enough to represent the original site （the local segment being sampled）; （3） whether assay portion is prepared well enough to depict the initial sample. Sample numbers are dictated by the confidence level, the variance of population and the acceptable estimation error as well as the homogeneity and the spatial continuity of population.     

球形氢键模型预测电解质溶液中的离子水合数

建立了以球形氢键模型为基础的离子-水键长和配位水分子数之间的关系式,并利用该式对20种金属离子的水合数进行了预测,预测结果令人满意。     

条件数在区域日降水量预报中的应用研究

针对前汛期广西北部暴雨洪涝灾害频发的问题，利用T213模式和日本细网格降水预报等数值预报产品，采用条件数计算选取回归因子的方法建立广西北部区域平均降水量的预报方程。进行了2004、2005年两年5-6月的前汛期业务预报应用试验。采用条件数方法建立的预报方程和传统的逐步回归预报方程的平均预报误差分别为6．3569mm和7．0096mm，同期T213模式的预报误差为7．9456mm。试验表明新方法比传统的逐步回归方程和T213模式具有更高的预报精度，有较好的业务应用前景。计算对比可知，采用条件数计算选择的预报因子间的复共线性较微弱，而逐步回归方法选择的因子间的复共线性很严重，影响了回归方程的预报效果。     

IMPACTS OF DIMENSION AND SLOPE OF SUBMERGED SPUR DIKES ON LOCAL SCOUR PROCESSES - AN EXPERIMENTAL STUDY

1 INTRODUCTION In alluvial streams bed scour often occurs if the sediment load is less than the transport capacity of the flow. Two types of scour are identified, namely local scour and channel bed scour. Channel bed scour can be further classified accord…     

On possible drivers of Sun-induced climate changes

We tested the validity of two current hypotheses on the dependence of climate change on solar activity. One of them states that variations in the tropospheric temperature are caused directly by changes of the solar radiance (total or spectral). The other suggests that cosmic ray (CR) fluctuations, caused by the solar/heliospheric modulation, affect the climate via cloud formation. Confronting these hypotheses with seven different sets of the global/hemispheric temperature reconstructions for the last 400 years, we found that the former mechanism is in general more prominent than the latter. Therefore, we can conclude that in so far as the Sun–climate connection is concerned tropospheric temperatures are more likely affected by variations in the UV radiation flux rather than by those in the CR flux.     

Analysis of Weak Wind Stable Conditions from the Observations of the Land Surface Processes Experiment at Anand in India

The observations in weak wind stable conditions are scarce. The present study examines the observations from the Land Surface Processes Experiment (LASPEX) conducted at Anand, (Gujarat, India) during the year 1997–1998 to study the characteristics of surface layer under weak wind stable conditions. The observed surface fluxes are compared with those computed using Monin-Obukhov (M-O) similarity theory. The upper air observations and regional climatology are used to justify the persistence of weak wind conditions at Anand. The frequency of occurrence of weak wind stable conditions is observed to be around 67%. In 86% of the cases under weak wind conditions, bulk Richardson number (R_iB) is found to be larger than 0.2. The magnitude of surface fluxes computed from M-O similarity theory is shown to be smaller in comparison to those based on the observations in weak wind stable conditions. Surface fluxes computed using the empirical relations for the eddy diffusivities and drag and heat exchange coefficients are found to be comparable with those based on M-O similarity theory however these fluxes are under-predicted in comparison to the observations. The traditional M-O similarity theory is not able to simulate the observed fluxes well in weak wind stable conditions at Anand.     

Near-fault ground motion bi-normalized pseudo-velocity spectra and its applications

Ground motions with forward-directivity effect in the near-fault region are obviously different from ordinary far-field ground motions. Design spectral models for this kind of motions have been proposed by correlating sim-ple pulses with parameters attenuation relationships in a previous study of the authors. To further test the applica-bility of the established design spectral model, we analyze ground motion pseudo-velocity response spectra (PVS), normalized pseudo-velocity spectra (NPVS) and bi-normalized pseudo-velocity spectra (BNPVS) of 53 typical near-fault forward-directivity ground motions. It is found that BNPVS not only has more salient features to reflect the difference between soil and rock sites, but also has less scattering to reveal the nature of forward-directivity motions. And then, BNPVS is used for prediction of design spectra accounting for the influence of site conditions, and the constructed design spectra are compared with those spectra established previously. It is concluded that site condition can heavily affect ground motions, buildings on rock can be even more dangerous than those on soil sites, in particular for ordinary buildings with short to middle vibration periods. Finally, pulse models are also suggested for structural analyses in the near-fault region.     

Similarity theory and calculation of turbulent fluxes at the surface for the stably stratified atmospheric boundary layer

In this paper we revise the similarity theory for the stably stratified atmospheric boundary layer (ABL), formulate analytical approximations for the wind velocity and potential temperature profiles over the entire ABL, validate them against large-eddy simulation and observational data, and develop an improved surface flux calculation technique for use in operational models.