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141.
Quantifying Storm Tide Risk in Cairns 总被引:6,自引:5,他引:6
Ken Granger 《Natural Hazards》2003,30(2):165-185
The United Nations International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction (IDNDR)gave rise to an increasing level of attention to the risks posed by a range of naturalhazards and the development of strategies by which to reduce those risks. It waswidely recognised that in order to evaluate risk treatment strategies it was necessaryto `measure' the level of risk that already existed and the level of risk that would beencountered with the treatment strategy(s) in place.This paper outlines the methodology developed under the AGSO (now GeoscienceAustralia) Cities Project to quantify the risk associated with storm tide inundation. It includes the methodology for `measuring' the level of community exposure to storm tide hazards and the methodology for `measuring' community vulnerability. The Far North Queensland city of Cairns is used as the case study to demonstrate the application of these methods. 相似文献
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以列联表形式计算熵函数,由熵函数值对国家气象中心发布的1996年汛期6月22日-8月7日5次暴雨过程降水数值预报进行评估,得到5种数值预报产品给江苏省各区域的雨量预报提供了0.1824bit-0.2914bit信息等结论。 相似文献
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遥感技术在区域地质调查中的应用研究进展 总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10
论述了1∶5万区域地质调查中的图像信息理论及其应用意义;讨论了遥感岩石学、影像地层学、遥感构造分析、环境地质与生态地质遥感地质解译填图的基础理论和方法;论述了影像地质界线的基本信息类型及其信息理解过程;提出了影像地质信息的多级识别方法和空间模糊叠加分析方法;最后探讨了区域地质调查中遥感技术的发展趋势。 相似文献
146.
Application of discovery process models in estimating petroleum resources at the play level in China
Discovery process modeling has gained wide acceptance in the Chinese exploration community. In recent years, a variety of
discovery process models have been applied to the prediction of undiscovered petroleum resources at the play level in sedimentary
basins in China. However, challenging problems have been encountered, particularly when one method alone has been applied
to small plays in nonmarine sedimentary basins or in plays with an unusual order of discovery wells. This paper presents results
gotten by using the lognormal discovery process model of the Geological Survey of Canada and the geoanchored method for three
petroleum plays in basins with different geologic settings. Although the predicted shapes of the parentsize distributions
which use these two models, were not always similar, the expected values of the total resources and the number of fields (pools)
to be discovered are comparable. The combined use of two discovery process models in the same play compensates for the weaknesses
in one method compared with the other and vice versa. Thus, more reliable estimates are the result. 相似文献
147.
C. Sozou 《Geophysical Journal International》1997,130(1):151-156
Laplace's tidal equations for the case of an ocean of constant depth bounded by meridians were considered by two authors at a specific frequency as an eigenvalue problem in the azimuthal wavenumber. A finite spectrum of eigenwavenumbers was found. That eigenvalue problem is re-examined by means of asymptotic techniques and numerical integration of the governing equation of the problem. At low frequencies a formula connecting the frequency and the number of eigensolutions is established. It is shown that at a given frequency the spectrum of eigenwavenumbers is wider than that reported, but (for this type of solution) the meridional boundary conditions are satisfied approximately only for the case of very low frequencies. 相似文献
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全国地质灾害趋势预测及预测图编制 总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13
区域地质灾害预测是地质灾害研究的难题。本文运用基于地理信息系统的风险评价方法对这一问题进行了探讨。将全国剖分为2700个单元,对地质灾害进行现状评价,并与已数字化的地质灾害图件进行单要素叠加,编制了全国地质现状等值线图,在现状评价基础上,对地质灾害进行趋势预测,将降雨条件、区域地震活动、区域地壳稳定程度、区域岩组条件和人类工程活动等作为区域地质灾害演变的因素,运用模糊综合评判模型进行综合评判,编制了1:600万中国地质灾害趋势预测图。 相似文献