“05．6”广西持续性大暴雨成因分析

利用常规资料、T213初始场及6h预报场、卫星云图等资料，用中尺度分析方法，并配合诊断分析，对广西“05.6”持续性大暴雨成因进行了初步探讨。结果表明：这次过程是在稳定的大尺度环流形势和有利的物理量场条件下发生，是大、中尺度天气系统相互作用的结果，具有典型的中尺度性质，表现出强降雨的不均匀性、突发性和局地性，是中尺度天气系统活动的结果。     

江西夏季雷电天气热力条件及不稳定指数对比分析

选取2007年夏季两次强度不同的致灾雷电过程进行对比,并将其能量参数与典型历史个例进行比较。结果表明：（1）副高位置、500hPa低槽移速、中尺度辐合系统以及热力结构的差异是导致雷暴强度不同的原因之一;（2）中尺度辐合系统移向鄱阳湖时,对流天气更加剧烈,但对大尺度系统鄱阳湖的阻挡作用不显著;（3）对流层上干下湿的特征越明显,强雷电发生的概率越大;（4）CAPE〉632J/kg,K〉34℃,Si〈0℃,Li〈0℃,TT〉43℃,SSI〉43可以作为江西致灾雷电发生的阈值,超过阈值越多,强对流天气发生的概率越大;（5）能量参数的演变对致灾雷电的潜势预测、强度判别具有较好的指示,夏季对流参数的指示意义较春季更好。     

北疆冬季降水异常与前期环流特征的相关分析

用相关分析法计算了北疆冬季降水与前期各月北半球500hPa平均高度场的相关系数，选择相关好的域计算了北疆冬季降水异常年份对应的前期相关月的500hPa距平场，结果表明当年9月欧洲脊的强弱及新疆上空急锋锋区的位置与前冬降水异常有一定的相关，6月北欧-极区冷空气的强度及12月西西伯利亚脊的位置和强弱与后冬降水异常有一定的相关。     

基于“一张图”的公共安全应急联动态势图的研究

公共安全应急联动态势图是应对公共安全突发事件的有效保障手段之一。文中提出基于"一张图"的观点,对基于"一张图"的公共安全应急联动态势图的体系架构进行阐述,说明基于"一张图"的公共安全应急联动态势图中,应急联动数据链节点构成和应急联动数据链的功能,介绍"一张图"的输出保障模式。     

Distribution of airborne pollen and spores and their long distance transport

The atmosphere near the ground contains a mixed population of pollen and spores in the 1 to 90 m diameter range. Continuous sampling at Rothamsted Experimental Station at 2 m above ground level indicated concentrations averaging 12,000 m^–3 over 5 summer months, but 1 million m^–3 can occur for short periods. Concentrations change rapidly with locality, season, time of day or night and weather. Normally concentration in the troposphere decreases logarithmically with height. The occurrence of long distance transport of pollen and spores by wind is demonstrated by sampling from aircraft, and supported by much circumstantial evidence. Possible effects of this air spora on the atmosphere may be sought in alterations to: opacity, ionization, condensation nuclei, and sinks for minor gases.     

沉积盆地波动过程分析研究现状与发展趋势

沉积盆地波动过程分析方法是一种较新的盆地分析方法,该方法以物理学中有关波的理论为基础,以波动的观点来分析地壳运动,本文介绍了沉积盆地波动过程分析的基本概念、发展过程、方法原理、研究步骤,从含油气盆地分析的四个主要研究内容论述了波动过程分析法研究现状,并探讨了它的发展趋势.     

Water vapour transport of the pre-monsoon period and the general performance of the Indian summer monsoon

The advective monthly mean transfer of water vapour in the layer below 700 mbar is investigated for India for the years 1962 to 1972 and for the months January to September. The average zonal and meridional components of the transfer of water vapour for India are obtained. They are further averaged for different combinations of the pre-monsoon months from January to May and are correlated with the summer monsoon rainfall. The correlation coefficients for zonal transfer of water vapour are either negative or small positive for different combinations of the months mentioned above. The correlation coefficients for the meridional transfer of water vapour are positive. The maximum value is 0.74 for the March to May combination and is statistically significant at the 1% level.An extensive investigation is, therefore, made for the March to May averages of water vapour transfer for four broad regions of India. The parameters of water vapour transfer for these regions are compared with the threshold values and the prediction category, normal or drought, for the subsequent summer monsoon season is determined for all years. The correlation coefficient between the index of drought, as determined from parameters of water vapour transport and rainfall departure, is statistically significant at the 2% level.     

地震系统文献资源的现状及其发展对策

本文概述了地震系统文献资源的现状及其发展对策，内容包括地震文献资源概况、地震文献资源的调查分析、地震系统文献资源建设中存在的主要问题以及地震文献资源建设发展对策。     

Experimental modelling of flocculation processes-the case of Paraiba do Sul Estuary

The aggregation dynamics of fine sediments was analysed through laboratory tests using Couette and disk flocculators.It was shown that floc sizes tend to increase as concentrations grow both in fresh and salt water,in agreement with the aggregation theory,and that equilibrium diameters are slightly greater in salt environments for flocs developed either under shear stress or by differential sedimentation.Their transport and the aggregation processes were preliminarily studied in the estuary of the Paraiba do Sul River using a particle tracking model and field data.The floc breakup process by shear stress was included in the model.Yield stresses,which were determined by fractal dimensions and differential density,were accounted for.After the calibration of the collision efficiency coefficients,the numerical model was able to predict floc sizes comparable with those measured at the Paraiba do Sul estuary,which,in turn,were similar to those obtained during the laboratory experiments in the Couette flocculator.     

Water and nutrient fluxes off Northwest Africa

A historical data set is used to describe the coastal transition zone off Northwest Africa during spring 1973 and fall 1975, from 17° to 26°N, with special emphasis on the interaction between subtropical (North Atlantic Central Waters) and tropical (South Atlantic Central Waters) gyres. The near-surface geostrophic circulation, relative to 300 m, is quite complex. Major features are a large cyclonic pattern north of Cape Blanc (21°N) and offshore flow at the Cape Verde front. The large cyclone occurs in the region of most intense winds, and resembles a large meander of the baroclinic southward upwelling jet. The Cape Verde frontal system displays substantial interleaving that may partly originate as mesoscale features at the coastal upwelling front. Property–property diagrams show that the front is an effective barrier to all properties except temperature. The analysis of the Turner angle suggests that the frontal system is characterized by large heat horizontal diffusion as a result of intense double diffusion, which results in the smoothing of the temperature horizontal gradients. Nine cross-shore sections are used to calculate along-shore geostrophic water-mass and nutrient transports and to infer exchanges between the coastal transition zone and the deep ocean (import: deep ocean to transition zone; export: transition zone to deep ocean). These exchanges compare well with mean wind-induced transports and actual geostrophic cross-shore transport estimates. The region is divided into three areas: southern (18–21°N), central (21–23.5°N), and northern (23.5–26°N). In the northern area geostrophic import is roughly compensated with wind-induced export during both seasons. In the central area geostrophic import is greater than wind-induced export during spring, resulting in net import of both water (0.8 Sv) and nitrate (14 kmol s⁻¹), but during fall both factors again roughly cancel. In the southern area geostrophy and wind join to export water and nutrients during both seasons, they increase from 0.6 Sv and 3 kmol s⁻¹ during fall to 2.9 Sv and 53 kmol s⁻¹ during spring.